Deng Qingbo
On November 19, the US Senate passed the so -called Hong Kong human rights and democratic bill, which caused strong dissatisfaction in China, saying that the United States ignored the facts, confuses right and wrong, violated the axiom, played with dual standards, blatantly intervened in Hong Kong affairs, interfered in China's internal affairs, and seriously violated international law and international relations.Basic criteria; China expressed strong condemnation and resolute opposition.
Earlier, China's highest leader ... emphasized that the Chinese government's determination to oppose any external forces to interfere with Hong Kong affairs.It is worth asking that the recent severe domestic shooting in the United States has frequently occurred. There are many troublesome things in the Trump authorities. Data show that there are many warnings in the economic development of the United States.Will it be so stubborn and keen to interfere with Hong Kong affairs?
It is not possible to get in the early days. Politicians clearly believe that interference in Hong Kong affairs and add to China is beneficial to the United States.The Trump administration and American politicians have clearly positioned China as the main competitors of the United States.
In the case of Sino -US trade friction, if you can play Hong Kong cards, intervene in the situation in Hong Kong, and hit the Hong Kong economy, some American hawks are bound to be happy.Perhaps in their eyes, this can not only damage the economic status of Hong Kong, allow more funds to return to the United States, but also interfere with China, and even make the phenomenon of anti -government violence in Hong Kong spread to mainland China, induced the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland can make the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland will make the color revolution of the mainland, so that the color revolution of the mainland will makeChina is turbulent.The United States itself only needs to launch an offensive in public opinion and make politically.
In fact, the same as American politicians feel that the situation in Hong Kong is becoming more and more favorable.Since the ruling, Cai Yingwen and the DPP have been lacking in governance. The support rate of polls has continued to explore at one time, but in recent times, it has suddenly skyrocketed.Almost all public opinion in Taiwan acknowledged that she picked up the gun, that is, by rendering the Hong Kong chaos, she shouted the so -called Hong Kong and tomorrow's slogan. The people who threatened the people of Taiwan not to accept one country, two systems, and supported Tsai Ing -wen and the DPP to host the mainland China to go to China in Mainland China.Measurement.
Tsai Ing -wen is also known as the so -called hot table girl.Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe bluntly said that if it was not for the Hong Kong incident, Cai Yingwen's polls would not stop falling back.Therefore, Tsai Ing -wen and the DPP will never be happy to see the situation in Hong Kong immediately calm down, and its dye refers to that the situation in Hong Kong is not secret.
It is also expected to make a profit from the chaotic situation in Hong Kong. Of course, there are some forces within Hong Kong.For them, the bright plan of strategic planning such as the Greater Bay Area of China before is obviously conducive to shaping the good prospects of integrating Hong Kong and the mainland, and improving the quality of economic and social development in Hong Kong as a whole.of.
Therefore, by randoming the situation in Hong Kong, to call the Hong Kong Government and the Central Government of China, forcing the Hong Kong government and the Chinese government to transfer more political power, and incite the Hong Kong people to seize more votes, compete with the Hong Kong government and the Chinese central government for the right.The governance power in Hong Kong is the urge that they will inevitably emerge.
Based on the profit from the Hong Kong chaos, the Democratic Progressive Party of Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen, or some of the forces in Hong Kong Island, will be angry with the United States and collusion with the United States.The Hong Kong -related bill passed by the United States at this time is the support of related forces on the island.However, it must be said that their purpose will ultimately be achieved.
It should be seen that even though the Hong Kong repair storm continues to spread and destroy Hong Kong's stability, it will indeed involve a considerable time and energy of the Chinese government, but it does not cause the Chinese government to be too passive.
Economically, although Hong Kong, as an international financial center, has continued to fall into chaos, China has already already has a metropolis such as Shanghai and Shenzhen, which can make up for many economic role in Hong Kong.The solid development foundation accumulated by China's 40 years of reform and opening up, after the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China strongly anti -corruption and integrity, establishing the Chinese dream goals, etc., further strengthened the cohesion and stability, which made the possibility of inducing color revolution in mainland China.
On the contrary, the interference in foreign forces in this round of storms in Hong Kong and the dynamics of Hong Kong independence, as well as the chaos after the color revolution of some countries in recent years, will also make the mainland people have a strong vigilance, making it difficult for them to sympathize with the demands of the Hong Kong warriorInstead, it will support the Chinese government's decisions.
Take the chestnut and change the bamboo basket in the fire
Therefore, American politicians think that it is possible to disrupt Hong Kong to disaster China, but it has limited.For Taiwan, trying to get shuddering in the chaos in Hong Kong, it is likely that stealing chickens will not erode rice.With the evolution of the situation in Hong Kong, the phenomenon of violence is becoming more and more difficult to cover up. No matter how Tsai Ing -wen and the DPP manipulate the truth of public opinion, some real information will always be learned by the people of Taiwan.
Since the chaos in Hong Kong, the Chinese government has always maintained a calm restraint, but it will gradually realize that the people of Taiwan have gradually realized that the Chinese government has indeed sincere treating one country, two systems.What's more, the act of Hong Kong thugs is getting more and more horrible. When reporting, the prejudice Western media also had to start adjusting the tone, and some of them acknowledged the violence and cruelty of the resistance.This will eventually make it difficult for Tsai Ing -wen and the DPP to render the situation in Hong Kong to instigate the operation of intimidating the people of Taiwan.
As for some forces within Hong Kong, the struggle they incited, especially the phenomenon of violence, and seriously disrupting the normal life of the Hong Kong people, will only make them more and more questioned by the people.In fact, since the situation has deteriorated, although the Hong Kong government, especially the Hong Kong Police Force, has undergone tremendous pressure from the outside world, but what has really gradually fallen into trouble is the behind -the -scenes power of inciting resistance.
Because they have retracted the dilemma, continuing to incite the struggle will only further upgrade the violence and become terrorism, which will inevitably lose the support of the Hong Kong people, and even Western public opinion will not be able to speak for them; abandoning the struggle, but it means that their goals will ultimately be able to achieve the failure to achieve.EssenceIn contrast, the abandonment of inciting struggle is the opportunity to stop bleeding for them, and the opportunity to obtain the understanding of the Hong Kong people in front of the line.
It can be asserted that the behind -the -scenes power of the parties who tried to use the shudder in Hong Kong's chaos. In the end, the bamboo basket must be empty, and it will even lose it.This is also the strong strategic determination of the Chinese government so far, and firmly supports the Qi of the Chief Executive and the Hong Kong Government to stop violence and restore order.
From a long -term perspective, as early as Deng Xiaoping, the Chinese government had foresee that Hong Kong's return to the implementation of one country, two systems, will not always be smooth. It has already reserved response measures from all aspects such as systems and governance.Hong Kong's storm seems to be dangerous, but it is impossible to shake the overall situation.
In fact, of course, the Chinese government is very reluctant to see the continuous chaos in Hong Kong and unwilling to see the people's lives and well -being of the people in Hong Kong.It is more vigilant, so as to support the Chinese government to strengthen the governance of Hong Kong under the principle of one country and two systems.China also has more sufficient reasons to further build a foundation and improve the governance of one country in Hong Kong.
Faced with the Hong Kong storm, the Chinese government has sufficient response and confidence.In fact, the more the storms continue, the more the United States' dual standards and politics are exposed, and it will even harm Sino -US mutual trust.Politicians think that the United States intervene in Hong Kong affairs, and it is naive that it will not pay the price.In the face of the calm self -confidence of the Chinese government, the U.S. government may be in the end of the tiger.
The current storm that seems to have a high fever is still a smallpox that will inevitably produce after the return of Hong Kong. The condition is dangerous.However, the longer the turmoil lasted, the more Hong Kong people will inevitably suffer more losses.The more than the storm and the restoration of order, the more conducive to Hong Kong residents.
The author is Chinese current affairs commentator
Taiwan Strait Relations and Public Opinion Researchers
From a long -term perspective, as early as Deng Xiaoping, the Chinese government had foreseen the implementation of one country, two systems after the return of Hong Kong, and no smooth sailing. It has already reserved countermeasures from all aspects such as systems and governance.Fan storm seems to be dangerous, but it is impossible to shake the overall situation.
