Source: Taiwan Economic Daily
The latest research shows that the global economy has entered a synchronous stagnation period, and some countries have weak growth momentum, and the economy of some countries has grown zero -growth, and even slightly shrinking.Analysts also pointed out that the global economy may face many risks before the end of the year.
The global economic recovery index (Tiger, also known as the Tiger Index) compiled by the Brookos Research Institute and the British Financial Times shows that the global economic indicators have fallen to the lowest in the spring of 2016. It has developed and emerging economy's substantial activities.The momentum of kinetic energy has weakened, the economic confidence has declined, and the performance of the financial market is relatively strong.
Although there are not too many global economic growth, the weakness of the global economic growth will become a sign of economic recession, but decision -making officials in various countries have been committed to revitalizing the economy in recent months. It is worrying that officials have only stimulated growth in the eyes of officials and lack of interest in effective reform.Senior researcher of the Brukins Research Institute, Plaosted, said: Trade relations continue to be tight, political unstable, geopolitical risks, and limited concerns about currency stimulus measures, continue to impact the confidence of enterprises and consumers, and inhibit investment and productive forces and productivitygrowing up.
Gordon, chief economist of Panmure Gordon, said that the global economy is facing many risks and the next few days will be a critical moment.Washington was originally scheduled to impose tariffs on land sacrifice again on the 15th. Although it has been temporarily put on the US -China trade negotiations, US $ 7.5 billion in European products such as Italian cheese and English whiskey will still encounter the Trump administrationPunish punishment tariffs.
According to Bloomberg's analysis, the global economy will also face many risks such as trade war, the downturn of manufacturing, the uncertainty of geopolitics, the rise of corporate profits, and the high willingness to expand the government.
However, Plastel also said that although the global economy is generally weak, it seems too too early to worry about the global recession, because global employment is still strong, which increases the income of the people and maintains the steady family expenditure.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Annual Conference will appear this week. It is expected that these two major international institutions will renovate the forecast of global economic growth again.After the United States and China reached a local trade agreement last week, the US Treasury Department will release the semi -annual exchange rate report this week, which may delete or dilute the wording of mainland China as the exchange rate manipulation country.
