Liu Shijin, a member of the Bank of China Monetary Policy Committee, introduced that 2022 is still a year full of uncertainty. The economy is expected to achieve medium -speed growth, and the annual growth rate is slightly higher than 5%.In 2022, the economic growth rate showed a low -end and high trend. It is expected that around April is a low point, and about September is a high point.
According to the 21st Century Business Herald, Liu Shijin's speech on the "2021 Southern Finance International Forum" pointed out that compared with short -term macro policies, it should pay more attention to the structural potential of China entering the medium -speed growth stage.China's main source of high growth.
He said: "Since this year, the overall economic recovery process is good, but it has fallen significantly in September. The year -on -year growth rate of economic year -on -year economy may be less than 4%, indicating that the current economic downside pressure is greater."
He also said that looking forward to 2022 is still a year full of uncertainty, but there are new opportunities, such as expanding domestic demand, green transformation, and technological innovation.
He also pointed out that the current economy is facing a certain downward pressure, so everyone pays attention to macro policies.However, macro policies mainly play a short -term balance and stability, and cannot pay too high expectations.
Liu Shijin said: "Compared with short -term macro policies, we need to pay more attention to structural potential. Other kinetic energy is weakened and new kinetic energy is required. Now it is the period of structural potential framework.The policy cannot play such a big role. "
He believes that for some structural contradictions that exist in the current and long -term economic operation, it should be resolved from a cross -cycle perspective.It is recommended to adopt the method of "long planning, hard measures, and soft landing".
The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that in 2022, it is necessary to increase macro -rolitions for cross -cyclical regulation and improve the forward -looking pertinence of macro -control.All regions and departments should bear the responsibility of stabilizing the macroeconomic, and actively launch policies that are conducive to economic stability in all aspects, and the policy is properly advanced.
In terms of green transformation, Liu Shijin said that it is necessary to make long -term planning to form a mechanism of coordinated carbon reduction, dirt reduction, green increase, and growth, and promote technological innovation and institutional innovation to achieve dual carbon targets.
