Chief Expert Wu Zunyou, chief expert of the China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, posted a post on a social media platform to analyze the trend of crown disease in the winter this year, saying that there is the world's worldThe possibility of six waves of epidemic is more popular.notFriends on Friday (September 23) posted on Weibo that the trend of crown disease epidemic this winter is difficult to determine, and three possible scenarios are proposed. Among them, the probability of more than 50%of the sixth waves of epidemics in the world has the most likely possibility.EssencenotIt is said that there are three basis for judgment. One is that the current global epidemic situation is still high at a high level; the other is that it will soon enter the winter. Even if there is no new variant virus appearing, only personnel gather and flow, and the winter environment is enough to confirm the current epidemic.Numbers are pushed to a new wave of popularity; third, according to the virus variation in the past three years, the possibility of new variants cannot be ruled out.notIt is estimated that there will not be many deaths in the epidemic this winter, because global vaccination continues to improve, and the vaccination rate continues to increase.He believes that the first five waves of epidemic have caused the weakest part of the people in the crowd, and the rest of the people have relatively strong anti -virus resistance against coronary virus.He also said that from the past epidemic prevention and control experience, coupled with the application of new therapeutic drugs, the health system is more capable of cope with the possible new round of epidemic.notDirector Director of Health Organization Tan Desai <