Author: Zeng Fusheng

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited Beijing, and the relationship between China and Japan has been bumpy over the years. During this time, the United States deliberately created Sino -Japanese opposite competition to the layout of sitting in with the favorable profit.Military control must only look at the American horse.

At present, President Trump's United States is prioritized and aggressive, and strongly demands that the Abe government reduces the trade surplus to the United States, increases the cost of sharing the US garrison and increases the amount of purchasing the US military.Business opportunities all the way to help the domestic economic growth and the success of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.However, the US -China strategy competes for heating up. The Trump administration regards China as its number one competitor. Vice President Pence will launch the Indo -Pacific strategic program in mid -November to restrain the Belt and Road Initiative and ask Japan to increase the responsibility of the allies so that AbeBalanced and Chinese -proof strategies have increased.

Recently, in order to create an atmosphere of friendship in October, Abe publicly stated publicly how to establish a constructive coordination mechanism with China and reduce the scope of the opposite side to expand cooperation, which will become a major issue in Japan.

However, the former Prime Minister of Japan Hatoyama Yuki bluntly stated that Abe shook hands against China's right hand, and his left hand fist will not produce true friendship. It shows that the Abe government has intensified the strategic competition between China and the United States.Strategies are going out, but there are still many problems to be overcome.However, Abe can face reality, and choosing the benefit of Japan and the Mid -Mid -American route is still worthy of Beijing's encouragement.

The latest report of the Ministry of Defense in Japan pointed out that US -China relations are at the crossroads. The United States is the only military alliance in Japan. China is Japan's largest trading partner country. Japan should actively urge Sino -US relations to stabilize.National security and East Asia are indispensable.However, Sino -Japanese relations are tangled with historical grievances and real interests. At the same time, the Abe government is subject to the United States and Japan's military alliances.If the Abe government will cooperate with the U.S. Indo -Pacific strategy, it will not only fall into the trap of arms competition, but also cause Japanese companies to suffer significant losses in the Chinese market. Besides, the Japanese economic prosperity wants to recover, it is impossible to depart from China, a nearly large market, which is nearly a large market.Essence

The Abe government believes that Japan must cooperate with China to inject new kinetic energy into the revitalization of the economy, and to avoid being left out or extorted by the United States.The Abe government has set the 2019 economic growth goal, actively promotes the Fukushima's nuclear food disassembly, and the number of visitors to the Tokyo Olympic Games and earning foreign exchange volume in 2020 require friendly Japanese -China relations.When Trump offers the United States prioritized to conquer the west, it is necessary to give full play to the general pattern of foreign diplomatic relations to let the foreign -neighbor -neighboring foreign policy be displayed in Sino -Japanese relations.The pragmatic route has shifted Sino -Japanese relations from confrontation to double losses to mutual benefit and win -win, and has become the positive energy of East Asia and the stable development.

Despite the current difficulty in the beauty of Chinese relatives, Abe flexibly uses a balanced strategy to develop a space for development for Japan and its own political life, and President Tsai should be able to get inspiration.First of all, Taiwan cannot rely on the United States, Japan to fight against China, so that Taiwan will not only face severe security risks, but also miss the opportunity to develop economic and trade cooperation with the mainland.Secondly, the Taiwan Guoan strategy is hovering at the crossroads. If the Trump administration will fully support Taiwan's anti -China, it may further deteriorate cross -strait relations, causing the economic difficulties of Taiwan's people's livelihood.

Diaoyu Islands disputes are still returning to normal tracks in the middle of Japan

This year marks the 40th anniversary of the signing of the China -Japan Friendship Treaty. In 2012, the Japanese government promoted the nationalization of the Diaoyu Islands, leading to a backstur of the relationship between the two countries. Abe's visit to the middle of the visit was considered to be the indicator of the ice breaking relationship between the two parties.Maintaining friendly relations should be a way that conforms to Japan's interests.

Although Abe has repeatedly expressed his hope that this trip will make China -Japan relations be improved to a new stage, the Japanese diplomatic system evaluates privately. In pragmatism, Sino -Japanese relations only return to normal tracks.

Just before Abe's visit, the Chinese official ship still appeared around the Diaoyu Island every day, and entered Japan's territorial sea again last week.There are differences in values in China and Japan. The competitive relationship between regional powers and the Diaoyu Islands' sovereign disputes involved in the Diaoyu Islands Lieyu is even more difficult to resolve. It is essentially difficult to make the two countries a partner for pushing the heart.

Although the United States and Japan are the Treaty Alliance, the Trump factor is the key to allow the China -Japan to return to the normal track.In the second half of last year, Japan began to release goodwill in China Frequency and show his interest in investing in the Belt and Road Initiative.

The two sides also planned to promote defense cooperation, but Japan intends to avoid conflicts. Chinese ships are close to the US ship in the South China Sea in September, and the conflict will occur. Japan is afraid that there are similar incidents in the East China Sea.

Regarding China ’s willingness to return Sino -Japanese relations to the right track. When the conflict between the United States and China heated up, the response to the Japanese side has also attracted more attention. According to the analysis of Japanese public opinion, it seems that the eyes of China seemed to be reproduced in 1989.China, which sanctions, took the lead in lolling economic sanctions and re -accepted China in the West, and also prompted the visit to the emperor in 1992.

If Beijing regards Japan as a breakthrough, what is the breakthrough this time?The Sino -US trade dispute seems to have changed from a simple trade war to the hegemonic battle of the world's scientific and technological leadership in the future. The role of the world's third economic power does not seem to have a status.The Sino -Japanese relations return to the competition from competition, and the control between competition and combination, both sides are subtle and cautious.