The latest report shows that 68 cities in 100 cities in China have exceeded 14 months, which means that the sales of houses in nearly 70 % of cities are difficult.Among them, cities such as Jingdezhen and Xining, such as low -level cities, have a high inventory cycle of new houses, which takes more than five years.
According to the Daily Economic News report, the Shanghai E -House Research Institute issued a Baicheng residential inventory report on Sunday (June 25), showing that the inventory of key cities such as Haikou, Shenzhen, Hefei and SanyaThe reasons are different, and some of them are related to the restart and investment work of related cities, and some cities or market transactions are slightly weak.
On the contrary, the inventory of cities such as Zhaoqing, Shenyang, Zhongshan, Changchun, and Suzhou have declined. Among them, Zhaoqing has decreased by 30%, especially Zhengzhou, which is difficult to de -dehumidarity and even faces pressure on delivery.Fall 17%.
It is reported that on the one hand, the inventory of second- and third -tier cities has declined, and the other side is the pressure of high -efficiency derivation. Nearly 70 % of the cities in the hundred cities are in difficulties.
The residential inventory report of Baicheng shows that 68 cities have exceeded 14 months, which means that the sales of houses in nearly 70 % of cities are difficult.Cities with small population in Jingdezhen, Xining, Rizhao and other low -level urban energy levels are not strong, and the demand for houses is not strong, and the destocking cycle is high.
The destocking status of cities such as Jinan, Shanghai, Zhuhai, Hangzhou, and Zhongshan is generally good. Among them, the Jinan property market is better and has a certain sustainability.Shanghai, Zhuhai, Hangzhou and Zhongshan are all high -energy cities, and the demand for house purchase is indeed relatively sufficient.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of the Institute of Research: "But these cities are not absolutely optimistic. Even if the Shanghai market is fast -inventory, it is mainly due to the inverted house prices and along the subway.It is not well sold, and even various violations of rules have appeared. These need to be paid attention to. "
Daily Economic News reports believe that the increase in inventory in some cities has highlighted the weakness of the sales end.
On the one hand, the market weakening has made it more difficult for second- and third -tier cities with a small population in the original population and a more concentrated supply; on the other hand, the urban inventory structure has also exacerbated the extension of the exfoliating cycle.
Taking Xining, which takes more than five years as an example, as an example, according to the real estate consulting company Krier data, the proportion of inventory in the 2021 and previous cities such as Xining and other cities are 70 % or above. The inventory is relatively "old."" ".Among the first- and second -tier cities, Hangzhou Hefei, which has a higher fresh inventory, has only 31%and 20%of the inventory in 2021 and before.The inventory of Shanghai, Chengdu, and Changsha is also relatively fresh, and the inventory proportion of 2022 and afterwards is more than 55%.In contrast, the proportion of old inventory in some cities is too high, and the best sales window period is missed, and it is even more difficult to remove.
and cities such as Jingdezhen, Harbin, Quanzhou, not only the high inventory and the long -term sales ratio, but also the "frequent customers" of the housing prices index in 70 large and medium -sized cities.
It is reported that some cities have begun to adjust policies and support de -deing.Except for the relaxation restrictions on Nanjing, Hefei, Zhengzhou, Hangzhou, and other districts and counties, on June 15, Fuzhou Fuqing issued a new policy to cancel sales and support reasonable housing consumption.It is mentioned that combined with the actual actual situation of new commercial housing inventory, the minimum down payment ratio and loan interest rate policy were implemented, and real estate promotion meetings were encouraged.
Atmosphere and expectations are an important support for future market sales.The E -House Research Institute judged that if the sales data did not improve, the risk of rebounding the inventory cycle in the third quarter may occur in the third quarter.At the same time, in view of the fact that about 70 % of cities are facing difficulties in sales, activating the needs of reasonable housing consumption should be universal.
