The United States held a much attention on November 8th that the United States held much attention on November 8thIn the mid -term election, this election will determine which party of the two major parties will obtain the control of the two houses, thereby determining the direction of US politics in the next two years.In addition to the domestic politics of the United States and the outside world, it is also concerned about how the US Foreign Foreign Tone will change after the two houses of the United States Congress have been shuffled.
The unprecedented US midterm election
The candidate for this midterm election will be the 35 seats of the 100 seats of the Senate and all 435 seats in the House of Representatives. The Democratic Party is currentlyIf the two houses are controlled, if the Republican Party wants to win the control of the House, it must take half of the seats.
According to the latest statistics from the United States CNN (CNN) on Friday (November 11), the Republican Party won 211 seats in the House of Representatives, led 13 seats slightly ahead of the Democratic Party;At present, the Republican Party has won 49 seats, led only one Democratic Party, and it is difficult to win.
It is generally predicted that the Republican Party is expected to resume the control of the House of Representatives, but the Democratic Party will still keep the Senate with some slight advantages.
The Republican Party represented by red in American politics has not set off a "red wave" that has won as a victory as expected. Although it is expected to win the House of Representatives, the income is not as good as expected.Frequent frustrations; Democrats represented by blue have kept many positions exceeding expectations, and they also won the seat seats in the critical states of Pennsylvania. Biden is expected to not be the "lame duck" president.
Senator Senator in Pennsylvania PennsylvaniaThe Democratic candidate Fittman (pictured) defeated the Republican opponent Oz, and asked the Democratic Party to win the seat seat in this critical state.(Reuters)
Although Biden was not taught by American voters as well as as expected, he was still likely to lose the control of the House of Representatives.The formulation of domestic legislation and diplomatic direction cannot be smooth as before two years.
Bayeng's tough route to China
Bynden defeated Trump, who seemed to be re -elected President in 2020, successfully entered the White House.In the first two years of his tenure, he basically continued Trump's route to China, and continued to target Chinese science and technology factories such as Huawei to expand export restrictions on China in the field of military and technology.
Compared with the Trump route, Biden has taken further, including playing "human rights cards" in a stronger manner, publishing military association defense Taiwan in the fourth time, and "democracy and autocracy".The Yuan division method is used to define Sino -US relations.
The leaders of China and the United States have made several calls during the past two years, and the two parties have basically maintained restraint. The competition between the two countries has not further evolved into a larger range of conflicts.EssenceOn November 15th, the Chinese President Xi Jinping made a video call.(Reuters)
Especially in August of this year, after Perossi, Speaker of the House of Representatives in the United States, went to Taiwan to conduct a historic visit in Taiwan. China announced the cancellation of the arranging the call of the leaders of the Chinese and the United States Theater and the Ministry of Defense of the Ministry of National Defense.And China -US maritime military security consultation mechanism meeting.At the same time, all cooperation between China and the United States in the repatriation of illegal immigration, criminal judicial assistance, cracking down on transnational crimes and anti -drug fields have all been suspended; it was previously considered to be the climate change discussion that may become a breakthrough in Sino -US cooperation.US relations fall into the bottom.
Perosi (left) In August this year, I went to Taiwan to launch a two -day visit. During the period, they met with Taiwan Cai Yingwen (right). The picture shows the two held a press conference in the Taiwan government.(Reuters)
In addition, several bills passed by the Biden government in the past two years, including the national key capability of the chip and the science bill and the prevention of the Uyghur labor law, and the currently being reviewedThe National Defense Act and the Taiwan Policy Law are obviously at Beijing. It seems that there is no meaning to step on the brakes for the deterioration of Sino -US relations.
In the national security strategy report released by Biden in October this year, it also clearly mentioned that China is the status of American competitors.The report said: "China is the only competitor with the intention to reshape international order, and it has gradually possessed this goal of economy, diplomacy, military, and scientific and technological forces."
When the Swordsmanship between China and the United States, if the Republican Party won the House of Representatives, does it mean that the high -pressure policy of Biden's sacrifice to China will be reversed.Chinese sacrifice more tough policies?
General analysis believes that this is unlikely.
The midterm election helpless reconstruction Sino -US relationIt is necessary to protect the consensus of the United States' technology and national defense advantages from being able to protect the technology and national defense advantages. This consensus will not change.
Analysis of the Wednesday of the Washington Think Tank American Foreign Relations Association, four -fifths of Americans have a negative view of China.Washington has become mainstream.Therefore, few people will be willing to adventure not to take a strong position on China, because they will be labeled "weak" against China and fall into a single fight in Congress.
However, the article also believes that Washington still has the opportunity to concessions on the increasingly tough route, including the revocation part of the tariffs on China, because it is recognized by some members of the two parties, but it continues to deal withThe tough policy in Beijing may still be the basic rules of the future.
In addition, some experts believe that the Republican attitude towards China is actually harder than the Democratic Party.Once the Republican Party enters Congress, the real situation is likely that the Republican Party not only will not prevent Bayeng from taking toughness to Beijing, but will criticize Biden's excessive weakness to China.Therefore, not seeing the "Red Tide" sweeping this election, Beijing should be relieved.
Diao Daming, an associate professor of the School of International Relations of Renmin University of China, analyzed the South China Morning Post that the Republican Party may be more and more intervene in the internal affairs of China, exaggerate the Taiwan issue, and further promote trade protectionism.
He also pointed out that because the Republican Party held doubts in the issue of climate change, opposing cooperation with other countries in climate change issues will also hinder the cooperation between China and the United States.
Shi Yinhong, a professor at the School of International Relations of Renmin University of China, also believes that if the Republican Party returned to the White House in 2024 in this election, Sino -US relations will only deteriorate.Although the two parties are not friendly to Beijing, for Beijing, compared with the Republican Party, the Democratic Party may only belong to a small witch.
Kevin McCarthy, leader of the Republican Party of the House of Representatives, revealed earlier that after the majority of the House of Representatives, the Republican Party will set up a special committee on Chinese issues to investigate the origin of crown diseases and China.The allegations of the country's stolen intellectual property and the military and economic threats brought by China.
McCarza said, the Republican planAfter obtaining a majority of the House of Representatives, a special committee on Chinese issues was established to investigate the origin of crown diseases.The picture shows a speech at McCarthy's event on Wednesday Washington.(Agence France -Presse)
In fact, McCarthy tried to set up a similar two -party committee in 2020, but the Democratic Party did not join. After that, McCarthy established a "China Working Group" of the House of Representatives composed of Republican members (China "(CHINA TASK FORCE) to formulate a legal blueprint for the "Chinese Threat".
However, Chen Ding, an associate professor at Political Science, Rala Malays College, New Jersey, believes that compared with the House of RepresentativeThere are some space to promote cooperation with Beijing, such as climate change issues.
Is there a way to see the dawn of Sino -US relations?
In fact, the United States' attitude towards China is becoming tougher, which has also aroused concerns from some former US senior officials and Chinese experts.Bloomberg reported last Saturday (November 5) that in addition to questioning the logic behind Washington's increasingly radical way to regard Beijing as a threat, they also worried about the increasingly tougher exposition and position of Washington.The discussion, in their opinion, is similar to the opening of the river.
These people believe that in addition to the restrictions on the stance and discussion of Washington, in addition to restricting the spinning space when the United States responds to the crisis, it may further upgrade the situation and accelerate the arrival of the crisis.
However, at present, this kind of voice may only belong to a minority inside Washington.
The White House issued a statement on Thursday (November 10) that Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet during the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia.Talks.The statement pointed out that the two will discuss how to maintain and deepen the communication between China and the United States, control competition responsibly, and in areas where the interests of both parties are consistent, especially the cooperation of cross -border challenges that affect the international community.
The world knows that Sino -US relations cannot continue to deteriorate, and the meeting between the two leaders is undoubtedly good news.However, before the high wall of political interests, the outside world is even more worried. Even if the two have sitting face to face to talk, can the two countries get rid of the cycle of accusations and sanctions?
