Wang Hongguang, former deputy commander of the Nanjing Military Region of the People's Liberation Army in Mainland China, wrote an article on Global Network today (29th), saying that according to the deduction, the PLA can be unified in Taiwan in less than three days.

Wang Hongguang stated in a comments in Taiwan's comments in Taiwan. It also stated that if Taiwan wants to seek foreign aid, it will only give the United States and Japan for three days for foreign aid.

He said that the three -day reinforcement had not arrived, or was blocked by the PLA Dongfeng 21D missile, sea and air forces, and firepower, and could not approach Taiwan.

The following is the full text of Wang Hongguang's comments:

How long does it take for Wu Tong Taiwan?Recently, there are divergent opinions on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.As the Tsai Ing -wen authorities refused to acknowledge the 1992 consensus, the momentum of the mainland people's martial arts Taiwan became increasingly rising.Related to this, how much time of Wutong Taiwan needs to be a hot topic.

Let's look back that how long the national army on the island can resist the Communist Army is actually a long -lasting topic. It is the pain in the hearts of the military and civilians on the island.

In 2007, legislator Li Ao said that the then LSquo; Minister of Defense RSQUO; Tang Fei said that as long as the budget was increased, the Taiwan Air Force could support up to 45 minutes.Tang Fei (served as Minister of Defense from 1999-2000) believes that he can support for a few days.

In 2010, Li Ao asked the then Minister of Defense Li Jie. Li replied to resist two weeks. Li Ao said that the United States did not come after two weeks. Taiwan was a sea of fire. We finished the egg.

In 2011, when legislator Jiang Xiaoyan asked the then Minister of Defense Gao Huazhu, he answered that he could persist until other international Aid aids, and it took more than two weeks.

In 2014, Yan Ming, then the Minister of Defense, answered that the legislature inquired about the assumptions that the Chinese Communist Party had not reduced the threat of Taiwan and had the ability to commit large -scale committed Taiwan.It can support it for about 30 days, and is called courage by legislators.

In recent years, Taiwan media reported several times that Taiwan ’s legislators asked the Minister of Defense Feng Shikuan once the two sides of the strait started, and Taiwan could support it for a few days. Feng Shikuan said how long it can be played. It is absolutely a week.

The answer from the above -mentioned Taiwan National Defense Minister, from the few days of Tang Fei to the month of Yan Ming, and even recently, Feng Shikuan (has stepped down as MDASH; MDASH; Circular Note), the gap was quite large.It seems that it has not been solemn, scientific demonstrations, computer simulation and chess deductions. In order to deal with the difficulties of legislators, they can be said casually.The speakers and listeners understand that the audience does not have to be true.

The Marine Corps of the PLA

So how many days can our army win Taiwan?If I participate in the discussion of the Legislative Yuan on the island, and different from the above -mentioned national defense ministers, I can be responsible for what I say.My answer may be similar to Tang Fei, only a few days.Specifically, if the moment I landed on the Taiwan Island, that is, when the d day is 0h, then the D+48h is two days, and it will be a complete victory in the island.If the first fire shell is calculated from Taiwan Island and landed 24 hours later, then the D-24H plus D+48h, a total of 72 hours, and won Taiwan for three days.

I came to roughly calculate the basis for winning Taiwan for three days.

According to public information, after the Taiwan Army's sophisticated, progressive, and essential cases decreased, the total force was about 215,000, of which 100,000 to 120,000 of the army and about 80,000 combat forces.The island formed 4 combat zones. There are 9 coalition brigades on the field forces. There may be 5 brigades responsible for the defense, 4 brigades responsible for the mobility, and there are some defensive troops in each theater.There are about 16 brigade forces.Equipment of more than 700 M60A3 and M48 Yonghu tanks, more than 1,800 M41 light tanks and various types of armored vehicles; 1,500 cannons above 105 (dozens of Thunder 2000 rocket guns); more than 200 sets of air defense missiles (of which three Patriots are Patriot three (of which three Patriots are the Patriot 3rdThere are 9 sets of types), more than 200 high guns; more than 200 helicopters in each type (of which 30 Apache); the Air Force F-16, Phantom 2000, and the Economic Fighter have more than 300 aircraft;There are about 30 warships and 2 submarines for combat.The reason why I do not list the Taiwan Army and Air Force in detail is mainly because once they start, the main fighters and warships are damaging most of my firepower preparation stage (D-24H).

The PLA Zhu Ri and Parade Founder

If I am an imaginary enemy of the Taiwanese side, our army who serves as a Hanguang exercise of the Taiwan Army's commander department will fight against the military forces with Taiwan independence.

Give the starting conditions of the homework first.The Taiwan Army believes that our army attacks Taiwan. Generally, we must go through several stages of combined strategic deterrence, combined fire blockade, joint firepower strike, and joint landing (Taiwan).In order to make the starting time clear, there is no need to borrow the killing effect of fire blockbusters and the firepower strike stage. This time, we will be deduced from the launch of a strategic raid and directly enter the United Island battle.The launch time is based on the login date of the combat time, and the day in advance, starting one day in advance, that is, when D-24H.Let's start below.

D-24H began to strike straight.The Rocket Army is the main, supplemented by 300-370 mm long-range rocket launchers, mainly cracking down on the firepower into three waves.In the first wave, it strikes dozens of important goals, such as major military airports, military ports, armored, artillery and infantry gathering places, air defense, radar, electronic technical positions, communication hubs, power hubs, etc.Of course, the beheading of firepower will also be within the first wave, such as the Presidential Palace, the Democratic Progressive Party Department, the Presidential Palace, the Hengshan (Yuanshan) command post, the military command department, and the combat zone headquarters.Among them, more than twenty goals must be destroyed, such as Hengshan (Yuanshan) underground command, 4 combat zones and 3 military command, Jiashan and Taitung aircraft cave database, Zuo Ying military port, several patriot missile missile missilesThree Apache helicopter bases including the position, Leshan paved roadplane remote radar, and Guiren.It is necessary to prepare sufficient applicable ammunition, especially drilling bombs and concrete blasting bombs.As far as I know, our army's short -range missiles are counted by thousands of, and the long fire bomb is tens of thousands.Before or at the same time, the first wave of blows was launched and at the same time, densely launching and mobilizing reconnaissance, remote sensing satellites, and long -term high -altitude drones to ensure that the Taiwan troops moved every H under my close monitoring and evaluated the damage.

After that, the second wave of strikes were launched, including all the military goals of the catalogs and the common goals of the military and civilians, as well as important civilian goals that influenced our actions, including power plants, substation, transportation hub (interchange), bridge tunnel (my land offense needs neededPass), Green Camp Television, Broadcasting Station.After the blow evaluation, the third wave of strikes were launched, including the residual and recovered targets after the first and second waves of strikes to ensure that all the targets of the crackdown cannot be recovered in D+48H.After each wave of missiles and far fires, our aviation soldiers supplemented the blow, went to the air to inspect and evaluate the damage of the target, and supplemented the target that was not completely damaged.A few fighters who forcibly took off were shot down, sinking a few ships that had come out of the military port, and stopped the armored, artillery, and infantry forces that had gathered gathered regions.Later, the Chada UAV was uninterrupted and uninterrupted.

After three waves of missiles, long fire strikes, and three waves of aviation supplementary blows, the Taiwan Strait's electromagnetic rights, air control, and sea rights of the Taiwan Strait were completely controlled by me.After that, my air offer airlines turned into air cruise, and the aircraft soldiers and long fires turned into support fire assault.

The European Bull Cushion Login Call

On the occasion of my three waves of firepower, the first echelon of my landing regiment boarded the ship and traversed in several regions. When D+0h, I landed on the beach of the beach onto.When it was assaulting land, I got the cover and support of my long firepower, gunfire, Air Force aviation firepower and land aircraft firepower.My Wu Zhi 10 mainly monitors the height of the enemy's treeAt low altitude, cracking down on Taiwan Army Apache helicopters to relieve his threat to the landing troops.Air Force Aviation and ship gunfire mainly eliminated the enemy's counterattack (anti -impact) department (score) team.I hope that the Taiwanese army is like shooting the tank column on the beach like a anti -boat -wave shooting in the Hanguang exercise.It is expected that there will be 1-2 armored brigades in the direction of Hsinchu and Hukou. There will be anti-assaults in the battle of 1-2 armored brigades. The long-fire killing child's mother bomb and the anti-decorative armor will be sent in the field when fighting against the anti-assault tactics regiment.

D+4h My First Echelon Brigade seized the shallow and near depth, and controlled the landing field.D+8H Our Group's second echelon is landing and entered the battle. The main goal of seizing the depth of the control tactics. In the face of Hsinchu and Taoyuan, it should enter the front line of Zhongshan high -speed speed. With the cooperation of special soldiers and airborne soldiers who landed in the early days, the Hsinchu system was won., Pingzhen System, Airport System, Yingge System, each of the main channels to the west of the Central Mountains to the Greater Taipei District.The troops responsible for seizing the port and the airport, completing the current task, closely monitoring the enemy's situation in the face, and guiding the main force (with) land.If the first stage (login) is not smooth, the delay is 4 hours, the login task should be completed in D+12H.Since then, he turned to land to fight.

Below is limited by space, I do not deduct the on -site offense of the island, and only deduct the trend of MDASH; MDash; Greater Taipei District in the northern part of Taiwan Island.At this time, I besieged the main combat groups and auxiliary combat groups of Taipei, and the auxiliary combat groups have all landed (landing) and started to attack Taipei City.It is expected that there will be 6-8 brigade forces in the Greater Taipei District, including 4-5 of the joint soldiers and 2-3 brigades directly under the combat zone.EssenceAfter the first stage of anti-landing operations, 3-4 brigade troops have been lost, and the remaining 2-3 coalition brigades and combat zone defensive forces have a total of about 20,000 people, which are divided into the southwestern direction of Zhongshan Expressway and the Southwest of the National Second Expressway. Hsinchu and TaoyuanIn the direction, the direction of Keelung, the direction of Yilan and the city's urban tissue defense.About one brigade in each direction, 3000-4000 people.

I attacked from three directions: along the country's second (Formos) high speed from the southwest to northeast, attacking the southwestern part of Taipei City; to attack from Hsinchu and Taoyuan along the Zhongshan High Speed, to the west of Taipei City;High -speed, attacking the northeast of Taipei City.At the same time, the Jiang Weishui Highway and the Beiyi Mountain Highway were closed, and the East and West of the Taipei District were cut off, and the trend of closing the door in the city of Taipei was formed.The distance between the three directions is about 70, 60, and 30 kilometers, respectively, and the attack speed is calculated at 15 km/h, and the attack is 2-5 hours.Assuming that there are 1-3 resistance bases on each line of offense, each removal of 1 hour (can be bypassed, otherwise the superior firepower will be destroyed, not with entanglement and stay), plus 3 hours, a total of 5-8, a total of 5-8, a total of 5-8, a total of 5-8Hours.If there is an unexpected situation, it is disposed of for 4 hours.

For example, such as the Xizhi Interchange in the Northeast entrance of Taipei City, you can use a long fire to kill the mother -in -law's bombs to kill all armed personnel on the road, remove the barricades with air fuel bombs to ensure the successful approval of our army.Each direction enters the city of Taipei in D+24h.At this time, the Special Forces and the Air Commando Group have controlled the surroundings of Songshan Airport and Hengshan (Yuanshan) headquarters.Tsai Ing -wen and the Minister of Defense of the Taiwan Army may be at this time: First, they are still in the headquarters, and the other is to flee.But how do you escape, where to escape?Where can I escape the next leader in the next article?

PLA Type 071 dock landing ship

At this point, the beginning of the landing time has passed one day (D+24h).At this time, the targets of Taipei, Kaohsiung, Keelung, Taichung, Hualien, Yilan, Taitung and other major regions have been destroyed or tightly controlled by firepower, and one of them has been captured., Most of the communication hubs and electronic warfare positions have been destroyed or damaged, at least not in D+48h; the Taiwan Army's commanders have lost their command effects. The main commanders may be beheaded or fled.Contact; Taiwan Island's underwater communication cable is cut off, communication and reconnaissance satellites are temporarily blind, unable to connect within D+48h, and the external contact is greatly compressed;I was controlled by special forces; a large number of officers and soldiers of the Taiwan army went to the prisoners of war.

Under the above situation, if there are still a few green platforms and the will of resistance, then I will act: capture the Hengshan (Yuanshan) command, destroy the stronghold that is still losing the stubborn resistance, and the enemy of the town that is bypassingThe island's naval ships, etc., about 8 hours, total time D+32h.Then clean up the battlefield and accept the captives for about 4 hours.At this point, there are 12 hours left for three days (D-24H plus D+48h), which is used to deal with unpredictable situations.

Rocket Army Dongfeng-21D medium-range ballistic missile

The deductive closure, the conclusion is clear: less than three days.

In short, it only gives the United States and Japan for three days.The three -day reinforcement has not arrived, or I have been blocked by my Dongfeng 21D missile, sea and air forces, and firepower, and cannot approach Taiwan.