If the United States still refuses to recognize Vietnam's market economy after one year, it may affect Vietnam's trust in the United States to participate in the regional economy, but it is still not enough to promote Vietnam's economic falling to China.
After the Vietnamese President Su Lin took over as the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, he visited China and the United States. International relations scholars believe that this shows that Su Lin will continue to pursue the "bamboo diplomacy" established by the late general secretary Ruan Fuzhong.The political and economic prospects, as well as Su Lin's consolidation of power, have a positive effect.
Former US diplomat David Brown, who has worked in Vietnam for many years, pointed out in a joint morning newspaper that the trip to the United States can help raise Su Lin's reputation in Vietnam, especially after his visit to China."Vietnamese who are concerned about foreign affairs hope to see their leaders who can maintain a strategic balance between China, the United States, and other countries that have important strategic and business significance to Vietnam."
Seeking a dynamic balance between China and the United States
Ruan Fuzhong used the "Vietnamese bamboo" to a metaphor for Vietnam's foreign route for the first time in 2016. It advocated that he cooperated with all countries but did not hold groups.
Vietnam has a precedent for major adjustment of foreign policy.Former General Secretary Li Zhu was close to the Soviet Union during the reign. After taking over as the General Secretary in 1986, the Long March was changed to a pro -China route. After taking over, Ruan Wenling led Vietnam to restore the relationship with China.
As the current China and the United States are fiercely competitive and the two countries are scrambling to win Vietnam, the outside world is highly concerned about whether Vietnam will change the route and tend to a certain side.
Alexander Vuving, a professor at the Asia Pacific Security Research Center of Daniel, said that Su Lin visited China and the United States in a short period of time after taking office, indicating that he would continue to implement a comprehensive and more pragmatic foreign policy to seek Vietnam in Vietnam.Dynamic balance between big powers.
Su Lin once again emphasized the importance of Vietnam -China relations before going to the United States.When he accepted the national book submitted by the Chinese new ambassador to Vietnam on September 17, he said that Vietnam has always attached great importance to the development of traditional friendship and comprehensive strategic partnerships with China, which is the primary task of Vietnam's foreign policy.
After the meeting of Biden and Su Lin in New York, Yuetong reported that Biden said that the United States hopes to maintain close cooperation with Vietnam in ensuring that the South China Sea navigation and freedom of flight.Because Vietnam and China have sovereignty disputes in the South China Sea, such a statement seems to have warning China to support Vietnam.
The chairman of the Vietnamese consulting company "Yuezhi Think Tank" He Huanghe believes that Su Lin's speech does not mean that Vietnam -China relations are better than Vietnam -US relations, but discussions with Bayiden's freedom of navigation are not in China.He analyzed to the United Morning Post: "Su Lin said that priority development of Vietnam -China relations shows the sincerity and attention of the Vietnamese government, but it does not mean that the Yuezhong has a closer alliance. Vietnam also maintains a substantial partnership with the United States."/P>
As for speeches in the United States, He Huanghe said: "Vietnam insists on freedom of navigation is the cornerstone of the marine law, but Vietnam has never participated in the freedom of navigation initiated in the United States. Vietnam hopes to adhere to independence in diplomacy and reduce external geopolitics against external politics.The influence of the country " During the meeting with Biden, Su Lin gave the United States a very active evaluation.He said that relations between the two countries have reached the highest level, and Vietnam regards the United States as an important strategic partner, hoping that Vietnam and US relations will maintain stable and long -term development.Biden also gave the US -Vietnamese relations highly evaluating, reiterating the United States to support a strong, prosperous and independent Vietnam.
Wuwen believes that Su Lin's statement highlights that Vietnam's new leaders hope to establish a deeper relationship with the United States."This may help Vietnam to gain more respect in diplomacy and enhance foreign investors' confidence in Vietnam."
Always seeking the United States acknowledge its market economy status
However, there may still be a thorn in Vietnam and the United States -when the United States gives the Vietnamese market economy status.
Vietnam has been seeking the United States acknowledged its market economy status to avoid punitive anti -dumping taxes.The US Department of Commerce announced on August 2 that it continued to classify Vietnam into non -market economy countries, which disappointed Vietnam.
Su Lin told US company executives during his visit to the United States that Washington is expected to recognize Vietnam's market economy position soon.
However, acknowledging that the status of a market economy is not a diplomatic issue, it is difficult to achieve through visit to the United States, and it is still expected to be realized by Vietnam to continue to improve the economic system.
Pan Chunyong, a researcher at the Vietnamese project of the Yusov Isaf Issa East South Asian Research Institute in Singapore, said in an interview that Su Lin's confidence originated from his decision to use the improvement of bilateral relations that affects the US government, and believes that the United States should recognize that Vietnam is going to the market to the market.The results achieved in economic transformation.
However, the US Department of Commerce has a strict market economy national identification standard, even if the president has no right to ask the Ministry of Commerce to make concessions.
Pan Chunyong believes that if the United States still refuses to recognize Vietnam's market economy after one year, it may affect Vietnam's trust in the United States to participate in the regional economy, but it is still not enough to promote Vietnam to fall in economy to China.
"The future of the United States and Vietnam relations is going active. Whether the United States recognizes (market economy status) is more concerned about the consideration of economic policy, not political factors. At the same time, Vietnam has clearly relying on China's risks over the economy, so even if the United States maintains itDecision will not be conducive to China "
"Vietnam should continue to improve its institutional framework and economic practice in accordance with market principles, analyze the evaluation standards of the US Department of Commerce, solve key issues, and strengthen the reasons for recognition."
