Tai Guoan said that Lai Qingdes Double Ten speech will trigger the main military

The Taiwan Guoan System evaluated that Beijing may start a military exercise around Taiwan's Lai Qingde on Thursday (October 10) in Taiwan on Thursday (October 10).

Scholars interviewed by scholars interviewed and judged that Lai Qingde previously proposed the "motherland theory" on the basis of the "New Country theory" at the Double Ten Party.Performance response.

Taiwanese scholars say that the PLA military aircraft has become the norm to cross the midline of the Taiwan Strait. It is necessary to determine whether the military exercise of Taiwan is upgraded.The purpose of "more sensible" military exercises.

Comprehensive platform media "Wind Media" and Reuters on Monday (October 7) reported that Taiwan's Guoan System evaluated, no matter what Lai Qingde said in Double Ten speech, Beijing may use this as an excuse to launch military exercises andIt is called "Union Sword-20124B".

After Lai Qingde sworn in on May 20 this year, the Eastern theater of the PLA started a military exercise around Taiwan from May 23 to May 24th.At that time, the exercise of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council of China was a resolute punishment for "the 520 speeches of the 5.20 speeches in Taiwan."

According to the Taiwan's internal security memorandum, Taiwan ’s official evaluation, Beijing may launch military exercises this week on the grounds of Lai Qingde’ s double ten speech “provocative”.Memorandum also pointed out that Beijing "constantly try to test the red lines of various countries and maximize its gray zone action."

The mainland PLA has held three large -scale military exercises in Taiwan in the past two years.For the first time in August 2022, after the US House of Representatives Perosi visited Taiwan in August 2022; the second time in April 2023, the then Speaker of the US House of Representatives McCarthy confirmed that he would meet with her when he was then in Cai Yingwen, Taiwan Cai Yingwen.after.The third time was after Lai Qingde delivered an inaugural speech on May 20.

Taiwan Zhongshi News Network analysis, in the past three large -scale oppositional players, the PLA's strength and scale are larger than one at a time, the range is becoming more and more, and the distance between Taiwan is getting closer and closer.Exercise, ballistic missile and drone attack.The article speculates that if the "Union Sword-20124B" is added, it will be a more complete "martial arts committing exercise" and "more feel" in Taiwan.

Lai Qingde was thrown out of the "Motherland theory" at the Double Ten Party last Saturday (October 5), which is regarded as a part of the preview of the Double Ten speech.He said that at an age, the People's Republic of China is absolutely impossible to become the motherland of the people of the Republic of China. On the contrary, the Republic of China may be the motherland of the people over the age of 75 of the People's Republic of China.

Beijing has not responded to Lai Qingde's speech.However, the Taiwan Ministry of Defense reported on Monday that from 6 am on Sunday (6th) to Monday (7th) at 6 am, the mainland sent a total of 27 military aircraft to act on the surrounding Taiwan Strait, of which 19 were across the Taiwan Strait.

Wang Kunyi, the chairman of the Taiwan International Strategy Society, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the new two countries that "the theory of the motherland" from the new country from the "Republic of China and the People's Republic of China", and Lai Qingde has been based on May 20th."Come on Taiwan Independence" gradually constructed his "pragmatic Taiwan independence" image, and continued to test the CCP's bottom line with "discourse Taiwan independence".

Wang Kunyi said that Beijing's uniqueness of Taiwan's Taiwan independence is very clear.

Wang Kunyi analyzed that after Pelosi visited Taiwan, the PLA sent military planes to cross the middle line of the Taiwan Strait many times, and has blurred the midline.The next observation indicator is whether Beijing will send unmanned machines or unmanned ships into Taiwan's 12 -pilot air -collar sea test in order to make Taiwan "more sensible" in the PLA military exercise.

Zhu Songling, a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute of Beijing United University, also said that if Lai Qingde continued to adopt a confrontation with Beijing, especially on the basis of the "New Country theory"Military exercises will appear. "

Reuters quoted diplomats stationed in Taiwan that the factors that might restrict the reaction of the continental military is the upcoming US presidential election. Beijing does not want the tension of Taiwan Straits to become the focus of the international focus when it is close to the election.