Author: Hu Yong
A wave of twists and turns finally achieved substantial results.Late in Taipei time on Friday, the two governments of the two countries almost announced that they had reached an agreement on the text of the first phase of the economic and trade agreement between China and the United States.Although there are still variables in subsequent review, signing, and execution, after all, it is the first time that the Sino -US trade war has reached a white paper and black words in the past two years, showing the determination of the economic and trade recreation of the two sides.It also proves that Sino -US relations in the era of strategic competition still have room for compromise and cooperation.The DPP, which has accumulated a heavy accumulation of Sino -US relations, can wake up to the United States.
After the Trump administration came to power, it was publicly defined in mainland China as its main strategic competitors. It has made comprehensive difficulties in China in various fields such as economy, trade, and security, and broke the relative stable relationship model that has long competition and cooperation between China and the United States for a long time.However, the exacerbation of Sino -US competition does not mean that there is no room for cooperation. In the era of globalization, the competition between China and the United States is different from the US -Soviet cutting during the Cold War. It is difficult to imagine that China and the United States are completely decoupled.
As far as the trade war is concerned, although the mainland has endured tremendous pressure on the economy, the United States has paid a heavy price.The Financial Times reported that since the outbreak of the Sino -US trade war, the United States' exports to mainland China have decreased by $ 33 billion.The issue of Sino -US trade imbalances in Trump Nianzi actually worsen further.Not to mention the grievances of American companies, farmers and consumers have affected Trump's election.Trump may not care about the overall situation of Sino -US relations, but he will definitely go for re -election.It is undoubtedly Trump's priority to get a more beautiful transcript with the mainland to get a more beautiful transcript.
What is more concerned about is that in the face of the continuous provocation and pressure of the United States, Beijing has maintained a rare strategic determination, both brave and good at compromising, and at the same time strive to stabilize Sino -US relations.Recently, the contradictions between the United States and the United States have been intensified again due to the Hong Kong issue, and at the same time, China has cut the Hong Kong issues and economic and trade issues.According to Beijing's statement, the agreement is not only in line with the fundamental interests of the people of China, the United States and the world, and generally in line with the general direction of the mainland's deepening of reform and opening up, and the inherent needs of its own high -quality economic development.In the details of the agreement, the mainland has also gained it. It is not as the United States rendering the result of the entire Chinese commission, otherwise such cooperation will be difficult to sustain.
In short, the competition and confrontation between China and the United States are indeed increasing, but they cannot exaggerate, thereby ignoring the space and potential of the cooperation between the two sides, and it is not the only basis for decision -making in strategic competition between China and the United States.Unfortunately, the DPP authorities that perform the so -called anti -mid -line routes hurriedly selected the team in China and the United States in a hurry in China and the United States, gambled in Sino -US relations, and went to the United States.It turns out that the DPP is likely to be wrong.
It is undeniable that under the framework of Sino -US strategic competition, US -Taiwan relations have developed rapidly in recent years. Many things that have been done in the past are now open.This has made the DPP extremely useful, and then brags the best in the history of Taiwan -US relations.However, after all, the US -Taiwan relations are subject to Sino -US relations. As long as China and the United States have not completely broken down, and there is a need for cooperation, the United States is more or less afraid of the mainland.
Different from the waywardness of the DPP when playing the United States, the United States has to look forward to it.Taking Tsai Ing -wen's high -profile transit New York this summer as an example, the US government's senior management deliberately avoided it. Even if the U.S. people came to visit, they were closed to talk.Not long ago, the US State Department's Asia -Pacific assistant Qing Steve publicly reiterated that the United States did not recognize Taiwan as a sovereign country.In China Meimei, it is not easy to reach an economic and trade agreement. When the sensitive moment of the subsequent procedures, the United States is unlikely to help the Democratic Progressive Party.The Democratic Progressive Party should still be sober.
