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The United States curbs China to enter a comprehensive and systematic stage.
The United States cuts the Huawei supply chain and eats the global layout of Huawei 5G technology and equipment. It is also necessary to limit Huawei employees to enter the United States.The United States' global siege of Huawei has trapped Huawei.But the war between the United States and a company did not win.
This process is regarded as the Sino -US scientific and technological war, but the information released is very complicated.On the one hand, the US siege of Huawei highlights the strength of American scientific and technological strength and leadership of the Western world.On the other hand, the United States did not defeat Huawei.
At the political level, the United States has also been fully upgraded to China.The Autonomous Act of Sanctioning in Hong Kong due to the introduction of the Hong Kong National Security Law. Because of Xinjiang issues imposed sanctions on relevant Chinese officials, and fighting against China on the Taiwan China Sea issue, it is said that they also need to impose visas on the Communist Party of China and their family members.limit.If the plan is implemented, the United States will be separated from 300 million Chinese (92 million Chinese party members and their family).This plan is quite crazy, and some people think that they are equivalent to breaking diplomatic relations between the two countries.
Sino -U.S. Trade declined and scientific and technological decoupling, the international community has been worried.Now, the Trump administration seems to have expanded to decoupling with the Chinese.Once the Cold War curtain is strong, it will be no less than the impact of the US -Soviet power.
The United States and the Soviet Union are both ideological disputes, but also a geopolitics dispute left by World War II.The US -Soviet -dominated East -West Group confronted the danger balance, and eventually won the West with the collapse of the Berlin Wall and the disintegration of the Soviet Union.The Cold War of China and the United States was led by the United States. China is passively cope with it. It is a typical American bullying blessing.Of course, the US bullying of China is based on the US's strategic strength to China.Therefore, the United States has real asymmetry for the Cold War of China.
This asymmetry will also cause the United States to end in the cold war against China.
For more than 40 years of establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, it has formed a deepening relationship, which is essentially different from the hostile relationship between the United States and the Soviet Union's lack of economic and trade lubrication.Judging from the first -stage trade agreement in the Sino -US trade war, it is difficult for the US trade war to the United States to obtain priority to the United States.In addition, the U.S. scientific and technological war against China, especially the global hunting of Huawei, does not achieve the expected results.Although the United States has continued public relations and coercion to allies, countries that follow the ban on Huawei technology and equipment in the United States, except that Japan and India are the British, Australia and New Zealand in the Five Eye Alliance.
It is worth mentioning that although Japan has disabled Huawei, it remains silent in the stigmatization of China in the United States.India's abandonment of Huawei 5G is the reason why the China -India border conflict.The Britain eventually gave Huawei's schedule of exiting the British market (2027), because the Hong Kong National Security Law caused this old -fashioned empire that had colonized Hong Kong to lose face.Relations between Canada and China are in freezing, but they do not clearly discard Huawei 5G technology and equipment.
Under the coercion of the United States, more Western countries will join clubs that ban Huawei 5G technology and equipment, but the United States and those who follow the United States will also lose the competitiveness of the 5G market.In addition, the targets of the US trade war and scientific and technological warfare are not only China, but Western countries are also the goal of the United States priority.The increasingly gapd Atlantic relations highlight this fact. The crickets of the two countries on the Beixi-2 energy project not only highlight the further nervousness of Virtue, and Europe relations, but also cause the US-Europe and Russian triangle relations to be chaotic.
The Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union, the United States has absolute mobilization and appeal in the Western world. The United States' Cold War against China has caused American allies and countries around the world to be embarrassed.The Western world may be forced to join the anti -China team by pressure in the United States, or to follow the United States based on the Chinese National Security Law (such as the Hong Kong National Security Law), or follow the United States based on the geopolitical game with China.Regardless of the reason, the Anti -China League of the United States lacks cohesion.It can also be said that the United States is using the surplus value of superpowers to the Cold War in China.In this situation, the end of the American Cold War in the United States is difficult to predict.
The United States has formed a collective anti -China consensus, but based on the political factors of the general election, Trump eagerly promotes Sino -US relations to the dangerous situation, but may not be able to succeed.When Trump's two bullets of the trade war and scientific and technological warfare, Trump did not bring serious lethality to China.Now, the Trump administration is going to aimonize the aimed at the CCP members and their families, and the previous difficulty of the Chinese students in Chinese students means pushing Sino -US relations to a desperate situation.
The United States' comprehensive sanctions on North Korea, Cuba, and Iran have not achieved the expected results. If the same or more severe sanctions on China will not only achieve the goal, but also cause the country's interests to be seriously damaged.
China and the United States not only are important trading partners, but also have close personnel exchanges and capital exchanges. The United States has sanctioned bullets against China, and its lethality of China will also form the same backbolome of the United States.Moreover, China and the United States are also the Security Council. In international affairs such as North Korea and the Middle East, the United States does not want to face the reality of China.
Trump's Cold War drama, instead of breaking a knife with China, is not as good as the election.After all, Trump's public opinion support rate has been behind Biden.Relying on anti -China upper position has become a key choice for Trump.
Of course, the development of Sino -US relations is not possible to return to the past.But no matter who enters the White House, it will not rash to play a dangerous game with China to play zero -sum games.Moreover, in the United States, the poverty of the United States has still been restrained by the United States and left a back road to the United States.Therefore, how to end the Cold War in the United States depends on the results of the US election in November.
(The author is a senior researcher at the China Chahar Society, a guest researcher at the Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China)
