Zhou Huilai
From June 20th to 21st, the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the President of China ... The supreme leader of China has been in North Korea for 14 years.The visit is not only a return visit to China in 2018, but also the final confirmation of the intimate track of China -DPRK relations.China arranged the visit on the eve of the Summit of the G20 (G20) Summit in Osaka, Japan. It also intended to show the key influence of China and the international community on the Korean Peninsula affairs in the United States and the international community.
On the eve of the visit, in major media such as North Korea's labor news, it published a signature article entitled to inherit the friendship between China and North Korea and continued to write a new chapter in the era of the times, and proposed the three new ideas that gave China and North Korea's relations with new connotations, injecting new impetus, and innovating a new situation.During the visit, he expressed China's three firm support for North Korea to Kim Jong -un, that is, firmly supporting the socialist cause of North Korea, firmly supporting the North Korea's implementation of a new strategic route, and firmly supporting the North Korean side's efforts to solve the problem of the peninsula and achieve long -term security of the peninsula.
The three firm support marks a new stage of development in the context of Sino -DPRK relations in the context of the new international situation and China's foreign strategic adjustment, and also set the three new meaning of China -DPRK relations: First, politically, public support, public support, public support, public support, public support, public supportNorth Korea's political system.China's political support is essentially a commitment to North Korea's national security and the security of Kim Jong -un. It also means that North Korea's status as a Chinese strategic asset is consolidated, and its weight and value in China's diplomatic strategy will be improved.
Emphasis on the inheritance of friendship between the friendship and traditional relationship between China and the North Korea is the embodiment of China's value to the value of North Korea's strategic assets, while the establishment of the mutual visits mechanism and intimate relationship between the two parties of China and the North Korea and the North Korea played a blessing role.Kim Jong -un has served as the highest leader of North Korea for more than six years, and the highest leaders of China and North Korea have not realized mutual visits.After visiting North Korea's fifth meeting of the heads of state of China and the North Korea since last year, it shows that the mutual visits mechanism of the Supreme leaders of the two parties between China and North Korea returned again.
Second, China supports North Korea for reform and opening up.After entering the 21st century, China intends to guide and encourage North Korea to embark on the road of reform and opening up, but North Korea has always worked hard and has little action.After Kim Jong -un came to power, due to the constraint of nuclear issues, North Korea's economic construction and development were still difficult.Therefore, at the Third Plenary Session of the Seventh Seventh Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the North Korean Workers' Party in April last year, Kim Jong -un announced the new strategic route of North Korea to concentrate on all forces to carry out socialist economic construction, fight for epoch -making to improve people's living standards, and make the international community refreshing.It is also in line with China's expectations.
More likely, China will support North Korea to join the Belt and Road Construction in appropriate circumstances, which is the best platform to support North Korea's new strategic route.Negotiations with the United States' abandonment of nuclear means that North Korea responded to China's double -pause and double -linked initiative with action.On this basis, China has reason to support North Korea to participate in cooperation in the Belt and Road Initiative.Participating in the Belt and Road Initiative, for North Korea, it can embark on the road of controllable reform and opening up. For China, it can speed up the pace of revitalization in Northeast China. For Northeast AsiaThe peace and stability of the Korean Peninsula laid the economic foundation.
Third, in the Peninsula's nuclearization, China encouraged and supported North Korea to negotiate with the United States on abandonment of nuclear.In essence, the North Korean nuclear issue is also a crux of China -DPRK relations.Due to the conflict between North Korea's forcibly supporting the nuclear and the interests of China and North Korea, the hot and popular China -South Korea relations have once built Sino -DPRK relations.On North Korea's nuclear abandonment, China and the United States have the same interests and space for cooperation. China supports North Korea's nuclear abandonment negotiations that are both conducive to their national interests, but also for Sino -US relations.Essence
The result of North Korea's nuclear abandonment will definitely be connected with a permanent peace mechanism, and the two will affect each other.Without a permanent peace mechanism, it is difficult for North Korea to abandon the nuclear.To establish a permanent peace mechanism, the relative balance of the geopolitical structure of the Korean Peninsula is a necessary condition.Although the nuclear has supported the South Korean and the United States and South Korea alliances that have surpassed their national strength, North Korea is still in the disadvantage of the geopolitical structure of the peninsula.China's support can make Kim Jong -un have greater confidence and confidence to actively participate in negotiations. This is why Kim Jong -un was going to visit China on the eve of two special gold clubs.
It is undeniable that the evolution of the Sanxin of China -DPRK relations and Sino -US relations is closely related.Since the establishment of the People's Republic of China, US factors or Sino -US relations have always been a major variable that affects the changes in the changes in China -DPRK relations, which is determined by the architecture of international politics.At the end of 2017, the United States defined China as a strategic competitor. It is a sign of the transition between the relationship between the two parties in the past few years of power in China and the United States. The competitiveness of Sino -US relations in the future will become more and more intense.Whether it is the adjustment of the US global strategy or China's response, it must be based on this to effectively interpret it.
Faced with the American congestion and the increasingly intense competition between China and the United States, of course, China needs to deal with both hands. On the one hand, strive to maintain Sino -US fighting without breaking the situation, prevent China and the United States from rupture, fall into the new Cold War, fall into Xiuqidde trapEssenceChina is very clear that Sino -US relations have gone into deterioration and disadvantages.Therefore, as long as it is possible to promote cooperation between China and the United States, China will definitely work hard to promote and support North Korea to abandon nuclear negotiations.
On the other hand, China must plan ahead to respond to the vicious situation that may occur in the US strategy to China.In the trend of shaping and guiding Sino -US relations, although China has increasingly capable capabilities, relatively speaking, the United States still has greater initiative and dominance.If the United States firmly embarks on the road of siege and curbing China, China cannot temporarily hold the buddha's feet to seek response, and the role of attaching importance to the strategic assets of North Korea is based on this consideration.
From this, there is a tension between China -DPRK relations and Sino -US relations.Political support for North Korea and encouraging North Korea to conduct nuclear negotiations with the United States, showing China's efforts to maintain a good Sino -US relations.The role of attaching importance to North Korea's strategic assets is prepared from the aspects of geopolitical competition between China and the United States.From this perspective, the Sanxin of China -DPRK relations is not shaped, and it will continue to adjust with the changes in Sino -US relations.
The author is Chinese independent commentator
