Because the current central bank governor Yi Gang and the central bank secretary Guo Shuqing did not enter the 20th Central Committee, the two are likely to step down in March next year.The current chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission Yi Huiman and the acting mayor of Beijing Yin Yong, who is optimistic about the industry in the industry as a popular candidate for the next President of the Central Bank of China.
Analysts interviewed pointed out that the downward pressure of China's domestic economy is increasing, the external environment is complicated and severe, and how monetary policy takes into account the short -term, long -term, and balanced inside and outside is the official facing difficult issue;Control inflation, as well as stabilizing RMB exchange rates and preventing capital outflows.
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China closed last month. The 64 -year -old current central bank governor Yi Gang, and Guo Shuqing, secretary of the 66 -year -old Central Bank of the Communist Party of China, did not enter the 20th Central Committee.The National People's Congress and the CPPCC) The Chinese government has stepped down at that time.
In a survey of Economists and political analysts this month, Yin Yong and Yizi were obtained for five votes. They were optimistic about the most powerful competitors of the new central bank governor.
Yin Yong and Yi Hui Man are both members of the 20th Central Committee.
Public information shows that the 53 -year -old Yin Yong is a typical high -education official. He has the dual -bachered bachelor's degree in control and corporate management, the doctor of system engineering, and the master's degree in public management of Harvard University.
He has worked at the Foreign Exchange Administration of the Central Bank for nearly 20 years. He served as assistant to the President of the Central Bank of China in 2015 and was promoted to the deputy governor of the central bank one year later.
Yin Yong was transferred to the central bank system in January 2018 and served as the deputy mayor of Beijing.At that time, when the official committee of the Beijing Municipal People's Congress asked Yin Yong, he described him as "familiar with foreign exchange, reserves, business management, and prominent business capabilities."
However, Yin Yong was appointed as the mayor of Beijing last month.After serving as the "leader" of the Beijing Municipal Government, Yin Yong's possibility of the central bank was significantly reduced.
Bloomberg quoted Pang Yan, chief economist and director of the Greater China Research, pointed out that from the current situation, the opportunity to be the central bank's governor will increase.
The 58 -year -old Yihui is full of veterans of the banking industry. The banks with the largest assets in China, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, have worked for more than 30 years.
Yihui Man was served as the chairman of the CSRC in January 2019, and Liu Shiyu, who "took the initiative to invest in the case" to the disciplinary inspection department four months later.He promoted the opening of the Science and Technology Board, which was officially announced by China and China, and pilot registration system on the board.
Yihui Man has never worked in the central bank. If he serves as the president, he will break the tradition of the governor of the central bank as the vice president before promoting the president of the central bank.
Neil Thomas, a senior Chinese analyst in Eurasia Group, pointed out that Chinese officials are willing to break the principles of promotion and show that the new president has the lack of experience in serving the central bank before, which may not be an obstacle.
Liu Guiping and Guo Ningning are also concerned
In addition to Yin Yong and Yi Hui Man, the candidates of the watched presidents include Liu Guiping, member of the Standing Committee of the CPC Tianjin Municipal Party Committee, deputy mayor, and Guo Ningning, member of the Standing Committee of the Fujian Provincial Party Committee and Deputy Governor.
Liu Guiping, 56, and 52 -year -old Guo Ningning, are alternate members of the 20th Central Committee. Both have a rich experience in working in state -owned banks and were sent to local experience.Liu Guiping has also served as the deputy governor of the central bank.
does not rule out the "Zhou Xiaochuan" mode
Zhou Xiaochuan, the governor of the Central Bank of China, did not enter the Central Committee of the Central Committee of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2012. At that time, the outside world believed that he would step down as the president of the central bank.However, after the two sessions of the following year, Zhou Xiaochuan, who was evaluated by the outside world as a professional ability and political wisdom, continued to lead the central bank as the vice chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and served until 2018.
Yi Gang and Guo Shuqing have not entered the 20th Central Committee. Whether they will continue the "Zhou Xiaochuan model" and extend the term of office in similar forms, it is worthy of attention.
Some analysts believe that the arrangement of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has released the signal of the restructuring economic management team.
The division of monetary policy in China and the United States, the fluctuation of the RMB exchange rate is obvious, and the domestic economic recovery is still full of uncertainty. How Chinese monetary policy responds to these challenges will be the test faced by the head of the central bank of China.
China's Monetary Policy Implementation Report issued by the Bank of China on the 16th of 2022 on the 16th of this month mentioned that the next stage of policy should take into account short -term and long -term, economic growth and stable prices, internal equilibrium and external equilibrium.
Wang Jun, director of the China Chief Economist Forum, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that domestic prices are generally mild but have a gradual higher trend. Steady growth and inflation are the two targets of the central bank.
Xie Dongming, director of the research director of the Greater China of Singapore Overseas Chinese Bank, pointed out in an interview that the central bank's monetary policy must ensure the stability of the economy and ensure that the exchange rate is stable; although the Chinese monetary policy is "based on me", the exchange rate factorThe constraints have become more and more obvious.
