After Italy stated that it intended to withdraw from the "Belt and Road" cooperation with China, it was reported that Liu Jianchao, the Minister of the CPC Central Committee, will visit Rome to lobby the "Belt and Road" cooperation in Italy.

The analysis of scholars interviewees will have an impact on the international reputation of the “Belt and Road” if “retreat” in Italy, but it will not have a substantial impact;Italy.

According to the Italian media IL Foglio, Liu Jianchao, who is in charge of inter -party diplomacy of the Communist Party of China, will visit Italy for three days from Sunday (June 25) after ending British visit to perform a diplomatic task.The dialogue of the governing alliance persuaded Rome to cooperate with Beijing's renewal of the "Belt and Road" at the end of the year.

In 2019, it became the first and the only member of the Seven -Kinged Group (G7) of the Seven Power Group (G7), the only one who joined the "Belt and Road" initiative.Italy hopes to boost the domestic downturn economy, and Beijing will see the addition of Italy as a diplomatic victory.

However, after the cooperation agreement was signed by China, several important infrastructure projects made almost no progress, and China's investment in Italy also decreased due to the epidemic and other reasons.

Rhodium Group data shows that China's direct investment in Italy has declined from US $ 650 million (S $ 878 million) in 2019 to US $ 20 million and $ 33 million in 2021.

Like many European countries, Italy is clamped in the intense Sino -US relations. On the one hand, he hopes to maintain economic and trade cooperation with China. At the same time, he is also worried that China will penetrate through business channels and carry out economic coercion.During the campaign last year, Italian Prime Minister Melonney had publicly criticized the signing of the "Belt and Road" cooperation with China was a "big mistake".

Roman side has recently released news that it is considering that it will no longer cooperate with China's renewal of the "Belt and Road".According to the documents signed by the two countries in 2019, the cooperation agreement lasted for five years. If Italy did not take the initiative to withdraw, it will continue to renew next year for five years.

Bloomberg reported last month that the United States has been lobbying Italy to withdraw from this cooperation, but because of concerns about China's economic revenge, Melony's diplomatic consultant is still discussing the details and time points of this potential decision.

The news that Italy may "retreat" has aroused Beijing's attention.Italian media RAI News on Wednesday (June 21) quoted Chinese ambassador to Italian, Jia Guide, said that if the "Belt and Road" cooperation cannot renew the contract at the end of the year, it will be the "main obstacles" of exchanges between the two countries.

Jia Guide also pointed out in an exclusive interview with the Itali Online News Network FANPAGE on Friday (June 23) that the memorandum of understanding of the "Belt and Road" forgiveness is a mutually beneficial and win -win cooperation document, not the gift of one party to the other.

He said, "If you rashly decide the" retreat ", it will undoubtedly release a negative signal; it will have a considerable adverse impact on Italy's image, credibility and cooperation expectations.

As China strives to stabilize with European relations, Italy's withdrawal from the "Belt and Road" will be regarded as a foreign diplomacy failure.

However, Li Mingjiang, an associate professor of the Nanyang University of Technology in Singapore Nanyang University of Technology, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that this would have an impact on the international reputation of the "Belt and Road", but it would not be substantial.

He analyzed that the addition of Italy at the time was the exception. It has not changed the views and attitudes of Western countries on the "Belt and Road".Participation in the "Belt and Road".

But Li Mingjiang does not deny: "From the perspective of China, it must be that Italy can stay, and China may also make some diplomatic efforts."

Including Italy, a total of 152 countries and international organizations have signed the "Belt and Road" cooperation with China.

Director of the EU Research Center of Renmin University of China and Wang Yili, a professor of "Moane" lecturer of the European Union, said in an interview that different political parties in Italy have different governing concepts and different views on China. Whether to renew the "Belt and Road" cooperationIt is part of the domestic struggle.

As for whether China's diplomatic mediation can work, Li Mingjiang believes: "Italy's final decision depends on domestic politics and domestic public opinion, and the impact of diplomatic efforts may not be too obvious."

Wang Yilu pointed out that for China, "(one of the countries participating) should be viewed by ordinary mind ... Do not exit because (Italy), affecting China -Italian -Italian relations and Sino -European relations."