Senior Researcher Duoxi, a senior researcher at the National University of Singapore, analyzed that the warning of the United States just reflects the analysis of the actual military deployment, joint exercise and strategic intelligence of Russia. This can be regarded as a tactics.Fall in passive.
Lin Huizhi report
The tight Ukrainian situation shows signs of ease, but Russia still has heavy soldiers on the border of Russia and Ukraine.Observer interviewees analyzed that even if Russia started war, it is estimated that it will only be a limited battle, because the fundamental problem of this confrontation is not that Russia is seeking territorial expansion, but a geopolitical wrestling.
The U.S. British government has repeatedly warned Russia to invade Ukraine on February 16.U.S. Secretary of State Broskel publicly stated on February 11 that Russia may start a war during the Beijing Winter Olympics.The British government also described that the Ukrainian crisis "has reached the critical moment", and all information refers to Russia that may "invade Ukraine at any time."
On the other hand, some Chinese comments believe that the warnings of the United States and the United Kingdom are just bluffing and irritating. In an interview with Western media, the Ukrainian people also said that the war did not feel like it was.In response, the observer interviewed told the United Zard that the Western countries' concerns about the attack on Russia's attack were not foundable, but the crisis may not be ended with war.
Professor Liao Zhenyang, Dean of the Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences of Nanyang University of Technology, pointed out in an interview that the United States' statement should not be considered unnecessary provocations. After all, Russia does gather a large number of military strength on the Ukraine border.
James Dorsey, a senior researcher at the National University of Singapore, analyzed that the warning of the United States only reflects the analysis of the actual military deployment, joint exercises and strategic intelligence of Russia.
Duo Xi further interpreted that the warning of the United States can be regarded as a tactic, the purpose is to put Russia into passive.He said: "If Russia wants to launch the" False Flag Operation ", trying to create an excuse to rationally invade Ukraine, the warning of the United States will make it difficult for Russia to achieve this effect, because the United States has already said that it is ahead. "
He analyzed that even if Russia started war, the battle would likely only be limited in the Donbas area of Kuye Russia in Ukraine.It is not to expand the territory, but the wrestling of geopolitical politics. "
Scholars: Russian deployment troops to increase the security negotiation chips with the West
In the past few daysWestern countries such as Washington, London, and Paris continue to work hard to have diplomatic dialogue with Moscow and Kiev, seeking a way to solve the crisis, which may be the purpose of Russia -let all parties pay attention to its security needs.
Frederick Kliem, a senior researcher at the Nanyang Institute of Technology Rajelenan International Research Institute, believes that Russian President Putin's arms deployed the army in order to increase the chips when he had a security negotiation with Western countries.
He said: "Putin is likely not to invade, but to become a partner who is respected, serious and equal on the negotiating table. After the Cold War, Russia's security needs to be ignored ...It's time to treat its concerns as the concerns of Central and Eastern European countries. "
The conditions of Russia's issues of Western countries, including requiring NATO commitment to stop expanding eastward, ensure that Ukraine will not join NATO, reduceMilitary infrastructure in Europe.These requirements have been rejected.
Duoxi said that Putin is actually more clear than anyone else that it is difficult for Western countries to achieve the requirements he put forward, but he is more concerned about this crisis to join the Republic of the Republic of the Republic of the Republic of the former Soviet Union, including Ukraine and KazakhstanThe signal issued.In Putin's mind, "Russia" is not the "Russia" defined internationally internationally, but a wider ethnic area, including all Slas lady who communicated in Russian.
Domoxi said that Putin had issued similar signals as early as 2008 and 2014, and now he warned those who were attracted by the West by the West."He may not take action this time, but the signal has indeed been sent out."
