U.S. President Bynden published the second National Love Counseling in early February, showing that he is the presidential image of populism and the United States priority. It aims to strive for the second time American voters to push him to the president to the president through this image.throne.
First, the focus of Bayon's second National Love Consultation is the contribution of self -proclaiming to the US economy.He described the key data of the US economy: it created 12 million new jobs, which is a record of creative achievements; the unemployment rate is 3.4%, the lowest in 50 years; it has created 800,000 high -paid manufacturing jobs. ThisIt is the fastest growth in 40 years; inflation is declining; the government has reduced the deficit of more than 170 billion US dollars (about 260 billion yuan) -this is the largest deficit reduction in American history; increasing exports to American productsCreate American employment opportunities.
These numbers are not compiled by Biden, they are announced after the statistics of the relevant agencies, but explaining the causal relationship behind these numbers must not be attributed to Biden's governance.For example, the number of jobs in the United States will rise and fall, and the reason is sometimes not related to the president's policy.According to data from the US Labor Statistics, since the beginning of the epidemic, the number of jobs in manufacturing has rebounded, but until May last year, the number of manufacturing positions exceeded the level of February 2020, which is still lower than the 2008 before the major decline.Therefore, it is not a record, and Biden is a bit bragging.However, in February, the United States still added 310,000 and 1,000 jobs.Analysts at Peterson Institute of International Economic Research recently said that although the banking industry has recently become turbulent, economic recession is not the most likely result of the US economy in the next two years.
But Bayeng's government created a huge deficit is the other side of economic issues.Moody's Analysis Company's senior director of economic research Dan White pointed out to the United States CNN (CNN): "In fact, the Bayeng government's policy increases deficit instead of reducing deficit." Bayeng's policy will make Bayeng's policy make the policy of Biden's policy.The deficit between 2021 and 2031 increased by 4800 billion US dollars. If it is not counted as the American Rescue Plan in 2021, the deficit will increase by $ 2500 billion.The three major industrial policy bills signed and implemented by Biden: In 2022, the inflation reduction bill chip and science bill and infrastructure investment and employment bill are strong hearts injected into the US economy.The investment funds involved in infrastructure investment and employment bills are as high as 550 billion US dollars. In 2022, the funds raised by the inflation reduction bill were 738 billion US dollars, and the total appropriation of chips and science bills spent 39 billion U.S. dollars.800 billion US dollars.How to digest a huge deficit in the future will be a problem.
For example, Biden did not mention that imports in the United States have increased year by year, from US $ 2810 billion in 2020 to US $ 34 million in 2021, an increase of 21%, by 3960 billion in 2022,The dollar, an increase of 16.5%.This means that the trade deficit led by Biden increased from US $ 654 billion in 2020 to $ 845 billion in 2021, and in 2022 to $ 948 billion.This is a record that increased by 45%.
But Biden bragging about the propaganda of economic achievements is successful, increasing employment and reducing inflation is in line with the hearts of the people, catering to populist requirements.Biden directly shouted to the blue -collar workers and tried to change the attitude of voters to the economy by promoting his government's large investment in national infrastructure.After his speech, a fast public opinion survey of CNN seemed to prove that the decision of the president's focus on domestic achievements was correct, showing that political independent people's support for its economic plans soared from 40%to 66%.
Biden announced the campaign for re -election to laid a foreshadowing
Second, Biden shaped himself as a politician united the United States.He promoted the Unit of the Solidarity Aesthetic in his speech on the National Love Counseling, focusing on finding the fields of Democratic and Republican Party to reach a consensus.He called on Republicans to unite with Democrats and condemn the Republican Party to respect some of the most popular policies.
In September 2009, a Republican member from South Carolina Joe Wilson interrupted the speech of President Barack Obama at the parliament venue and shouted "You lie."Afterwards, Wilson apologized: "I have made my emotions out of control." Subsequently, the House of Representatives voted officially condemned Wilson.Today, more than 10 years later, this scene was now in the speech of Biden.Georgian member Mago Lili Taylor Green also shouted "Liar!" Republicans repeatedly coaxed, laughed and shouted; old -qualified politicians Biden had already prepared psychological preparation for Republicans' performances.With the help of the media to render the noise of Republicans, it is conducive to establishing the image of his unity against the party.
Party, populism, and patriotism are the themes of Bayeng Guoqing Counseling.He used the U.S. Rescue Program Act infrastructure investment and employment bill chips and science bill and the inflation reduction bill created by the US rescue planning bill.The upper hand.Any Republican lawmaker took an extreme singing against the lecture on Biden, which is equivalent to the trap he set.Biden also accused some Republicans of conspiring social security and medical insurance.
Bayeng Gaogen's flags and patriotic flags, using the negative impact of the negative influence of the Differential Republican Party brought by the Trump's lawsuit to launch a foreshadowing for his 2024 campaign.The statement of the Second National Love Counseling is not so much a publicity of a policy of governance.
Third, Biden's achievements are not enough to support his second campaign.A polls jointly conducted by the Washington Post and the Journalist Department of the US Broadcasting Corporation found that 62%of Americans believed that his achievements in two years were "not much" or "almost no."Biden often mentioned that during his term of office, he led the Western alliance to fight against Russia's Russia -Ukraine war, and did not receive high evaluation.He was too pessimistic about the evaluation of Ukraine's fighting will in the early days of the war, and seemed to be confused to prevent Russia's nuclear upgrade.In addition, the Bayeng government did not implement a free trade policy, which disappointed the elite of liberalism.The inflation reduction bill has led to a trade dispute on the issue of subsidies in the United States and the European Union.These are the defeats of Biden's promotion of populism and protectiveism.
Some people in the United States also believe that Biden is a great president. He fulfilled his campaign commitment, but hoped that he should rest.The Democratic Party is discussing whether a 80 -year -old man will continue to run for the president.If Biden is re -elected, at the end of the second term, he will be close to 90 years old.Making such an old man who bumped into the United States in the United States is to create uncertainty for the United States.However, the Democratic Party's dynamics show that the Democratic Party's senior management is uniting to support Bayeng's re -election because they think that a 82 -year -old man starts the second term to meet the country's maximum interests, but because they are worried about the potential alternative plan: Make Harris: HarrisGet nomination to run with Trump or De Santis.Although 58%of the Democratic Party hopes that there will be a different candidate next year, Trump's status in the Republican Party has declined, and another Republican political star De Santis is not as good as Bayeng, and may bring Bayon's chance to win.Essence
The author is Shanghai current affairs commentator