Pay attention to the ＂Fourteenth Five -Year＂ economic main theme of mainland China

Source: Taiwan Economic Daily Society

The Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China held a meeting on July 30 that the 19th Fifth Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Central Committee will be held in October this year.The meeting was also set for economic work in the second half of the year, and proposed that the Chinese economy should turn to the direction of circulation as the main body.

Study the next five -year plan is the regular agenda of the Fifth Plenary Session. The 14th Five -Year Plan refers to the Chinese National Economic Plan from 2021 to 2025.Unlike the Fifth Plenary Session of the previous CPC Central Committee, this time focused on the mid -term planning and studied the proposal on the formulation of the long -distance viewing goals in 2035. From this, we can see the intention of the CCP's ruling authorities.Medium-term Goal.

It is understood that the CCP will complete the first century goal at the end of this year, that is, the 100th anniversary of the establishment of the party in 2021 will build a well -off society in an all -round way, and start to move towards the second century goal next year.The latter is divided into two stages. The first stage is from 2020 to 2035, which basically realizes socialist modernization. The second stage is from 2035 to 2050, and the socialist modern power is established.

Tang Renwu, Dean of the Government Management Research Institute of Beijing Normal University, analyzed in the interview that the 2035 visual goal will refine the basic realization of socialist modernization in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and it is likely to formulate more specific measurement indicators.The Politburo Conference also affirmed the performance of the Chinese economy in the first half of the year, and at the same time proposed to accelerate the formation of a new development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic large -scale cycles and domestic and international dual cycles.

The meeting and release will pay more attention to the implementation of macro policy implementation. It is necessary to improve the cross -cyclical design and adjustment of macro -regulation, and achieve long -term balance between stable growth and risk prevention.

Regardless of the Chinese or global economy, it is too unusual in 2020.A century -old new crown epidemic is still burning around the world. At the same time, the United States and China, which is trapped in the trap of Xunxione, has deteriorated the relationship between the two parties.Historically severe frustration.

How the Chinese Communist Party's governing authorities observe the situation, adjust the layout, set goals, and develop a formula, which is naturally worthy of high attention.

First of all, the CCP moves towards the second century goal in accordance with the original plan. The purpose is to stabilize the expectations of all parties. It also releases the signal that China does not want or does not think that the international pattern may occur or will change significantly.

Secondly, for the first time, the new development concept and strategy of the internal circulation as the main body and the domestic and international dual cycles promotes each other. This is because the new crown epidemic has raged global and the U.S. -China conflict has risen.During the state, between the province, the province, the state, and the state, the entire world country and the country, regardless of the supply chain and the demand chain, have severely broken.

If these situations continue for a long time, or individual enterprises, or the economies of various countries, they will face the pressure of suffocation.In such a situation, China noticed an advantage that almost other countries does not have, that is, a huge autologous cycle, which allows China to maintain a certain degree of effectiveness in the face of external globalization even if it is fragmented.run.

China's autumn cycle is mainly based on three superior conditions.The first condition is the economic scale. This refers to the total population and the GDP (GDP). The larger the two, the larger the domestic demand market, and the lower the demand to face the foreign dependence; the world's population is the world's first, GDP is the world's number one worldwide.Second, there is a middle class that is rapidly growing and equivalent to the total population of the United States.The second condition is the industrial system, which mainly refers to the complete industrial category. This is also a concept of low external dependence and no person.The third condition is strategic resources. In addition to the insufficient self -proclaimed oil of oil, China is very high.

The above conditions are unique as Chinese.Therefore, China has proposed a new development pattern of accelerating the formation of large domestic cycles and mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles. This development strategy believes that it will become the main theme of the 14th Five -Year Plan.

Third, we must also see the strategic ideas of China's economic development, which is more and more long -term.For a long time, the macro -adjustment policy, especially monetary policies, has suffered severe sequelae in the medium and long term.

Therefore, it is necessary to emphasize the improvement of macro -regulation lsquo; cross -cycle rsquo; design and adjustment, and achieve long -term balance of stable growth and risk prevention.

If the Chinese economy can first stabilize in the situation where the global economic prospects are highly uncertain, it is good for China, Asia and the world.It is expected that China's internal circulation will eventually drive a global cycle.