Author: Loshi
Analysis of Foreign Policy under the Washington Post Group: If the Taiwan Strait broke out, Taiwan was enough to resist the invasion of the Chinese army. Hello; hellip; Taiwan can win the Taiwan Strait War.
Although this article can make the Taiwan independence spiritual and bloody, but if you calm down and think, it will definitely make people creepy.
The assumption of the article is a wishful thinking:
1. The war will start with missiles. Mainland China will shoot along the coast of Taiwan. The airport, communication hub, radar equipment, transportation hubs and government offices are locked targets.After the missile strike, it will start the largest amphibious landing operation in human history.
2. Taiwan, the United States, and Japanese leaders can know that the Chinese army is preparing for the battle 60 days before hostile operations.
3. There are only 13 beaches on the west coast of Taiwan for the People's Liberation Army to land. Each beach has been prepared for potential conflicts. Chemical treatment plants along the coastal cities and towns, which means that the invaders must face the threat of poisonous gas.
4. Although the Taiwan Army can only resist the PLA 2 weeks after landing, if the PLA cannot defeat the Taiwan army within 2 weeks, China will lose this war.
Let's talk about the first item first.Once the missile kicks off, where does the people run?It is not a group of headless flies. The north and south are scrambled. The highway is completely blocked?For a day, the people's hearts in Taiwan have been scattered early, the army cannot be defeated, and rich people are rushing to flee. The entire island will inevitably become a pot of porridge.
Secondly, if we can know 60 days ago, do we arrange the order and route of escape from the commanders and senior officials of our three armed forces?And based on the national security reasons, it will not disclose to the people at all. In case of the US -Japan anti -China Railway Triangle, it knows 60 days ago whether it will immediately play white Christmas on various radio stations that the American and Japanese people and the US -Japanese companies will leave Taiwan as soon as possible?
The third assumption is that the Chinese on both sides of the strait are not regarded as people!Use chemical poison gas to attack the enemy?Is there any mistake?Does the United States hope that Taiwan is willing to rush the world and violate the international conventions?Poison gas does not have long eyes, will you not kill the enemy for one thousand, and you will be injured 800?
The fourth item, I do n’t know where the confidence of these US military experts came from?After the 2 weeks of the war, Taiwan is already a living charcoal. Because it is an overseas operation, the combat power of the mainland will not be affected at all.IntersectionUnless the U.S. army intervenes and is willing to send their children to Taiwan to fight for Taiwan independence, it is simply a dream!
In the past visiting Taiwan, Garille, who was visiting Taiwan in the past, felt the low morale of the Taiwanese army, which reflected the serious management of the recruitment system to a certain extent, and even disappointed the Patriot of Taiwan.This reflects part of the real situation.Since Lee Teng -hui has advocated the theory of the two countries, the Taiwan army has no idea who fights for, why is it, and is willing to fight for the independent government of the Republic of China?
The grandson's leadership is to fight for the army. In the future, if the Taiwan Strait War occurs, it will inevitably be a high nationalism on the other side.A army with unity and determination to regain the soil loses, and what will win the last long -term division and do not know who fights for the fight?
(Author is a writer)