Ming Pao News Agency
On the 5th of this month, the Indian government suddenly used the presidential order to abolish Article 370 of the constitution that guarantees Kashmir's special status, splitting the autonomous yes Kashmir state into two central zones, which stopped the Indian version of the two systems and two systems.Stain the local area, implement a curfew, house under house arrest, break the Internet, and restrain public opinion.In addition to the strong rebound of neighbors Pakistan, which caused the sovereignty required by Kashmir, the international attention caused by international attention or even not as good as Hong Kong's anti -repair storm.Despite the support of China, the UN Security Council closed at the incident closed at the door yesterday, except for calling on all parties to restrain and resolve disputes peacefully.India's move has not only opened a bad precedent for international territorial disputes, but also brought new challenges to China's Belt and Road and Western border security.
Seeing a good precedent for starting territorial disputes in the international time
The Kashmir dispute was the historical burden left by the British in 1947 when the Indo -Pakistani division of India -Pakistan was divided.Under the mediation, Kashmir is divided into two parts: India Pakistan.Article 370 of the Indian Constitution stipulates that the Indian -controlled area has its own laws and flags. Except for foreign affairs, national defense, and communications are highly autonomous, other people else in India have restricted local settlement and investment in home.
The UN Security Council resolutions in August 1948, the UN Indo -Pakistan Commission resolutions in January 1949, and international law documents such as the Simira Agreement in 1972 have clearly defined Kashmir as a controversial territory.Therefore, India's cancellation of its autonomy not only means opening the local area to the local Muslim population structure, but also means that by modifying the domestic lawConcentrate with Pakistan's contradictions.Sure enough, Pakistan has announced a number of measures such as relegation with India's diplomatic relations, suspension of bilateral trade and cultural exchanges, and the border situation of the two countries has once again been tense.
From the perspective of international reactions, India has indeed accused the best time MDash this time; China and the United States are fighting for trade war. Beijing's attention is still restrained by Hong Kong.In trouble for Brexit, the signs of economic recession have attracted global attention. Therefore, India's big move in Kashmir did not attract too much international condemnation.The biggest victim of Pakistan is in trouble, and domestic political disputes are disturbed. The national strength is far from India, and it is difficult to have substantial countermeasures.
India's attempt to cancel Kashmir's special status for a long time.For more than 70 years, Hindu ethnicists have been absent from the Constitution Article 370 to condon Muslims and advocate abolition to establish a unified Hindu country.Article 370 of the Constitution has been revised and has only symbolic significance.This has also triggered a rebound in Muslims in the region. A large number of people fled Pakistan, and in the 1990s, the civil war broke out in the Indian control area.
Internal and external interests and disadvantages are vigilant and vigilant threatening China's interests
After the Hinduist ideas, the Modi government with a strong color of the Modi government came to power, it was said to strengthen control of Kashmir.One of the reasons that Modi emphasized this time after canceling its autonomy's status is to make local harassment from getting rid of terrorism.The party has promised to abolish the special status of Kashmir in the campaign program this year.India's economic situation is not good. Modi happened to take the opportunity to transfer the people's attention, and to pull votes for the ruling party in several state elections in October in October.
From the perspective of external factors, the negotiations between the United States and Afghanistan Taliban have made progress have also caused India to feel a sense of crisis.Because Pakistan played an important role in peace talks, US -Pakistan relations have recovered, and Trump even said to assist in the mediation of India -Pakistan disputes, making India worry about the United States to involve.The victory of Taliban encouraged India to control Kashmir Muslims forces.
However, Modi's radical approach and high -pressure means are also a step -by -step chess.This move has stirred up the resistance of local Muslims and Pakistan. Although Pakistani is unable to directly provoke military conflicts, it will increase support for anti -Indian armed forces and make the local situation aggressive.At the same time, this move exposed the mentality of Indian civilian contempt for international law and the United Nations's hegemony. More importantly, the rough approach of the Modi government will also cause psychological impact on ethnic minorities in other regions of China, exacerbate their domestic political divisions, and damage to damage.It is the international image of the world's largest democratic country and the efforts to strive to be the permanent member of the Security Council.Even the Hindu of the Hindu (The HINDU) of the Indian Mainstream English Newspaper was worried that the Modi government would take this opportunity to further expand the influence of right -wing nationalist ideology, and in the name of counter -terrorism, it eventually spawned the power of Militarism.
The Kashmir region is located between China, India, and Pakistan, and has extremely high strategic value.In the China Belt and Road Initiative, the flagship project in South Asia, the China -Pakistan Economic Corridor, is through the Papua -Kashmir region. Ladaka, one of the two newly established two central direct princes in India, contains the controversial Barry of the China -India border.Regions such as Parigas, this move is also regarded as a threat and challenge to the Chinese sovereign security.It is worthwhile that India is accustomed to making small movements when the improvement of China -India relations. In 1988, before the then Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi, the then Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi was promoted to the occupied southern Tibetan region to AruNacchalb, this incident happened exactly on the eve of Modi Foreign Minister to invite China to invite China in the year on the eve of the year. The sinister intention of New Delhi must be cautious to the Chinese side to do not fall into the trap.
