Iranian military parade was terrorist or became an inflection point of a security situation

Author: Sun Xingjie

Every year on September 22, Iran held a military parade to commemorate the "Iraqi War". A serious terrorist attack occurred at the parade of Avree, the capital of Huszistan Province in southern Iran this year, causing at least 29 people.

The "Arabian Patriotic Democratic Movement" of the Islamic State and Iran's Arab ethnic splitism is responsible for the attack on terrorism.

The Middle East is not only the essence of terrorism, but also a victim of terrorism. Iran also had a serious terrorist incident in June last year. 17 people died and 43 were injured.The scale is far greater than in the past; the choice of parade is also a "humiliation" for Iran.

Iran does not think that the Islamic State and the ethnic splitter organization will launch such terrorist attacks. Of course, these two organizations have announced their responsibility, and the main motivation is to expand its international influence.

Iran believes that the two bay countries have recruited terrorists, and Foreign Minister Zarif said in social media that a group of terrorists employed, tamed, armed, and funded by foreign regimes launched an attack on Avas.The Iranian Revolutionary Guard believes that the terrorist organization is supported by Saudi Arabia and is also related to Israel's Mosad and the United States.

Who is the real murderer of this terrorist attack? There is almost a short time in the short term that there is a truth that all parties can accept.Iran summoned the Ambassador of the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Denmark in Iran, and believed that these countries had collected organization members who launched terrorist attacks on Iran.

For Iran, such a large -scale terrorist attack is rare, and at a time when the order of the Middle East is in sharp transformation and adjustment, this terrorist attack may mean a threatened change. Iran will face even more serious.Safety situation.

From the perspective of Iran's national strategy, the regional situation has changed, Iran has the opportunity and challenges.From Syria to Yemen, Iran's stalls are relatively large. How to make strategic contraction and adjustment is the main challenge.At the same time, the United States withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement and restored Iran to restore some economic sanctions, and Iran faced dual pressure from regions and global.

It can be seen that the terrorist attack exceeds the past, including multiple diplomatic and strategic metaphors.First, Iran becomes the target of terrorist attacks, but the source may be many, or it is difficult to determine; the second is that Iran is more oriented to define the terrorist attack as the continuation of the regional game, that is, the United States and the Gulf countriesThe unconventional war launched by Iran; the third is that Iran's security situation will be even more severe. After the United States withdraws from the Iranian nuclear agreement, the anti -Iranian camp has been rebuilt since 1979. In turn, Iran has great influence in the region in the past year.There is an extension, and now it has reached a turning point.

The terrorist attack of the Iranian military parade has triggered the disturbance of diplomacy and strategy. This is not only a sign of orderly changes in the order of order in the Middle East, but also a inflection point for the security situation in Iran.