Author: Teng Xinyun

On February 9th and 10th, the military planes of the PLA of China crossed the airspace around the Taiwan Strait in two ladders, which caused a large commotion in Taipei.Ma Xiaoguang, a spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of Mainland China, claimed that it was the public and dangerous provocations of the DPP authorities, the actions to maintain national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and at the same time advised the DPP authorities not to play fire.Another comments pointed out that the PLA's military plane around Taiwan twice was a warning of Beijing's warning Vice President Lai Qingde to visit the United States for hooking activities.

In fact, the PLA's actions in the waters around Taiwan, instead of scaring Taiwan with military planes around Taiwan, may be that when the mainland epidemic is getting worse, in order to show that the People's Liberation Army's combat reserve is as usual, it is a kind of external external external external outside.Obligation.The mainland shows to the outside world. Although the mainland is in a very state due to the raging of the new crown pneumonia, there is an overseas forces with poor attempts. Do not take this opportunity to act lightly.There is a tendency to weaken.

In addition, under the situation where the Wuhan epidemic has not eased, the economy of the mainland may be deeply damaged because of the suspension of various social activities; the pressure and dissatisfaction of the people's brewed in the impact of the people may also be converted to related political decisions.Even the vent of the entire administrative system, especially the accountability and criticism that may occur in the spread of the epidemic, is a governance issue that the mainland needs to face.Will the Hubei Provincial Party Secretary be replaced, will it be the end of accountability?

Attribution accountability started

Mainland seniors may have realized a sense of dual crisis in politics and economy.This sense of crisis has led to subconsciousness in the mainland's subconsciousness for internal and external insecurity, so it is necessary to make some outward power display.In other words, at the moment when the epidemic is serious, the PLA will also send military planes to go around, perhaps a movement focus and self -protection.

In response to the actions that dispatched military planes around Taiwan within 24 hours on February 9th and 10th, the Pacific U.S. military also entered and exit the air areas around the Taiwan Strait with two steps on the 12th.EssenceThe U.S. military traveled through the Taiwan Strait from south to north with two MC-130J special fighters, and two other B-52 bomber flying from Guandao remotely traveled from north to south in the eastern airspace of Taiwan.

The U.S. military is near the Taiwan Strait with a less tactical sensitivity MC-130, and the MC-130 is a special model that projected its special troops as the US military, not a task for air excellence or ground attack; but U.S. military aircraft crossAfter all, the Taiwan Strait has full political meaning.Secondly, the two B-52 with powerful long-attack capabilities appeared in the remote airspace, which filled the tactical deterrent.The U.S. military uses two specific military planes in the Taiwan Strait and its surrounding airspace to achieve the force display of strategic and military meaning.

The U.S. military high -profile response to the PLA's outward operation, which is the policy adopted by President Trump's appointment.During the administration of President Obama, the United States took the attitude of the mainland in the South China Sea's military operations too weak and negative, and did not take substantial measures on Chinese actions.The island and the establishment of military facilities on it.

Continental advantage in the South China Sea

After Trump came to power, he began to take a tough stance on the outbound operation of the mainland in East Asia. However, it was found that the affairs of the mainland in China in the South China Naval has become a fact. China ’s advantage in the region has formed. ThereforeThe right of navigation has added many difficulties.

Yin Jian is not far away. The Pacific U.S. military must respond to each exit operation of the PLA to avoid encouraging the PLA to adopt more radical actions due to the inaction of the United States, and even misjudgment the United States' determination, which eventually causes imbalances in East Asian power.This is after the PLA's long -term training in the Taiwan waters, the US military also dispatched the cause of the army to show muscles.As long as the Chinese and American armed forces maintain a military balance around Taiwan in the short term, the chances of force conflict between the two sides of the strait will be reduced.

(The author is researcher and doctor of Taiwan International Strategy Society)