The spread of China's new crown pneumonia's epidemic has been preliminarily curbed, but it still cannot be taken lightly.The meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Friday pointed out that the inflection point of the development of the national epidemic situation has not yet arrived, and the prevention and control situation of Hubei Province and Wuhan City is still severe and complicated.The meeting emphasized that it was necessary to resolutely fight the Battle of the Hubei Defense and Wuhan, and resolutely curb the spread of the epidemic.

When the epidemic prevention and control occurred, the importance of stable economic growth has further increased.The Politburo Meeting has made detailed deployment in order to orderly promoting resumption of work, actively expanding effective demand, exerting the key role of effective investment, and stabilizing foreign trade.Make sure that the task of poverty alleviation is fully completed as scheduled.

The meeting requires positive fiscal policies to be more active and play a good role in policy financial effects; stable monetary policy must be more flexible and moderate, alleviate financing and difficult financing, and provide precise financial services for epidemic prevention and control, re -production and re -production, and the development of the real economy.Essence

At present, the epidemic spread has been preliminarily curbed, and the prevention and control work has achieved staged results. The number of newly confirmed cases and the number of suspected cases in the country generally declined, and the number of hospitalizations increased rapidly.In particular, the new cases of new cases outside Hubei have decreased significantly, and CCTV (CCTV) evening news network quoted the content of the meeting.

At the same time, we must see that the inflection point of the national epidemic development has not yet arrived, and the prevention and control situation of Hubei Province and Wuhan City is still severe and complicated. Governments at all levels must not relax and grasp the prevention and control of the epidemic, improve the prevention and control strategies and measures in a timely manner, and play in full.Winning the epidemic prevention and control of the people's war, overall war, and blocking war.

The meeting pointed out that we must improve differentiated prevention and control strategies for different regions.We must continue to increase the treatment, continue to increase support for medical staff and medical materials as needed, and strengthen the prevention and control of weak areas.It is necessary to do a good job of preventing and controlling the epidemic prevention and control of Beijing, and implement the strategies for classification and precision prevention and control in key areas of non -epidemic prevention and control.

We must care about the front -line medical staff, scientifically allocate medical forces and important materials, and strengthen the implementation of protective materials, living materials protection and protection measures.We must continue to grasp the production and supply of medical materials and necessities, and give priority to ensuring the needs of key areas.

According to CCTV reports, Chinese President Xi Jinping presided over a meeting of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee on Wednesday (19th) to listen to the report on the prevention and control of the epidemic, study the overall planning of the epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development.The meeting was reviewed.After that, the Central Political Bureau today held a meeting.

This also means that in order to cope with the sudden outbreak of the new type of coronary pneumonia, China's highest decision-making level, the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, has held four meetings in just nearly four weeks;February 3 and February 12.

The new cases of new crown pneumonia that have already declined in China rebounded in the data notified on Friday.EssenceThis incident caused a number of officials to be removed from office.

Increase the importance of steady growth

The themes of the first three Politburo Standing Committee meetings are basically deployed around the prevention and control of the epidemic. In addition to listening to the report of the epidemic prevention and control work, the Fourth Standing Committee Meeting also studies the overall planning of the epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development.

Although the epidemic of new coronary pneumonia has a significant impact on economic operations, the Chinese economy has huge toughness and potential, and the trend of long -term good will not change.Today's Politburo Meeting states that it is necessary to make a good job of preventing and controlling the epidemic and economic and social development, unswervingly implement the new development concept, deepen the supply -side structural reform, fight three major attacks, and do a good job of lsquo; six stabilization rsquo;Work.

The meeting requested that the enthusiasm, initiative, and creativity of all aspects should be used to minimize the impact of the epidemic, strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, realize the task and task of winning a well -off society in an all -round way, and the 13th Five -Year Plan.

We must unswervingly fight the three major battles.Ensure that the task of poverty alleviation is fully completed as scheduled, give priority to the return of migrant workers in poor areas, and help the assistance of poverty and return to poor farmers due to the epidemic;The shortcomings of medical waste and hazardous waste collection and treatment facilities; fighting to prevent and resolve major financial risks, and resolutely keep the bottom line that does not occur without systemic risks.

It is expected that the epidemic will drop the growth rate of GDP in the first quarter. However, in the second, third, and fourth quarters, the compensation growth of some industries has adjusted the counter-cycle policy. The economic growth rate may rebound to the 6.0%-6.5%range. CITIC Securities ChiefEconomist Zhu Jianfang said.

He believes that in the past year, since the GDP accounted for about 22%of the year in the first quarter of 2019, less than 1/4, it is expected that the economic growth rate in the first quarter of 2020 will not cause a particularly serious impact on the whole year, The next three quarters can partially make up for the losses in the first quarter. It is expected that the annual growth rate will be 5.6%-5.7%. Although about 6%of the predictions predicted before the epidemic will decrease, the level of this growth rate can still be guaranteed to be fully completed.The GDP that built a well -off society doubled the goal.

However, Lu Ting, the chief economist of Nomura China, was slightly pessimistic.He believes that the demand and production of suppressed delay will occur after the epidemic is controlled. Therefore, only the 2020 China's GDP growth forecast in 2020 has slightly raised from 5.6%to 5.5%.

In terms of policies, the government's current key work is to orderly promoting the resumption of work and re -production of various types of enterprises, especially to help small and medium -sized enterprises to successfully pass the epidemic difficulties. After the epidemic is controlled, the government will gradually introduce some easing policies to use it to use it to use it to make some loose policies in orderBooking investment and consumption demand; but in view of the limited policy space, the possibility of a new round of large -scale stimulus measures is less likely to occur.

In response to the harm caused by the epidemic to the enterprise, China will help the enterprise to reduce the burden and reduce fees. Only staged reduction can reduce the payment of three social security enterprises at least 500 billion yuan or more.The treatment is paid in full on time.

How to do steadily growth?

The Politburo Meeting pointed out that the economic and social operation order that is compatible with the epidemic prevention and control should be established, and the re -production and resumption of production are promoted in an orderly manner, and the flow of people, logistics, and capital flows in an orderly manner, and the economic and social cycle is unblocked.standard.

The transportation and transportation transportation of re -production is the pioneer. It must open up the arteries and unblock micro -circulation. Governments at all levels must orderly organize migrant workers to return to their posts across the region to ensure the demand for daily protection materials for resumption of work and prepare for the daily protection of re -work enterprises.

The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Affairs and other ministries and commissions recently issued a notice of the service guarantee work guarantee work protection work guarantee work for migrant workers' return to work, and requested that for migrant workers who have existing jobs and newly determined jobs, organize and organize centralized regions and centralized enterprises.Point -to -point migrant workers' special car transportation services to ensure the safe and orderly return work of migrant workers with scale and batch of migrant workers.

The meeting stated that it is necessary to increase assistance to key industries and small and medium -sized enterprises, rescue policies must be accurately implemented, and policies must run in front of trapped enterprises.It is necessary to help industries that are seriously affected by epidemic affairs such as catering, sports entertainment, transportation, and tourism; we must do a good job of stabilizing agricultural products and protecting the supply and conservation, and do a good job of spring plowing and agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation.

Actively expand effective demand, promote consumption replenishment and potential release, play a key role in effective investment, increase the construction of new investment projects, and accelerate the progress of project construction in construction.Increase support for reagents, medicines, and vaccine research and development, and promote the accelerated development of biomedical, medical equipment, 5G networks, and industrial Internet.

At the same time, deepen opening up and international cooperation.It is necessary to strengthen communication and coordination with economic and trade partners, prioritize the restoration of production and supply in the global supply chain and key links that have important influences in the global supply chain, and maintain the stability of global supply chain.To support export key enterprises, resume work as soon as possible,Give full play to the role of export credit insurance.

In addition, the guarantee of people's livelihood should be strengthened.It is necessary to implement a good employment policy, encourage flexible employment, and do a good job of employment in key groups.It is necessary to strengthen the basic living security of people in urban difficulties and do a good job of providing stable prices for basic people's livelihood commodities.Do a good job in the protection of people without support, and timely take care of medical staff, cadres, workers, community workers, etc. during the prevention and control of the epidemic, to properly take care of their families.

Source: Reuters

Author: Qiao Yanhong