Sun Yangming: The variables cast by Lai Qingde

Author: Sun Yangming

Relevant persons in the United States have recently spoke about Taiwan's related issues; it can be roughly aware that the United States has adopted the Tsai government. In fact, it is a bird cage policy under the control of the United States.

First of all, the United States Asia -Pacific assistant Qing Steve said at a seminar on the 2nd at the Brookings Research Institute of Washington that the United States kept the Taiwan Relations Law and the United States and China three joint communiqués.For the country.This is the end of this bird cage.

However, the other end of this bird cage was Bo Ruiguang, the former chairman of the United States Association in Taiwan. When he was interviewed by the media on the 4th, it is difficult to imagine that the peaceful unity between Taiwan and the mainland will occur.His reason is that the two sides of the strait are so far -reaching, and the identity of the separation of Taiwanese is so strong.In fact, the relevant American personnel put forward this statement that Bo Ruiguang was not the first.As early as 1991, Bai Lezaki, the chairman of the former Taiwan Association, used exactly the same words to express the position of the United States. At that time, he said that the Taiwanese had different identities; Bai Lezaki at the time at that timeThe statement is generally considered to remind Taiwan and step on the brakes for cross -strait relations that are about to improve.

In other words, the United States' position in Taiwan's policy is: supporting Taiwan, but it is not possible to support Taiwan to go independence; even the so -called Taiwan sovereignty is unlikely to be supported by the US administrative department.The message from the United States clearly shows that this approach will definitely lead to the interruption of diplomatic relations in the United States and China, which is completely inconsistent with the interests of the United States, and not even in the interests of Trump himself.But on the other hand, to a considerable extent, the United States is fully aware of, and the identity of different identities in Taiwan is very clear.The US policy on Taiwan is existed in these two endpoints according to the interests of the United States at that time.

In fact, under this structure, whether the DPP vice presidential candidate Lai Qingde said whether to change the national number and the national flag recently must be determined by the 23 million people, which has exceeded the limit of the bird cage set by the United States -─ Maintaining the status quo and worsening the situation on the two sides of the strait is even worse, which does not conform to the interests of the United States.Former U.S. Chairman of the Taiwan Association, Bu Ruizhe, at the Brookings Research Institute on the 2nd that if Tsai Lianren, 2020, Beijing may continue or even increase the current intimidation. With this evaluation, if Lai Qingde factor is added, the Lai Qingde factorThe development of the situation may not be what the United States is happy.

Lai Qingde's statement also destroyed the balance between Cai Yingwen very careful.In order to win the election, Tsai Ing -wen has been obtaining the support of the United States support and the new trend, and the independent faction to obtain a flat rope; Lai Qingde's statement will undoubtedly make the United States effectively control Cai Yingwen in the future.doubt.In fact, the United States had a wishes to Lai Qingde. The United States had previously aware that if Lai appeared again, he would swallow it back.Therefore, this statement of Lai Qingde is undoubtedly a shadow between the United States and Tsai Ing -wen.

Whether Lai Qingde will form a variable in the relationship between Tsai Ing -wen and the United States because of this self -running style, it is worth observing.

(The author is senior media person)