The Chinese government suspended the announcement of the continuous rising youth unemployment rate, causing public opinion uproar.The analysis believes that officials can no longer give satisfactory data through statistical operations, and they have to take "blocking cards"; but this will cause greater damage to economic data credibility and market confidence.
China National Bureau of Statistics spokesman Fu Linghui reported on Tuesday (August 15th) at the press conference that it will suspend the release of urban surveys in the age group.Continuous improvement, labor survey statistics must also be improved and optimized.
Fu Linghui, for example, in recent years, the scale of students in Chinese town has continued to expand.Whether the students who look for a job before graduation should be included in the statistics of labor survey, and different opinions from all walks of life must be further studied.Another example is that young people have increased their learning time at school. In the statistics of labor survey, the definition of the age range of young people must be further studied.After the relevant statistical method system is improved, the release data will be resumed in time.
The latest announcement of the urban survey in July in July was 5.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from June.Fu Linghui believes that the suspension of the release of the age group data does not affect the overall unemployment statistical survey. "The overall unemployment rate can reflect the overall situation of employment in economic operation."
Two months ago, Fu Linghui responded to the issue of statistical data on the unemployment rate, saying that China's unemployment rate statistics method is scientific, and labor surveys are rigorous and standardized.At that time, he also used young people as an example, "Some students in the school did not find a job or willingness to work. They would not be counted in the unemployment rate."
Chinese youth unemployment rates at the age of 16 to 24 are still high this year.The first official announcement of the unemployment rate of youth investigation in June was 21.3%, which was recorded for a new high for the third consecutive month.
At the press conference last month, Fu Linghui predicts that due to college graduates entering the labor market, the youth unemployment rate may continue to increase in July.As young people gradually find their jobs, the unemployment rate is generally declined after August.
Fu Linghui said at the press conference on Tuesday that most graduates have now implemented employment where their employment has been implemented. The employment status of college graduates is generally stable. Compared with the same period last year, the number of implementation rates and the number of implementation are slightly improved.But he did not disclose specific data.
The topic of the youth unemployment rate was suspended, and it quickly appeared on Weibo hot search. As of 7 pm, the reading volume had exceeded 200 million.Netizens directly criticized the official "covering the ears and stealing the bell" and "blocking the problem if you can't solve the problem".Some people say, "The previous data that is no longer announced is the Gini coefficient, is the next one fertility?"
Lu Xi, an assistant professor at the School of Public Policy, the National University of Singapore, was analyzed during an interview with Lianhe Zaobao.Data of confidence have to go out.
"But from a longer -term and macro perspective, this decision will cause greater damage to market confidence, because it implies that the Chinese economy is gradually separating from the central government.Yu Min. "
Scholars have previously questioned the official statistics, arguing that the unemployment rate may be underestimated.
Zhang Dandan, an associate professor of economics at Peking University National Development Research Institute, wrote on Caixin.com last month that 64 million non -labor for young people from 16 to 24 in March this year, of which 16 million are not students, most of them choose to choose"Full -time children" and "Lao Lao".If they are also attributed to unemployment, the maximum value of the youth unemployment in March is 46.5%, which is much higher than the official figures of 19.7%.
An article published by Wang Mingyuan, a researcher at the Beijing Reform and Development Research Association in June, in the WeChat public account "Eleven Finance Eleven", believed that the unemployment rate of groups from 16 to 24 years did not represent the overall youth, because of the 16 to 20 years oldThe labor participation rate of the population is not high.Therefore, he selected people from 16 to 40 to measure the unemployment rate, and estimated that the epidemic had increased about 54 million unemployed young people in about 54 million in three years.
