Scholars: Sino -US trade negotiations will be more difficult in the future

China and the United States reached the first phase of trade agreement on Friday (13th). The United States basically satisfied the demands of no longer added new tariffs in China. China also basically meets the procurement of agricultural products that US President Trump is most concerned about.Ask.Scholars of interviewees pointed out that the later negotiations will be much more difficult.(France -France -France -France Archives)

You Runtian [email protected]

Beijing Special Commissioner

China and the United States reached the first phase of trade agreement on Friday (13th). The United States basically satisfied that China ’s most concerned no longer increased new tariffs. China also basically meets the demands of agricultural products that US President Trump’ s most concerned about purchasing agricultural products.Scholars of interviewees pointed out that the later negotiations will be much more difficult.

After 22 months of consultation, China and the United States finally reached a 86 -page trade agreement to press the suspension button for the tariff war.US trade representative Leitchizer said on Friday that China Vice Premier Liu He plans to sign an agreement in Washington in the first week of January next year and negotiate on the second agreement.

The first phase of the agreement does not involve a deep -seated economic structural problem such as state -owned enterprise allowances.Shi Yinhong, a professor at the School of International Relations of Renmin University of China, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the United States did not take structural reforms as the focus of negotiations to achieve the agreement, but the United States would not give up this requirement, and the negotiations in the United States would be difficult.

He said: The agreement decelerated the tariff war, but the difficulties were still in the future.

The Global Times commented that the Sino -US trade war has been played for about 20 months. No one can overwhelm each other in the two countries. China and the United States have the ability to consume the trade war for a long time.Back to return, the two sides must compromise with each other and accept the largest convention of the interests of both parties.

Zhang Jianxin, a professor at the International Political Department of Fudan University, analyzed to this newspaper that the initiative of the Sino -US trade agreement is in the United States. The two parties can reach an agreement at this time, which means that the United States will definitely make concessions.

Trump's polls in Agricultural State declined, coupled with the Presidential impeachment of the Democratic Party, increased the pressure given by the Presidential Election in 2020.

This prompted him not to insist on the full agreement that he was pursuing in the past, but was willing to accept a phased agreement with one of the main contents of the procurement of Chinese agricultural products in China.

Beijing and Washington were announced on Friday according to their respective priorities to announce the news of the first phase of the agreement.

The two sides agreed that the United States canceled the measures to impose 15%tariffs on Chinese products on the 15th of this month on the 15th of this month on the 15th of this month. China will not implement counter -tariff measures originally planned to take effect tomorrow.

In terms of existing tariffs, the United States announced that the tariff rate imposed on September 1 this year will increase the tariff rate of about $ 120 billion in Chinese goods, from 15%to 7.5%, but earlier earlierThe 25%tariffs are kept unchanged.

Related Chinese expressions are more vague.China stated that the United States will fulfill the promise of tariffs on products improving Chinese products in stages and realize the transformation of tariffs from rising to fall.

In terms of purchasing agricultural products, Trump said that China agreed to purchase a large number of agricultural, energy and manufacturing products, and also said that farmers had to go out to buy a larger tractor because the agreement means that there will be more and more business.

Some China -US observors question

The US trade representative Leitshizo told reporters in the White House yesterday that China agreed to purchase 200 billion US dollars in the next two years, which will increase the average annual scale of agricultural products imported from the United States to US $ 40 billion to $ 50 billion.

Some Chinese -American observors are suspected of whether China can reach and maintain this purchasing volume, because the agreement means that the scale of American agricultural products that China will import in the future will double more than before the trade war.According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture of China, the size of the US agricultural products imported from 2015 to 2017 averaged $ 24.2 billion.

China is unwilling to disclose the specific scale of the purchase of American agricultural products, but it emphasizes the import of US agricultural products in conducive to filling China's supply and demand gap, and the agreement will also help expand the export of Chinese agricultural products to the United States.

The US Trade Representative Office wrote in a statement that the agreement has established a strong dispute resolution mechanism to ensure that the content of the agreement is effectively implemented.The Chinese statement did not mention the dispute resolution mechanism.

The two sides are roughly the same on the statement of intellectual property protection.The US statement said that China agreed to conduct structural reforms in intellectual property rights, scientific and technological transfer, and financial services.

Wang Shouwen, the deputy minister of the Ministry of Commerce and deputy representative of the International Trade Negotiation, introduced it at the press conference the night before that in terms of intellectual property, China and the United States have prolonged commercial secret protection, drugs, patent validity, geographical signs, piracy and counterfeiting on the e -commerce platform, and counterfeit, fake, and counterfeit, and counterfeit, and counterfeit.Camping malicious registration of trademarks and strengthening judicial implementation and procedures for intellectual property rights.

The United States claims that this is a historic and executable agreement. China claims that the agreement is conducive to strengthening China and the United States to strengthen economic and trade cooperation, effective management and control differences, and also help enhance the global market confidence and stabilize market expectations.