Scholars interviewees evaluated that China ’s current economic situation is only slightly better than that in the second quarter.; The government is still focusing on increasing public investment and stimulating consumption.Scholars also expect that as long as the control measures do not relax, the weak consumption situation will not be easily reversed.
When tourism revenue declined sharply during the Mid -Autumn Festival holiday, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang recently emphasized that it is necessary to stabilize the economic market and continue to introduce staged policy measures such as increasing consumption and expansion.At the same time, all localities and departments are required.
The scholars of the interviewed by the scholars evaluated that China's current economic situation is only slightly better than that of Shanghai in the second quarter. Recently, it has been repeatedly implemented in various places due to the crown disease.Public investment and stimulus consumption have greatly affected the economy.Scholars also expect that as long as the control measures do not relax, the weak consumption situation is believed that it will not be easily reversed.
According to the Chinese official media Xinhua News Agency, when Li Keqiang presided over a special meeting of the State Council on September 8, he evaluated the current continuing recovery of the Chinese economy, but there is a small fluctuation.The urgency consolidates the foundation of economic recovery.
Li Keqiang requested to increase the implementation of the policy.
Facing the tightening of epidemic prevention measures, Chinese tourism revenue and travelers have doubled sharply during the three -day Mid -Autumn Festival holiday.According to data released by the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, domestic tourism revenue in the Mid -Autumn Festival this year was RMB 28.68 billion (S $ 5.77 billion), a year -on -year decrease of 22.8 %. Compared with the same period of 2019 before the epidemic, it decreased by 39.4 %, which was also higher than last year than last year than last year.21.4 % decrease.The number of domestic tourism travelers was nearly 73.41 million, a year -on -year decrease of 16.7 %.
Li Keqiang called for outstanding contradictions to insufficient effective demand, promoting consumption recovery to become the main force, greater efforts to expand effective investment, create demand for market players, and boost confidence.
Chen Bo, dean of the Wuhan Optics Valley Free Trade Research Institute, pointed out in an interview with the United Morning Post that China's economic development is currently not optimistic. The current epidemic control measures actually have a maximum impact on the service industry and consumption.In order to maintain social stability and avoid obvious economic declines, the government must increase its efforts in public investment and consumer stimuli, including urging large projects to get up as soon as possible, and issue corresponding consumer coupons at the same time.
Nevertheless, the official currently only provides limited support for consumers who are affected by the epidemic control, and also urged the public to reduce travel during long weekends to avoid the spread of the epidemic.Sichuan provincial capitals and other large cities and hotspots in tourism were closed in September this year; the number of tourists in Xinjiang in August also decreased significantly from the previous quarter.
Bloomberg News cited the expectations of economists on Tuesday (September 13) that consumer confidence will not be boosted before relaxation of epidemic prevention measures.
Japan's largest investment bank Nomura Holdings also predicts in the report on the same day that family gatherings, tourism and retail will be severely hit in the next few months, including the "Eleventh" Golden Week holiday.It may promote China's economic growth forecast to be further reduced.
Chen Bo said that Omikon's infectiousness is much higher than the previous Delta, and the social costs generated by sealing control are much higher than before.Continue to decline, "Turking is unlikely ... Consumer coupons will not have enough effect, and there are not enough effects in other ways."
Chen Bo also said that at present, it can learn from the positive and negative experience of Shanghai Fengcheng all over China, to release consumer demand through the maintenance of online channels, and to effectively produce in key industries and corporate closed loops, and maintain basic supply and demand.Successful experience should not be at all costs for the sealing control ... pay attention to the national economy and people's livelihood at the same time. "
