The polls before the primary election show that the gap between South Korea ’s and Guo Taiming does not exceed 10 %, but in the end, South Korea’ s Yu defeated Guo Taiming with a 17 % gap, causing the attention of many observers.
At the beginning of last year, it was also unknown and self -proclaimed to sell Cai Lang. The seat of the mayor of Kaohsiung City was not filled for one year, but as the outside world expected, he was about to run for the next year's election next year.
On Monday (July 15), the Kuomintang announced the results of the primary voters in the party election of the 2020 presidential election. South Korea ’s Yu defeated the second -ranked Foxconn founder Guo Taiming (27.7 %) with the average polls rate of 44.8 % polls.And Zhu Lilun (17.9 %) trained by the traditional Kuomintang system.According to the results of the junior voters, the Kuomintang is expected to officially nominate South Korean Yu as a candidate for the election on the 28th of this month.
In fact, before the preliminary polls, the polls showed that the gap between Korea Yu and Guo Taiming did not exceed 10 %, but at the last moment, South Korean Yu defeated Guo Taiming with a 17 % gap, which also attracted the attention of many observers.
The preliminary polls adopted by the Kuomintang shall be implemented by five polls, and the investigation will be one week, and the average results will be calculated to sort the five results.Compared with the preliminary election of the party's party, half of the mobile phone and market polls accounted for half, the Kuomintang's polls were carried out through the market.
Yu Zhenhua, who has long studied the Kuomintang and the current researcher and associate professor of the Department of Political Department, believes that polls are one of the rules of political party games.Primary selection polls are not true public opinion, but Taiwan ’s Mobile only has accounted for 30 % of the voting population, but it has not included their opinions.
The use of market dialects in polls also means that during the investigation, supporters must stay by the phone for a long time, waiting for random calls of the investigation agency.In this way, Guo Taiming was also described as a passive telephone game.
However, Yu Zhenhua analyzed that through the market -speaking investigation, the sample structure of the polls will be dominated by the middle and high age, and there are also voters who are willing to be mobilized by candidates.Judging from the final result, it is clear that South Korean Yu's ability to mobilize the masses is better than other candidates.
In the process of primary election, millions of Korean fans shouted the slogan of non -Korean non -Korean, but did not mention the Kuomintang of the Mansion behind the house, and also highlighted the trust of the supporters' trust in candidates.
Hanfan is greater than the Kuomintang, which is a crisis of the Kuomintang.Xu Yuren, a member of the Kuomintang, observed that Han Fan is actually projected by the current social phenomenon of Taiwan. They are dissatisfied with the Kuomintang who are dissatisfied with the ruling party and the Kuomintang who lacks discussions on the spindle.Han Fan) It is very similar to that of Trump's supporters in some ways.
And South Korean Yu's emotional appeal is also his mobilization advantage.Yu Zhenhua observed that South Korea ’s Yu was considered by the outside world and obvious support from the media of Wangwang Group. However, in terms of cross -strait and foreign policy, in fact, it is not much different from other Kuomintang candidates.Following it, it may be his emotional demand for the people, and he is good at gathered the marginal ethnic groups of Taiwan in the language of the people.In particular, South Korea ’s Yu emphasized that he was the non-mainstream of the Kuomintang in the past. From the perspective of populism, South Korea has the color of Anti-Establishment.
Because of this emotional demand and anti -building color, South Korea ’s Yu took the seat of the presidential election candidate from the local election last year.But next, he will welcome a series of rational tests: How to integrate the internal factions of the National Democratic Party?How to follow the impact of the internal and external situation on Taiwan's election?Will the cross -strait and foreign policies of South Korea's Yu change change due to the external situation?
At the press conference of the Kuomintang primary poll yesterday, South Korea ’s Yu accepted questions about the results of the Kuomintang integration and polls, but when a reporter asked: After you are a candidate, can you describe your diplomatic and cross -strait policyIntersectionSouth Korea ’s Yu, who never hesitate to stand on the cross -strait relations, responded like this yesterday:
Then I will report to you again.Please continue (ask).
A problem that skipped and did not answer also laid a foreshadowing for this campaign.
