Last year, the most of the book "ANDRDQUO; Fire andrdquo; a book, probably the book" Graham Allison), who has taught at Harvard University for 50 years, "destined to World War I: The United States and China can avoid Xuexidde.Is the trap?"(Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap).

The author's authority is very high, the author is highly regarded, and the Minister of Defense and the Central Intelligence Agency, which are still in the United States, and the director of the Central Intelligence Bureau, and include Joseph and Middot, including Andrdquo;General David Petraeus, China Deputy Prime Minister Liu He, etc., has a relationship between teachers and friends.

Many people have pointed out that the book "Doomed Battle" does not seek war.After reading this book carefully, people will inevitably feel that the author is actually persuading American politics and military leaders to face reality.The author pointed out: Andrdquo, "Adam Smith explained the possibility of mutual benefit of free trade; and" and "world business itself can expand, two capitalism and competition, it can thrive and grow Andrdquo without each other.There is no need to use the Dutch or British 300 years ago, under Andrdquo; "The so -called free ocean principle Andrdquo; (the book Appendix 44)

As THOMAS Christensen explained in the book "Chinese Challenge": And "and" changes in global economy and politics have reduced the possibility of war in the United States and China. Anandrdquo; ChinaThe increasingly improved military advantage also made the United States more and more difficult to get involved in Andrdquo;(Chapter 8 Note 1)

The author pointed out that during the Korean War, MacArthur had hoped to use the power of the naval to approach mainland China and provoked China's violence response as an excuse to upgrade to the use of nuclear weapons.(Chapter 8 Note 6).In that era, many American elites advocated that the "preventive war war Andrdquo;. However, Truman and Eisenhower did not accept that argument.The famous irony: And "You can use war andlsquo; to prevent Andrsquo; only peace. Anandrdquo;

Since the mid -1990s, China's nuclear weapons have become more survivable, so the United States has been forced to accept that the United States and China are similar to the Cold War period, and the situation of "mutual guarantee to destroy Andrdquo; this point. Reflected in the "2010 US Nuclear Posture Review", the United States will not take any actions that may have negative effects on the stable Andrdquo of "China's nuclear relationship between my country and Russia and China.Americans know very well that "only Russia and China can have the ability to attack large -scale ballistic missiles on the US territory, but this situation is unlikely, and it is not the focus of the American ballistic missile defense system (BMD).Chapter Nine Note 61)

Secondly, a considerable part of the US elite supports the Cold War against China.The two countries Andrdquo; because of the potential destructive consequences of the nuclear upgrade, Andrdquo; and in some cases, Andrdquo; (Appendix 1 153 and 154)

But as Kissinger said, the United States has fought five wars since the Second World War, and only one of them has achieved the established goal.(Chapter 8 Note 21).In the Taiwan Strait, the situation that is more likely to occur is like the British at the end of the 19th century. And "will not spend one person or one British pound to defend Canada. Anandrdquo; Americans are more likely to be like Charles Glaser (Charles Glaser) The initiative of the United States and China Andrdquo;.(Chapter 10 Note 14)

Andrdquo; and the so -called Andrdquo; (COOPERATION Spirals), the so -called Andrdquo; (Chapter 10 Note 12) of Lyle Goldstein (Chapter 10).In addition to Taiwan issues, there are other issues such as climate warming, which can enhance cooperation between the two countries.According to some studies, only AndRSQUO; Andrdquo; and the goal of warming the existing Andersquo; Andrdquo; and the target of the target of the country's self -determined expected contribution.(Chapter 10 Note 25). China's efforts on this issue can also greatly improve the attitude of Western public opinion in China.

The author praises some Chinese -style wisdom. For example, in 1978 Deng Xiaoping's Andd made by the Diaoyu Islands controversy.38%of the total application, which is comparable to the total of the three countries in the United States, Japan and South Korea. (Chapter 1 Note 55). As far as R & D expenditure is concerned, China is estimated to rise significantly by 2024 to $ 600 billion,The United States will continue to be less than 500 billion US dollars. (Chapter 1 Note 56). In the past, the Chinese people were treated and will eventually be expected by the Chinese.

The author has faced it and even promises China's funding for poor countries.He pointed out that the amount of repayment loan from the National Development Bank and China Import and Export Bank from 2014 was US $ 684 billion, which was only slightly less than the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, the American Development Bank, the European Investment Bank, the European Revival Development Bank, Africa Development,The bank's total is about 700 billion US dollars.In addition, China also provides bilateral and regional development and financing with an estimated $ 116 billion, making its international development financing significantly greater than other multilateral banks.

The last annotation of the book "Failure to World War I" may be the author's sincere expectations; he hopes that China can be "through the economic integration after the Second World War, as Germany, and the restoration of vibrant Chinese economy safely into Andrdquo; globalHua; like Hillary's "strategic and economic dialogue Andrdquo; open press conference at the opening press conference: Andrdquo held in Beijing in May 2012: And" Zero and thinking will bring negative and result. So as a substitute, we must build a oneA tough relationship enables both countries to prosper, avoid unhealthy competition, opposition or conflict, and fulfill our responsibility for the country, region and the world. Anandrdquo;

The author pointed out in the first chapter: And "A 5,000 -year -old civilization with a population of 1.4 billion people returns to glory, not a problem that needs to be solved. This is an Andllsquo;Status. ANDRDQUO; Ask Americans to face the meaning of "destined to be destined to fight" in the face of Andrdquo.

(The author is an assistant professor at the University of Science and Technology of China)