A Indian fighter flew across the capital of the Darak region in the Dalak region in the middle of June in mid -June.(Agence France -Presse) On October 1, 2019, China celebrated the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China.(Video screenshot)
Chinese special manuscript
With the upgrading of the Sino -Indian border situation, the South China Sea and the Taiwan Straits have come back, and the military pressure facing China has increased significantly.China has adopted a series of measures to step up preparations in different directions to deal with the risk of war that may be out of control.
The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has recently decided that since July 1, 2020, the reserve forces have been fully included in the military leadership command system, and the double leadership (double leadership of the Central Military Commission and the local party committee) has been adjusted to the central and centralized unified leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the Central Military Commission.
Reserve forces of the PLA have changed from the dual leadership of the army to the leadership command of the army, which means that the reserve forces will be completely surnamed.This is obviously to highlight the combat function of the reserve forces, improve the military training level of the reserve forces, and quickly call for reserve personnel to enter the active service during the outbreak of large -scale wars to enhance the strength of the army.
More than 10 million reserve personnel
The current number of active troops in China is about 2 million, and more than 10 million reserve personnel are reserve. The arms are the most huge armed groups in the world.
The PLA reserve forces are divided into arms and arms preparatory divisions, brigades, regiments, awarded military flags and numbers, implemented the PLA regulations, included in the sequence of the PLA, and usually returned to the provincial military region (Weijing District, police district).It can help maintain social order. After the war mobilizes, the active forces command or fight alone.
Reserve forces are based on active soldiers and are based on reserve officers and soldiers.Under normal circumstances, most of the army's transfer and veterans will be incorporated into the reserve forces. Reserve officers and soldiers will organize rectification and personnel adjustments once a year, and build a training base.
Regarding the reform of the preparatory force command system, the PLA reported on the front page on June 29 that this is a major political decision made by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, which is conducive to strengthening the centralized and unified leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the Central Military Commission.Adhering to the fundamental attributes of party management of armed forces and surnames, it is conducive to promoting the construction and application of reserve forces and active forces.
Since the 1980s, China's senior officials have launched several large -scale disarmament, and their active force has dropped from more than 4 million to about 2 million.Although the military reform in recent years has effectively enhanced the PLA's ability to deal with modern war, some people are worried that once large -scale warfare broke out, the PLA may face the dilemma of insufficient active military forces.
The leadership and command system of Chinese high -level reform reserve forces will promote the construction and application of reserve forces and active forces, improve the PLA's rapid mobilization expansion and enhance joint combat capabilities to ensure that the PLA can expand the soldiers in a timely manner during the war.
China -India border may erupt new military conflict
On June 15, severe limb conflicts broke out in the Latalwan Valley in the western section of the border border between the two sides, causing 20 people to death and hundreds of people injured.Although China has not announced its own casualties so far, this is the largest bleeding incident that has occurred between the two sides over 50 years.
The strategic position of the Galler Valley is important, and both China and India claim that they have sovereignty over this area.After the conflict, India was angry, calling on the government to fight against the Chinese invasion. The Indian government has allowed the military to use weapons when necessary, so that China -India's previously reached risk of being torn in the agreement that does not use weapons in disputed areas.At the same time, China -India has strengthened military deployment in border areas, and the risk of new military conflicts between the two sides has continued to rise.
Compared with India's recently transferred to the western section of the China -India border, China ’s increase in troops to related areas is not obvious, but China’ s military strength in the region is only stronger than India.
In recent years, the weapons and equipment of the Chinese army have been continuously upgraded, and the construction of infrastructure such as highways, airports, and railways in Xinjiang and Tibet has also formed a relatively complete system.Once needed, the Chinese army can quickly send troops and equipment to the combat area, forming the number of troops and equipment quality advantages on the Indian army.
At the same time, China won in the Sino -Indian border war in 1962, which has kept the Chinese army's psychological advantages in the Indian army.In terms of war support, weapons and equipment, logistics support, etc., China is also significantly better than India.China has a greater chance of winning its own victory.
Chinese military scholar Wang Yunfei analyzed that once the war broke out in China and India, China could adopt asymmetric advantages such as far -reaching, node strikes, and breaking attacks (destroying enemy traffic lines) to defeat the Indian army.
The remote system is to destroy the opponent's cutting -edge airports and troops bases with long -range rocket launchers, medium -range ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, etc., and destroy the opponent's military support system.The Indian side has basically not been able to compare the relevant blows with China, and the means and capabilities of the Indian army's anti -leading and anti -long -distance blows are very weak.
Both China and India have the ability to destroy the opponent's intelligence reconnaissance, radar communication, and command control.Compared with the advantages of asymmetric information such as aerospace information, air warning, and remote alert.
The Indian side can split the collaboration between the Indian army by breaking the highway and airports of the Indian army by breaking through the highway and airports of the Indian army by breaking the road and airports of the Indian side.The Indian Army also has the ability to destroy Chinese highway and airport transportation facilities, but China ’s ability to restore transportation is far stronger than the Indian side.
India's senior management should clearly understand the gap between China and India.Therefore, although the domestic public opinion is menac and the Indian army moves frequently, India's senior officials remain relatively restrained.The Indian Army Chief of Staff reported to the Minister of Defense on June 26 that the Indian Army was fully prepared at the Sino -Indian border and was adhering to long -term activities.
China and India held the third military session of the month in the border area on June 30.Zhao Li, a spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, claimed that the meeting showed that China and India had to disagree through dialogue and negotiations, control the situation, and ease the situation.However, the tension of the China -India border has not been eased, and both parties are also actively preparing for the war.Without paying attention, China and India are likely to rise from physical conflicts to armed conflict, and even trigger a second Sino -Indian border war.
The Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea may wipe the guns and get angry
The border between China and India is tense, and the situation in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea is also dangerous.Unlike India with relatively weak strength, China faces the biggest obstacle on its rise in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.
On June 9, the U.S. transport aircraft flew over Taiwan and was regarded by China as a rare provocative operation in recent years.Since then, the Chinese and US military aircraft have frequently appeared near Taiwan. The PLA fighter aircraft entered the air defense identification area of the Southwest airspace in Taiwan in nine times. The two sides were obvious.
Wang Hongguang, former deputy commander of the People's Liberation Army Nanjing Military Region, believesThe US military aircraft such a small sensitive airspace between the mainland and Taiwan is bent, and in the Taiwan Air Defense identification zone, it must notify the Taiwan side and get the consent of the Taiwanese side in advance.On June 9th, the US military aircraft run south of the western Taiwan, and it must also be consent from the Taiwanese side.He described that the double reed in Meitai was overnight.The Taiwanese authorities are playing with fire.
More than two weeks later, the Taiwan Ministry of National Defense rarely confirmed the news that the US special forces assisted the Taiwan army training in Taiwan on June 29.The Global Times quoted Chinese military scholars that the Taiwan military confirmed that the news was definitely not inadvertent. Its intention was to openly and politically promote the military activities between the United States and Taiwan.Essence
The Global Times reported that the US military appeared in Taiwan badly. This is an illegal provocative behavior. The Taiwan authorities must be prepared to bear the consequences.This move has made the PLA prepare for military struggle and no longer have fantasies.The newspaper quoted Song Zhongping, a mainland military expert, said that if the Taiwan Strait broke out of the Taiwan Strait, the responsible party would be the United States and Taiwan authorities.
Wu Qian, a spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, said on June 24 that the United States frequently played Taiwanese cards and wanted to harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity by cutting sausages, which is completely delusional.
On June 28, the U.S. Navy issued a press release on June 28 that the U.S. Nimitz aircraft carrier battle group and the Lagan aircraft carrier, who permanently residented in Yokosuka, Yokosuka, Japan, jointly implemented the global combat coordination operations on the Gonghai in the Philippines to show the United StatesThe security commitment to regional allies, the ability of the U.S. forces to quickly assemble troops in the Indo -Pacific region, and show the United States to confront all the forces that are preparing to challenge international standards.This is a joint drill of the U.S. military in the second double aircraft carrier battle group in the South China Sea within a week.
China announced that from July 1st to July 5th, the PLA will conduct military training in the Xisha Islands in the South China Sea, and the waters of the Xisha Islands will implement navigation.
Chinese seniors believe that the current security situation is very grim
Earlier, the Kyodo News Agency in Japan disclosed in May that the Chinese Navy will perform exercises near the South China Haidongsha Islands controlled by the Chinese Navy in August.Analysts believe that the PLA's exercise in the Xisha Islands in early July may be preheated for the exercise of the Dongsha Islands, and the exercise content near the Dongsha Islands may include seizing the Dongsha Islands.
On May 14th, the People's Liberation Army also started a two -and -a -half -month solid shot shooting exercises in the Jingtang Port area of Tangshan Port in Bohai Sea. The current exercise is still ongoing.The current security situation in China is very severe. It does not rule out the possibility of large -scale military conflicts that explode, and the PLA must prepare for it.
Take precipitation and safety considerations
On the whole, the Sino -US trade war broke out for two years, especially since the outbreak of the crown disease this year, Sino -US relations have deteriorated, and it has fallen to the bottom, and it is difficult to see signs of repair in the short term.Affected by the deterioration of Sino -US relations, the security situation around China has changed significantly. The conflict between the Sino -Indian border has intensified.China has stepped up the preparation of the war in the above direction. One is to want to scare their opponents with military strength, and the other is to prepare for military struggles to deal with the worst situation.
However, China's step -up preparations cannot interpret that China must use military means to resolve the security crisis. Under the current situation, China does not want the surrounding situation to deteriorate, let alone solve problems through war.
The primary goal of China's senior management this year is to achieve comprehensive poverty alleviation and build a well -off society.In the next 15 years, China will strive to basically achieve modernization.During this time, if China broke out with any opponent's military conflict, it was a last resort to maintain a peaceful and stable peripheral environment to meet China's maximum interests.
