< /p> Sino -US relations have continued to be tight because of trade issues. The original expected optimistic negotiations suddenly turned down because of some factors; some disturbing signals appeared in China.(Bloomberg)
Sino -US relations have continued to be tight because of trade issues. The original expected optimistic negotiations suddenly turned down because of some factors; some disturbing signals appeared in China.For example, CCTV in Mainland China suddenly played film heroes and children such as film heroes and Shang Ganling.In Chinese social media, the voices of nationalism accompanied by the incidents of exacerbating confrontation between the two countries, from the backburning of Trump's tax increase in US President Trump to the list of Huawei in the entity list, showing a significant upward trend.
Although Sino -US relations cannot return to the state of relatively friendly and cooperation, is it necessary to upgrade to a state of hostile?
Understanding China's economic development over the past 30 years, as well as China's open political and ideological form and economic form, and the relationship between the order of international openness, it is the basis for dealing with the current Sino -US relations and the relationship between China and global order.
If you think that the achievements in China in the past are just because of the special political structure and special leadership method of the People's Republic of China, even if it is not completely wrong, it has largely missed another key link, that is, the global economic form and external pressure to China to ChinaThe role of development.
Although China has achieved great achievements today, it can be said that even if it is hostile to the United States, China can maintain quite good development, or based on its huge consumer market and population, it is enough to form an independent economic system.; You don't need external market and technological innovation, can you continue to maintain China's good development momentum?
The answer is probably not the case.One of the functions brought by global production and industrial networking is to promote the global flow of global technology, talent and innovation.Any country or economy independent of the network will inevitably lead to the gradual shrinking of its relevant elements and the loss of advantages.Barry Naughton, an expert in Chinese economic issues at the University of California, emphasized not to be superstitious about so -called independent innovation.The current development and innovation of global science and technology, deeply embedded in the global industrial chain and network, independent innovation is not realistic.
At the same time, the lack of communication with the outside world will inevitably lead to lack of sensitive nerves to the external world, and cause blind decisions and judgments.
Although China is a large population and a large market country, it can be known to review the history of China since the Ming and Qing Dynasties. Even if it has the world's largest population and market, under a unified monotonous system, the power of the Chinese central government hasThe influence of society and economy has been greatly influenced. Under such a single power influence, no matter how developed the economy may gradually wither and gradually shrink.The market economy consumed for decades may disappear overnight.
What's more, with the advent of digital technology represented by artificial intelligence, the traditional industrial laws will also face subversion, which will change the global industrial distribution and chain.
Taking the manufacturing industry as an example, the general industrial layout rules are to close to the original production materials or close to the consumer market. This can make full use of local production materials and manpower, while facilitating the costs of marketing and saving transportation.Therefore, China has been able to quickly develop into a manufacturing country with its demographic dividend and mineral resources in the past 30 years.
But now this situation will face changes.The current development of artificial intelligence is based on big data.If a country or economy wants to ensure the ability of its specific industries, it is necessary to ensure that the relevant industries are produced in its area, otherwise it will be not only the industry itself, but also the corresponding knowledge ability and future growthspace.
In this way, even if the Sino -US trade war has not occurred, the production of some enterprises has shifted to China. With the application of related technologies such as artificial intelligence in the future, the re -layout and adjustment of industries worldwide will also occur, which may lead to the advantages of China's related industry advantagesThe loss of status.If considering China's political factors, it may cause its border to suddenly close, and this centrifugal effect will be more powerful.
To avoid accelerating this change or changing the expectations of China's future retreat in the future, China can only continue to keep this road.This kind of openness is not only economic open, but also needs to be open to ideas to avoid thinking with class struggle or relationships with the relationship between the enemy and us.
In fact, since Taiwan's political attacks between different political parties, the rigid political party thinking has led to its unsatisfactory economic development.
Taiwan was originally the first of the four dragons in Asia, but now it lags behind three other economies such as Singapore, South Korea and Hong Kong.The closed political thinking leads to the strength of the elites in how to eliminate the narrow thoughts of the opponent, and fails to use its energy to develop the economy and enhance its strength.Development and attention to the people's economy is just the slogan at the election.
Taiwan's more than ten years of experience has been vigilant in the mainland.The history of the first few decades after the establishment of the Political People's Republic of China has also told us that the relationship between different groups and countries with the relationship between class and enemies will only fall into endless self -consumption and self -destruction.Economy and people's lives have no contribution.Such a historical stage should not be reproduced.
Back to the issue of Sino -US relations, although China is not yesterday China today, today's Sino -US relations are not Sino -US relations in the past, and today's world is not the world of yesterday. We need to review this change from the perspective of development.The international order, but this does not mean that the competitive relationship between the country must enter the ideology of the relationship between the enemy and us.This is not desirable whether it is domestic or abroad.
As long as you continue to keep open, avoid economic backstream, ideological rigidity, and countries of different systems, even competitive relationships, can also find proper treatment methods.
(The author is Beijing freelance)