Author: Wang Qin
Source: Zhongshi Electronics News
The latest two election polls announced that data from the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation showed that under the situation of blue and green duels, Tsai Ing -wen was far ahead of 30.9%of South Korean Yu with more than half support of 53.6%.Although the joint polls announced in the same time, although there is no such exaggerated gap, there are still 12%gaps.
Obviously, if the blue -green background differences of the polls are deducted, Tsai Ing -wen will lead South Korea's Yu at least 15%, which can be described as an absolute leading advantage.It should be known that only 9 months ago, the Democratic Progressive Party was almost caught in a disaster. Whether it was the DPP nor Tsai Ing -wen, it was abandoned by voters because of a series of false reforms and true power.
Tsai Ing -wen reverse the disadvantage
So why did Tsai Ing -wen's support in just 9 months passed?Many people tend to think that this is due to Cai Yingwen's strong operation from the beginning of the year, and the Hong Kong counterfeit fighting for several months has helped Cai Yingwen to further shape his own anti -China image.
However, these views have not been well verified in polls.According to the investigation of the United Daily News, the respondents' performance of Cai Yingwen's handling of cross -strait relations, although the satisfied person rose slightly compared with 31%, increased from 31%to 38%, but the dissatisfaction still exceeded 50%of more than 50%In other words, most people still disagree with Tsai Ing -wen's approach, and they are also worried that cross -strait relations will continue to deteriorate in the future.This is obviously different from Cai Yingwen's poll data from about half of the support.
It is worth noting that the polls of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation show that 48%of the people are satisfied with Cai Yingwen's overall politics performance in the past three years, which is higher than 44%of dissatisfaction.This detail may provide a better entry point, because before that, whether it is the blue camp or the polls of the green camp, the satisfaction of who is in the competition can reach a new low.Tsai Ing -wen's politics satisfaction has long reversed.
It can be seen that compared to the anti -China image that Tsai Ing -wen deliberately shaped, it has a more voting effect on the internal affairs level.In the past three years, the reform has brought serious social dissatisfaction. Therefore, after Su Zhenchang's cabinet came to power, he completely stopped various reform plans, and he never heard that the Legislative Yuan promoted new legislation and amendments to the internal affairs of the Legislative Yuan.In other words, the DPP has launched the campaign since the defeat of last year. The administrative and legislative have comprehensively cooperated with the needs of the election and no longer create any possible social dissatisfaction. On the contrary, the Executive Yuan has made full use of administrative resources to spread coins, and the Kuomintang also uses it.Busy with internal fighting, there is no time to supervise.
DPP is good at crisis treatment
In addition to these practices, the DPP's crisis treatment is also quite effective.Although the DPP deliberately avoids disputes, after all, the green camp buried too many flies and dogs, and there will always be an unexpected outbreak, such as a private cigarette case, such as the 3 million yuan incident of legislator Chen Mingwen, such as Tsai Ing -wen's own thesis door. ThesePutting on any political figure of the blue camp may be a major event of the disaster. In the end, it is not on the Green Camp. It is interesting that even Chen Ju, which Ko Wenzhe has been chasing, can also retreat throughout the body.In the process, in addition to mobilizing the online army to escort, the Democratic Progressive Party also pursued South Korean Yu through the practice of saving Wei Zhao to solve his own crisis. As for his own scandal, he adopted a small process of processing.A little bit of doubt, the will of the critics, the will also make the flowers watching flowers in the fog finally endlessly.
Of course, after all, these practices are still carved with small techniques. The key is to depend on whether the Kuomintang can integrate combat power and re -win public opinion.In fact, there are still many unprepared bullets of the DPP, and the Kuomintang does not lack the election ammunition, but can it come in handy and watch when the Korean Yu's election team can really be positioned.The longer the chance of success, the slim the chance of success.
