Source: Hu Xijin Weibo
Author: Hu Xijin
If the United States has started a full war, China will have another 20 -year development opportunity period. Is this that?
President Trump said that if there are Americans and the United States, the United States will not hesitate to destroy Iran's 52 targets.He also said that he will launch some new and beautiful equipment for Iran.Earlier, officials of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard said Iran had targeted 35 goals in the United States.The commander of Sulemanni said that people would see Americans passing through the corpse in the Middle East.
These may be threatening each other. Iran needs to appease its army and the people, and the United States wants to scare Iran not to take revenge.But through this warning to promote Iran's calm approach, the logic that realizes all loses is fragile.
Just as President Trump wants to use killing Sulemanni to win the support rate, the Iranian regime is also facing tremendous pressure to make the American blood debt repayment.It is not politically dangerous for the Iranian regime at all to take action at all. Ending in this way is also generally not optimistic by analysts from various ways.
Iran may pay attention to the election of the United States, especially in the United States, especially unable to afford war, and take some revenge operations.Or Tehran restrained, but some of the Middle East for some pro -Iran retaliated the US goal.There may be some attacks on the targets of American goals in all parts of the world.No matter what the situation, it may form a very sensitive one.
Theoretically, when the United States and Ievy are highly tight and the conflict upgrades are imminent, they will be attracted and mobilized, and take action to make the two sides come true.Therefore, if Meiyi does not want to really move towards a large -scale war, the two sides must reduce the door -to -door, do not seduce the impulse of various risks, so that what they say in their mouths does not really want to do such a way that they can't control.
Here, Lao Hu also told the Chinese public that if the United States and Ievy started the war, it would be greater than that of China.Lao Hu saw a saying on the Internet that the United States and Iraqi started war. China will have a period of 20 years of development opportunities, because the Middle East can restrain the energy of the United States and make it unable to achieve the strategic transfer of China.The idea is too simple.
If the Middle East is chaotic, it can indeed make the United States more difficult to get away and disperse the attention of the United States.But at the same time, it is seen that China ’s oil procurement in the Middle East is already the world’ s first, far exceeding the United States ’dependence on the Middle East oil.In addition, China has invested a lot in Iran, Iraq and many countries in the Middle East. In that area, it has long been at a different economic interests. The impact of chaos in the Middle East to the United States and China is different and complicated.
No matter how chaos in the Middle East will not affect the United States 'strategic alert to China, it may change the sorting of the United States' urgency to deal with things.This change in sorting can only be short -term, which is not much useful for China.Mei Television China is a strategic competitor. This positioning cannot be changed. In the long run, China cannot expect a regional conflict to help us relieve the pressure of strategic top -level. China must build a long -term ability to deal with the pressure of the United States.
China's ability to influence the trend of the US -Irald conflict is very limited, and our opinions cannot become the main basis for any decision -making of the United States and Ichida.This should make them clear and avoid misunderstanding.
At the same time, we are also important third parties in public opinion and morality.The United States killed Sulemanni in violation of international law and damaged regional peace. This should be the basic understanding of Chinese public opinion on the situation.China should give Iran more sympathy, which is a necessary balance to ease the situation in the area.Iran, who has suffered such a big loss, needs to get more comfort from international public opinion. All parties should not further stimulate it and force it to fulfill its retaliation threat to the United States.
Lao Hu noticed that killing Suleimani in the United States has also received a lot of controversy.It is hoped that the American power will be tried to judge the situation.
