On September 20, the current Prime Minister Abe, the current Prime Minister of Japan, defeated his competitors in the President of the Political Democratic Party, who was the former Minister of Defense and former Director of the Party.
The Liberal Democratic Party is the largest party of the two hospitals of the Japanese Congress.According to Japanese practices, the largest political parties will not only organize the government, but also the party president will also concurrently serve as the prime minister of the government.Abe, who is re -elected, will not only continue to hold the position of Prime Minister, but Abe, after the end of the new term of the three years, will also become the oldest prime minister in Japan's constitutional history.
The prime minister with the longest term is a glorious record, but can he be a prime minister who has a brilliant performance and love for the whole people.Moreover, Abe has been in Japanese politics over the years, not only undulating, but also a stumble. It is both a scandal and a report.
Under the crisis, even if he has more than three years, can he have a shocking performance?
Abe has the honor of the longest prime minister in Japan. This is certainly a kind of encouragement, but it is also a strong spur. It is still a historical supervision. Some people worry about whether Abe's mental health can bear it!
Three important factors of Shinzo Abe
From a technical point of view, Abe's three -term re -election can be called a historic victory.However, his opponent Shi Po Mao, one is not the strongest opponent in the party, the second is Abe's defeat, and the third was beaten into the Leng Palace by Abe.Six years later, Shi Po was able to accompany Abe to run the whole process. Not only did he not defeat the ground, he also won 73 votes support at the parliamentary level, and the local level has 45%of the votes. Even if it is defeated, it is decent.The praise of Shi Po is still proud this time.
Shi Po's good war reflects Abe's uneasiness, especially in the next three years, the Abe era will become unpredictable.
But in any case, Abe succeeded in Jin San, but he was a major victory.But it does not mean that the Abe regime will be smooth.First, he still relies on luck, not the footholds; second, it is carefully planned by him, instead of the popularity to overcome the dilemma;Political style and operation methods, suppressing or retreating other factions, so that he continued to maintain his only situation.
Some people have analyzed that since Abe's first came to power in 2006, the Abe regime has recorded several records of risk involvement. He does not rely on a high support rate, but to rely on luck to turn danger.Let Abe always have the opportunity to come back in Dongshan.Strictly speaking, Abe is not an undefeated winner, but more a political survivor.
Maybe the worst script
In 2012, after Abe took office for the second time, he accumulated more administrative experience and smoother politics.Among them, strengthen the administrative function of the Prime Minister's residence, and then turn the quality of the Prime Minister's official residence into the headquarters of the leader of the leader's political and bureaucratic system MDASH; MDASH; the brain is obviously the basis of Abe's strong system, Abe's only driving force.
Some people have evaluated the implementation of Abe's economics as the root cause of the stability of Abe's internal affairs. The so -called Japanese economy's strong recovery of employment stability, etc., all became the theoretical foundation of Abe's re -election and even established a long -term regime.
As everyone knows, the so -called Abe's economics is just synonymous with a currency easing policy. It can neither completely restore the momentum of economic growth or expand the trend of reinforcement. At most, it only encourages the lively scene of the stock market.However, moderate inflation cannot be reproduced, and the good time when economic growth has grown at high speed is even more expected to look forward to it.
In the future of Abe's economics, there is a script that commented on Japan's economy or the worst on September 21?Remind people: 1. Japan's economic recovery, in fact, it has begun before the second time in the second stage of the Abe regime in 2012, and it is not good at the so -called Abe's economics at all. SecondIt is very different from the world's economic prospects. Instead of being the east wind of Abe's long -term regime, it may be reduced to its backwind.
On the other hand, Abe carefully planned to modify the party constitution and lift the term of the president's term that must not exceed two six years, and tailored the special case of the term of office for three years for himself, thus realizing the longest term of his term prime minister in his history.
Of course, Abe is not a means to compete for the longest name of the prime minister.He has repeatedly propagated to the inside: the historical mission of the Liberal Democratic Party is to amend the constitution, and it is necessary to remove the peaceful constitutional curse that imposed on the forehead of Japan.Right -wing members; Second, they can restore normal countries as a means to call for the reconstruction of Japanese history.
The constitutional amendment was originally a huge political taboo in Japan. In addition to extreme right wings, there are politicians who touch fish in muddy water, they all have beautified the constitutional amendment to constitutional or new constitution.
Abe has publicly announced at the beginning of the year that it will be scheduled to be scheduled to be the first year of the new constitution in 2020.Its constitutional amendment procedure is to hold a temporary meeting of Congress this fall to submit its Liberal Democratic Party's constitutional amendments. First, to admit the clauses that recognize the Self -Defense Force, and then do other further actions.
The latest public opinion survey of Kyodo News Agency shows that about 69%of the people are currently opposed to the draft constitutional amendment of the Liberal Democratic Party during the year, and Abe seems to adhere to the adversity.Will; Second, we must use constitutional topics to transfer the people's attention to a series of issues such as economic development and social security, and transfer it to the issue of constitutional amendments that are still chaotic;
Third, the conservative forces of Japan, especially the use of the Liberal Democratic Party, are using the growth and movement of the surrounding countries around Japan.It is a serious threat to the so -called composition of Japan by Japan. Makes Japanese constitutional amendments not only justified, but also the political agenda that is urgent to implement.
Japan's constitutional amendment is not a country's internal affairs
The constitutional amendment can be analyzed as the internal affairs of a country, and it can also be understood as its obligation to be a government.His iron hoof has been suffering for a long time, and tens of millions of people have been destroyed because of Japanese aggression.Fortunately, Japan was defeated, forced to surrender, and was forced to sign a peaceful constitution that would always abandon the power of war.Is this constitution just a Japanese internal affairs?Is it possible to make it arbitrarily modify, overhead, or even change evil?
Although there are stubborn Japanese in the world, there are also Japanese people who are painful.The Japanese Peace Constitution after the war not only protects the Japanese people who wash their noodles, but also protect the peace and prosperity of East Asia. In particular, the peace of Japan for more than 70 years after the war, first of all, the peace constitutional contribution.
Although there are measures that Yang Fengyin violates, the policies that run counter to the end also exist, and even a lot of acts of overhead and peaceful constitution, such as the existence of the Self -Defense Force, the promotion of collective self -defense, and the transformation from special defense to positive defense.Worrying movements, but at least the framework of the constitution still exists in hellip; hellip;
But now, Abe must not only write the Self -Defense Force into the Constitution, but also allows Article 9 of the Constitution to recognize the existence of the so -called self -defense rights. The vows that Japan's permanent abandonment of the right to war can be the end of life.As the above -mentioned Japanese Economic Shimbun states, Abe has been in power for three years. Regardless of success or failure, you can see the future of Japan.
(The author is the retired reporter)
Some people have analyzed that since Abe's first came to power in 2006, the Abe regime has recorded several records of risk involvement. He does not rely on a high support rate, but to rely on luck to turn danger.Let Abe always have the opportunity to come back in Dongshan.Strictly speaking, Abe is not an undefeated victor, but moreIt is a political survivor.