(Hong Kong Comprehensive News)) Observer believes that the Myanmar military coup highlights the political risks faced by Chinese enterprises overseas, especially Southeast Asian national financing projects, and emphasize that investors must do a good risk assessment in advance.
Hong Kong South China Morning Post reported yesterday that Yin Yihang, a researcher at Taihe Think Tank, China, said that the original substantial leader of Myanmar Weng Shan Shuzhi has been in power for five years. Her party has also won in the election, which seems to be in a very safe position."If you understand more deeply, you will find that the military's power is still great, and the country's geopolitical risks are still high."
Yin Yihang pointed out that compared with Japan and South Korea, Chinese companies that have business in Southeast Asia and conduct risk assessments are very few. These Chinese companies tend to establish contact with local governments, which makes their investment projects changing power changes in power changes.It is easy to be impacted, and this situation may occur in Myanmar, Cambodia and other countries.
Yin Yihang said that due to Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Sen has been in power for many years, Cambodia seems to be stable, but once the power change occurs, it will have a huge impact on the local society, including the investment environment.
Qi Kai, a senior researcher at the Institute of Overseas Safety, believes that Chinese investors, especially state -owned enterprises, must remain vigilant when evaluating potential attachment losses.
For example, in 2018, Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir said that the East Coast Railway Program was canceled.This is an agreement signed with China when Malaysia's former Prime Minister Najib was reigned, but Najib lost its regime in the 2018 Malaysian election.
After the mutiny of Myanmar's political situation, the Bayeng government in the United States wanted to sanction Myanmar.Once Washington is prohibited from any intersection with business in Myanmar with the United States, Chinese companies, especially state -owned enterprises listed in the United States, may suffer trouble.Qi Kai said that if you cannot use US dollars, these Chinese companies will face higher operating risks.
It is reported that China should also deal with it carefully and not be regarded as supporting the Myanmar military to seize power, otherwise it may cause dissatisfaction among Myanmar people and human rights organizations.
