To fight against the new coronal virus, you must prepare for long -term anti -Japanese

Economic Daily News

From December 31 last year, Mainland China officially announced that there was unknown pneumonia in Wuhan. The development of the new crown virus epidemic has been more than 40 days. Recently, the World Health Organization (WHO) acknowledged that the epidemic has not yet reached its peak.The restrictions on personnel have continued to increase, and various signs show that the impact of the new coronal virus is no less than SARS 17 years ago.

At present, when responding to the new coronary virus, countries and enterprises often use the experience of the SARS epidemic. Both are coronary viruses. However, from the current development of the epidemic, the two are still different.It can calm down.When the SARS epidemic broke out in 2003, the mainland official officially announced atypical pneumonia on February 10 of that year. After that, the epidemic was passed to overseas. It was not until July 5 of that year that WHO announced that Taiwan was removed from the epidemic area.Although there are SARS cases in the world, they are small -scale infections in laboratory, and there are no large -scale popularity.

At present, those who look at the new crown virus epidemic most believe that the new coronal virus is similar to SARS. When the temperature rises, the epidemic will ease;Disease.Judging from the current mortality rate of the new crown virus than SARS, but the characteristics of spreading higher than SARS, the new coronal virus may not be due to the coming of summer, as if it is ascending to zero cases.

Recently, there have been disseminators who have no symptoms of new coronary viruses in various countries, which has deepened the vigilance of various countries to prevent the prevention of new coronal viruses. Director of Health and Vice President Chen Jianren during the SARS period recently warned that the evolution of the new crown virus is likely to flu.Experts have similar views, showing that the front of us against the new coronal virus is likely to pull longer and longer than SARS that year.

When the SARS epidemic occurred, it only had a significant impact on the economic performance of the second quarter of the world in the world. With the dismissal of the epidemic alarm after July, the economy of Asian countries, including Taiwan, recovered rapidly.If the influenza of the new crown virus is realized, we must prepare with the thinking that is different from SARS. The length of time and the breadth of the influence of abortion logistics must have the worst intended for the enemy's worst.

This year's new crown virus's threat to the economy is better than SARS. Compared with 17 years ago, the role of the world factory currently played by the mainland is more important.The city has successively sealed the city or semi -sealed city, and the crisis of the industrial break chain is increasing.On the other hand, after the SARS epidemic appeared at the end of the Spring Festival of the mainland, the workers had returned to work, but after the new crown virus this year, a large number of workers still could not return to the factory. In addition, the logistics was blocked due to the epidemic.With migrant workers, even if the work is resumed, the production capacity has not returned to the level before the outbreak of the epidemic.

Observing whether the new crown virus epidemic is eased. In addition to the number of cases, another indicator is whether the Central Committee of the Mainland China is held as usual this year.If the two sessions are held as scheduled this year, it means that Beijing has a certain grasp of the prevention and control of the epidemic, otherwise it means that the epidemic is still on the waves, and the mainland will take a longer time to lower the number of cases.Another observation indicator is when when the closed management measures of the four major metropolitan areas of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen are loosened. These four metropolitan areas are the window of the mainland economy. Only when the epidemic is slow, the metropolitan area restores the normal state, and the mainland economy can gradually return back.To the right track.

Looking back at Taiwan, although the current government's primary work is to prevent epidemic prevention, it cannot be underestimated by the impact of epidemic on the economy. The time for the impact of the new crown virus on the economy may exceed SARS, and the breadth of the impact on the industry may be more than that, butAt present, the government's evaluation of the new crown virus affects the economy is limited to individual industries, and the lack of overall evaluation and response plans. In particular, the Ministry of Economic Affairs has recently been busy dealing with the chaos of masks, so that it is impossible to fully deal with the threat of the economy on the economy.

We call on the Executive Yuan to combine the national development and the Ministry of Economic Affairs and other cross -minions forces to re -take stock of this year's general economic situation and formulate comprehensive rescue plans for various industries.In terms of the worst estimation, the new crown virus will not only be extinct this summer. In the next winter, it may come again. Enterprises must be prepared for long -term anti -Japanese war and annual anti -Japanese war.