At the opening ceremony of the Davos Forum at the end of June this year, Chinese Prime Minister /A> When speaking, it is China Economy Endorsement of confidence.However, objective numbers make the market optimistic. Manufacturing in June for three consecutive shrinking, non-manufacturing weak, also broke 20%of Chuangchuangchuangchuangchuang.new highs.

Due to lack of confidence and expectations, consumers are not too dare to spend money, which leads to the weakness of the Chinese economy.Should the Chinese economy worry?How long will the downturn?Should the government launch a large -scale economic stimulus support?

Han Yonghong Xie Dongming, research director of the Greater China Bank Greater China, analyzes detailed analysis in detail analysisEssence

Wonderful fragment

Host Han Yonghong: Youcai Economy and famous scholars, they have been calling the Chinese government to launch a large -scale economic stimulus supportThe economy ... and it must have an immediate effect, and it should not stimulate like a toothpaste.

Xie Dongming, director of Research Director of the Overseas Chinese Bank Greater China: The Chinese economy is now a plane.If you are a driver, if you predict that there may be an impact from the outside in the future, you may choose to be conservative and fly lower. Even if I have an external impact, I may have a big impact ... (but)If you fly too low, and everyone predicts that it may encounter problems in the future, will many people start parachuting from the inside?This is actually a terrible situation.That is, you haven't encountered an impact outside, so you start to jump out. As a result, you have not come to the impact. You jump first. Isn't that worse?

In this issue (click the bookmark in the player, you can jump to the corresponding chapter):

  • [02:01] There are differences between macro and micro
  • [11:02] Is large -scale stimulating supporting supporting facilities?
  • [15:35] The inventory cycle and the Jigra cycle rebound at the same time?
  • [21:00] Is it the darkness before dawn?

Looking at the world and monitoring China's heartbeat, , discuss international hot topics every week to analyze international current political dynamics.At 7 pm Singapore time on Tuesday.