Liu Jincai
On February 6, a magnitude 7 shock broke out in the Hualien area of Taiwan, causing dozens of people to die, injuries and property losses.Zhang Zhijun, director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of Mainland China, urgently power -over with Fu Kunzheng, the county chief of the first line of disaster relief, showing that the Luofang sent rescue team to Taiwan to assist in the relief willingness.
This is in line with the current mainland's Taiwan policy goals, showing the establishment of a cross -strait family on both sides of the Taiwan Straits and the heart of the mind.However, the mainland authorities deliberately skipped the MAC and sea base of the DPP's ruling authorities, forming a conversation model of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Central Ministry of the Central Ministry of the Central Ministry of the Central Ministry of the Central Ministry of the Central Ministry.
The mainland authorities have assisted the disaster relief expression of disaster relief, showing that because the cross -strait authorities lack the 92 consensus on the two sides of the strait, they are passive in the Taiwan policy.This kind of disaster rescue model to assist Taiwan's pan -blue governing local governing local governance local, and breaks away from the existing consultation channel mechanism. It is questioned that it is intended to be marginalized.The Central Democratic Progressive Party approved the consent.
If the cross -strait authorities cannot restart the negotiation and communication mechanism, I am afraid that the goodwill expressions of Lufang will cause the Taiwanese to be caught in the dual dilemma of acceptance or rejection, and the goodwill of the land will not be able to go to mouth.Nevertheless, although disaster politics has failed to allow the two buildings of political consciousness to break away from barriers and restart negotiations, and then create a framework of a stable relationship, it can alleviate the continuous stalemate and deterioration of the relationship between the two parties.
First of all, disaster politics is conducive to cross -strait nationalist emotional cohesion and care expression.Taiwan expressed his gratitude for the condolences of land, but thanked many countries or regions for assistance, including rescue assistance proposed by the mainland authorities; at the same time, he notified seven free Luke to treat the rescue situation and assisted his family members to visit Taiwan.
The Taiwan MAC, the Sea Foundation and the Taiwan Brigade Association reported through the existing channels to report the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland China Office, the Maritime Association and the Maritime Travel Association, and continued to inspect that Luke hurt the land at any time.
In view of July 19, 2016, the Luke's Taiwan fire burned car burning, and the 25 people died due to the driver's arson. President Tsai Ing -wen did not visit the condolences in person, causing cross -strait nationalism, and the fastening of politics.In this earthquake, Tsai Ing -wen personally went to visit the injured Luke to express his condolences. He also amended the intention of the original and silent cross -strait policy, and adjusted it to a more sensitive and temperature policy orientation.
The people of the mainland paid attention to the strong earthquake in Hualien. Only the number of Weibo keywords searching for the night after outbreak of more than 300,000 times, soaring to the first place in the hot search list. Many well -known people and social groups called for donations to warm the victims to help the victims.This is conducive to creating a friendly relationship between the people on both sides of the strait and reducing the intense cross -strait relations since the DPP ruling.
In other words, although the cross -strait authorities have a serious controversy with political principles in the 19th principles of the first middle school, they are not lacking in nationalism and humanitarian care.The significance of disaster political science is to reduce the conflict between cross -strait opposition and create national emotional care, although the cross -strait authorities can not give back from each other from political principles.
Secondly, disaster political science delays more radical political claims in Taiwan.On July 9, 1999, former President Lee Teng -hui accepted an exclusive interview with Voice of Germany and threw out the argument that the relationship between the two sides of the strait has been located since the constitutional amendment (referred to as the two countries).The situation on both sides of the strait is highly tense.
However, on September 21, the earthquake disaster broke out in Taiwan. The mainland authorities not only changed the original cross -strait policies, but instead showed Huairou's hope of Taiwan's policy position;Relationships, expressing condolences and willingness to provide all necessary assistance.
In other words, because of the disaster factor of the cross -strait authorities, the conflict between the two parties was suspended, the mainland authorities stopped counter retaliation, and the Taiwan authorities suspended the political provocation of the two sides of the strait.In the short term, cross -strait nationalist emotions, humanitarian care, and national economy and people's livelihood have temporarily override the opposition and conflict of political principles.
This kind of political principles of the two sides of the disaster politics transfer, and focuses on disaster relief, rescue, reconstruction and reconstruction, reducing the continuous hostile stalemate of cross -strait relations.Based on this, Taiwan's internal independence radicals are facing disasters due to society, and temporarily gentle. The focus of social attention is in disaster rescue and reconstruction, not the awareness of Taiwan independence and normal national movement.Essence
Finally, disaster political science promotes the self -limitation of the mainland authorities for self -limitation and overlapping policies and measures.On January 4 this year, the mainland authorities announced that the M503 route was launched north to run north and the related connection routes related to W121, W122, and W123.This kind of unilateralist behavior, although the land side announced that the route has been approved by the International Civil Aviation Organization and conducted technical communication with Taiwan's civil aviation units.From the Ministry of Communications, the MAC, the Ministry of Defense, the National Security Conference and the Presidential Palace, they have raised their teasing to the mainland authorities.
At the same time, the Taiwan side adopted counter -work, including the Spring Festival overtime of two airlines that did not approve the mainland, and ordered foreign units to conduct international publicity to strive for discourse. The cross -strait confrontation has a trend of upgrading.
The unilateral behavior of the mainland authorities on Taiwan's policy, whether it is the soft and soft economic and social integration, preferential measures for residents, or the hard suppression of diplomatic space, military aircraft warships and aircraft carriers around the island, and martial arts deterrence.The second consensus has both the common political foundation. Especially the recent M503 route debate in the storm of the construction of diplomatic relations between the mainland and the Vatican. The hostility on both sides of the strait has shown spiral rising and caught in a vicious cycle.
The Taiwan authorities are facing the Hualien earthquake. At this time, if the mainland authorities adopt the Taiwan's international activity space and military threats, Taiwan will be even worse.However, if the mainland's suppressed policy against Taiwan will have a double -sided blade effect, it will not only lead to the departure of the people's hearts of the people of Taiwan, but also the construction of the people's heart and social integration on both sides of the strait, but also strengthen the hostility of the people to the mainland power.A suppressed regime that does not have people and spirituality will lose its moral image, and it is difficult to obtain the support of the people.
Basically, disaster politics is full of humanitarian care and nationalist identity orientation, which will help promote cross -strait authorities that have adhered to political principles to temporarily shelve radical or suppression policies.
For the Taiwanese authorities, it can guide the demands of radical Taiwan independenceism and maintain the claims; for the mainland authorities, the temporary Huairou policy, slowing diplomatic suppression and force exhibitions will avoid wounds sprinkle salt to stimulate the people of Taiwan at this time.Sensitive political nerves.However, this temporary relief effect can help reduce the hostility cross -strait, but it cannot fundamentally solve the political differences and structural problems of cross -strait.
The author is an assistant professor at the Department of Public Affairs of Taiwan Foguang University