(Washington Composite) Russia has continued to increase offensive against Ukraine, and the two sides also launched negotiations at the same time to release signals with good negotiations.European and American officials and experts believe that the Russian and Ukraine War was elusive, but I hope that the scope of the war will not be expanded and cannot be cleaned up.
The New York Times analyzes how to end the Russian and Ukraine War, and believes that there will be four cases:
The first case is also the best ending, that is, Russian President PutinConclusion: He must reduce his goals and reach an agreement with Ukraine to prevent the country's economy from being re -created and falling into the dilemma of debt default.
But there is a difficult problem, that is, once the Ukrainian president Zelezzki reached an agreement with Putin, the United States will face whether it is difficult to lift the difficulty of sanctions on Russia.
The second situation is that Russia and Ukraine have fallen into a long war. It is determined that the Ukraine can persist and spend time with the Russian military to capture Kiev.The Russian army may pay a heavy price for this, and Putin may also destroy Kiev at missiles and shells.
Burns, director of the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States last week, pointed out last week that he foresee that the battle in the next few weeks will be "ugly" because the war cannot achieve the goal.Attacking Ukrainian civilians and strived to eliminate the Urpillion's resistance.US National Security Consultant Sunday Sunday was interviewed by a Broadcasting Corporation on Sunday that the war was stagnant, and Putin was unable to exhibit.
The third situation is that Putin abandoned the original plan and won the region with strategic value in southern Ukraine.Essence
Senior officials of the Pentagon said that the key is to continue to maintain heavy pressure on Russia. I hope Putin is willing to accept the results of capturing southeast Ukraine in order to reduce damage.
The worst situation in the end is the upgrade of the war. Several assumptions are that the Russian missiles fall into the territory of NATO or shot down the NATO aircraft.Use tactical nuclear weapons.
Although it is generally believed that the possibility of tactical nuclear weapons is very low, officials have discussed this in the past two weeks.The White House and senior US generals are studying how to deal with such a situation.
Where is Russia's "bottom line" for Ukraine?Putin's relatives and Kremlin spokesperson Peskov once said that if Ukraine revise the constitution to accept a certain form of neutrality, it will not be added to NATO; promises to independence in two regions of Donetsk and Lugusk in eastern Ukraine, and acknowledge CrimeaIt is part of Russia, and the Russian army will suspend attacks.In this regard, Zelei has publicly stated that he will not persist in joining NATO, and also said that Russia can find a compromise plan for these issues.
However, what is Putin's attitude is like watching flowers in the fog.At this stage, Europe and the United States believe that Putin still insists on war to the end.
An official of the French government described that French President Macron and German Chancellor Antrz's telephone talks with Putin last Saturday were disappointing, and they felt Putin decided to continue fighting.
The US Deputy Secretary of State Sherman also said that from the perspective of the current leaders, there is no evidence that Putin changes his mind, and he still "intends to destroy Ukraine."
