(Geneva syndrome) Although the number of new cases of COVID-19 in China in 2019 is declining, experts are still preparing for crown disease in the future.
Global health officials said on Tuesday that China has blocked Hubei Province and gave a few weeks of defense.However, this failed to prevent the spread of this virus, and new cases are constantly rising around the world, and it may still cause great popularity.
Can't develop from historical predicting epidemic
Howard Middot, a medical historian in the University of Michigan, who is engaged in influenza research; Markle said: Every kind of virus is different in hellip; HelloP;Know what will happen in the future.
Markle pointed out that the common point of the crown epidemic and some epidemics in the past is that there are also artificial negligence.In 1892, the Virgin Virlea epidemic in Germany's burger was concealed by some cases because of concerns about the affected port activities. As a result, the epidemic spread. 8,000 people died of cholera in Hamburg, and the epidemic spread to New York.
This time, local officials in Wuhan were accused of the threat caused by weakening the virus in the first few weeks.
Since the outbreak of December last year, the scope of crowning 19 has exceeded 2003, which has been infected by tens of thousands of people in less than three months.In the face of such viruses that have not been seen before, the human immune system looks very fragile, and there is no vaccine to prevent the virus infection, and there is no effective treatment.
Researchers don't know much about the new virus. One key problem is MDash; mdash; whether this virus can spread without symptoms of patients.
The simulation results by the University of London's Health and Tropical Medicine School show that if most patients will transmit viruses to others before they have severe symptoms, the efficacy of epidemic conditions will be greatly reduced through existing measures.
Steven Middot, a professor at the MRC Global Infectious Disease Analysis Center of London Empire Institute of Technology; Riley said: This virus is very resistant.There are many more people infected with crown diseases than those who were infected with Shas.We don't want this virus to become a long -term human pathogen.If it begins to spread in other parts of the world and maintain relatively serious virus characteristics, this will be what we have never seen.
It is certain that the number of crown cases will continue to increase.Last Saturday, a U.S. passenger, a luxurious cruise ship, who was parked in Cambodia, was diagnosed in Malaysia on the way back to China. This caused other passengers to be infected with crown disease and brought the virus back to their country.
In order to strengthen epidemic prevention, the American Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced last week that in five major cities, they conducted coronary detection for patients with influenza symptoms.
The next three weeks is the critical period
Middot, an expert in infectious diseases at the University of Minnesota; Ostholm pointed out that with the global strengthening of epidemic prevention, we will better understand the severity of this epidemic in mid -March.He said: This is just the beginning.If the virus spreads to the world, this will become a major epidemic in 1918.The next three weeks are critical.Ostholm refers to the popularity of millions of life in the first century.
In a research report released by the China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this month, although the crown disease 19 epidemic has stabilized, it may still rebound in the next few weeks.
The report reads: Although the epidemic situation showed as of February 11 has declined, the epidemic situation has not yet ended, especially after the resumption of work, a large number of people flow and contact, increase the risk of coronary pneumonia.The discovery and disposal of the first case of the unit to prevent the epidemic rebound.
