Taiwan public health scholars estimate that the epidemic will converge after February 11, but clinicians are not so optimistic.
According to the Taiwan United Daily, Huang Limin, Honorary Chairman of the Taiwan Infectious Medicine Association and Dean of the Children's Hospital of the National Taiwan University, said that government data shows that the epidemic is converging, but the Omikon's epidemic world is recognized in poorControl, people who have no way to master government data may be the key to determining the development of the epidemic.
Chen Xiuxi, a professor at the National Public Health Institute and Pre -Medicine Institute, pointed out that the number of regenerations (RT values) of the current Taiwan epidemic situation is about 1.2, that is, 1 person can infect 1.2 people, but due to public health prevention measures (measures of public health prevention measures (NPI) and detection implementation is as high as 75%, and the vaccination during the Spring Festival is not interrupted. The RT value is expected to be less than 1 on February 11, and the epidemic is converging.
Huang Limin said that public health scholars relied on the data provided by the government to believe that the epidemic converged, but "maybe we are suspicious of clinical people." He believes that the estimation is "a bit optimistic."
There are two main points of doubts about Huang Limin: First of all, during the Spring Festival, people with viruses are likely to move in the community.It was discovered, so government data does not mean that all cases have been caught.
Furthermore, although the people have changed their cognitive changes in the disease, they have the psychology of avoiding inspection and column.Huang Limin said that many people will joke this year's New Year and friends gathering, "Will it be isolated if you go back this time?" Although most people are good for government measures, they will still be afraid of the sudden administrative measures.Essence
Huang Limin observed that in the past, the people were worried about the severe illness and the people around them.Recently, the epidemic has moved to minorization. The government is still listed on a large scale and isolation of high -intensity. It will definitely have a reaction. The public thinks that "it is not serious anyway", they will evade real -name systems, have suspected symptoms and do not want to be inspected.
Huang Limin said that Omikon's epidemic world is recognized inaccurate control. Whether Taiwan's epidemic prevention is really unique and can control the Omikon epidemic, no one is sure now.
