Author: Tang Shaocheng
The re -election of the Kuomintang chairman ended, and the legislator Jiang Qichen won with the disparity votes. Although the voting rate was only 35.8%, it was the lowest since the KMT Chairman's direct election, and his term was only more than one year.The youngest Kuomintang chairman also brings a new weather.
Jiang Qichen was born in a political family, and the family members across the blue and green camps, which is completely different from the opponent Hao Longbin.Jiang will serve as the director of the Malaysian Government News Bureau in 2010. After that, Jiang will win the election for three consecutive legislators for three consecutive years. It is still less than 50 years old.
During the victory conversation on the 8th, Jiang Qichen mentioned Mr. Sun Yat -sen, the National Father, the Three People's Principles, the Republic of China and the Chinese nation.However, in the inauguration speech on the 9th, only the institutional value of the Republic of China's free and democracy, and strive to be peaceful and common well -being on both sides of the strait, as well as the reconstruction of mutual trust foundation on both sides of the strait, not to mention the fundamental position of 1992 consensus and opposition to Taiwan independence.The problem, the Tongtai only pays attention to the Kuomintang's rooting and transformation, and it is indeed the time of disadvantage.
In fact, as early as mid -February, the Kuomintang Chairman's re -election political opinion meeting, Jiang Qichen had already raised the issue of whether the 1992 consensus should be invalidated, but did not insist on abolishing, which has attracted considerable attention.In the inauguration speech, he also pointed out that you should not be opposed to generations, do not confront the dialogue, and inheritance, etc., can be explained as the replacement of the 1992 consensus, but the problem is to give up or reform the 1992 consensus?
Looking back at this year's election, there are many reasons for the defeat of the Kuomintang. Among them, the proportion of external factors is very high, and the turmoil in Hong Kong is even more important. It is worth considering to completely abandon the 1992 consensus.However, under the current situation of the Kuomintang's relatively sluggishness, it is understandable to deal with sensitive issues related to low -key.
Of course, it is not possible to fully confirm the attitude of Chairman Jiang's consensus on 1992, because he has advocated to rebuild mutual trust on both sides of the strait, which is exactly what the Kuomintang can focus on.In contrast to the Cross -Strait crisis caused by the Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan is absolutely indispensable for the Kuomintang's role, but it is a pity that President Jiang has not yet had ink.
Furthermore, if the pace of drawing Taiwan is continuously carried out by the United States, will Beijing turn a blind eye?A few days ago, the situation of the main aircraft around the Taiwan aircraft worsened, and the US Congress passed the Taipei Act, and the chairman of AIT Mo Jian's visit to Taiwan again was a noteworthy indicator.
Looking back at the past, during the period of Chen Shui -bian, Taiwan hit the wall between the United States and China. At that time, because there was still quite common interests in the United States and China, they accused Chen Shui -bian.Today, Tsai Ing -wen pro -the United States and China because of ideology and US -China trade disputes, and Beijing has also accumulated considerable reaction causes. The two sides of the strait are as thin as ice.At this time, Beijing really needed a down -step level, and this character is the Nationalist Party, which is similar to the ice -breaking journey in Lien Chan in 2005, and contributed to the safety and development of Taiwan at that time.
At present, the US legislature is constantly pushing Taiwan to the fire, while the administrative organs are more conservative. It can be seen that the United States is reluctant to see cross -strait conflicts because this will be trapped in the dilemma of support from the United States.Furthermore, if the one -party party in Taiwan has been in power for a long time, it will also lead to a large situation. At present, both the United States and the DPP can still stop the Taiwan independence referendum.Therefore, the timely political party rotation is the most in line with the interests of the United States.
In summary, cross -strait relations are related to Taiwan's life and death, and the role of the Kuomintang in Taiwan is indispensable, and the most important foundation is mutual trust in cross -strait.Although the CCP did not send a congratulatory message this time, it is important to depend on how the Kuomintang finds the appropriate role and positioning.The surface form is of course important, and the substantial relationship is even more critical.
(The author is a researcher at the International Research Center of the National University of Political Science)
