Analysis: If the EUs economic loss is far surpassed the United States if conflic

Russia is the fifth largest trading partner in the European Union and the largest oil and gas supply country.In contrast, Russia is not even one of the 30 major trading partners in the United States.If Russia was sanctioned by Western in Ukraine, the EU loss would be significantly more serious than the United States.

(Bloomberg, Washington) Bloomberg's analysis pointed out that if the European Union conflicts with Russia, the loss will be much larger than the United States. This is why Western allies have always beenIt is difficult to reach an agreement on the tough position of Ukraine's deadlock.

Russia is the fifth largest trading partner in the European Union and the largest oil and gas supply country.In contrast, the United States is an exporter of energy, and its trade connection with Russia is more alienated. Russia is not even one of the 30 major US trading partners.In terms of investment, there are also similar European investment that Russia attracted more than US investments. Well -known European companies such as IKEA, Shell (Shell), and Volkswagen have invested in Russia. Therefore, European companies are facing greater risksEssenceRussia is also one of the largest exporters of aluminum, nickel, steel and fertilizer.

Aishi, a new market strategist at Lanwan Asset Management Company, pointed out that European energy prices are a big concern.Russian President Putin hopes that the European Union will take care of its own natural gas supply, and do not interfere with Russia when invasion of Ukraine.

After Russia and swallowed Crimea in 2014, the sanctions on the West on Russia eventually made the European economy pay the price, and European countries worry that this history will repeat itself.

Studies from the Kirl World Institute of Economics showed that the sanctions at that time did cause Russia to suffer the greatest trade losses, but Germany's losses were not too much, and other European economies could not escape the impact.

In contrast, sanctions on Russia have little impact on the United States, and they may also allow more liquefied natural gas to benefit from US exporters who want to export more liquefied natural gas to Europe.

In the past few months, Russia has restricted natural gas exports, leading to double the price of natural gas and increased power supply costs in continental Europe."If Western countries impose sanctions on Russian energy exports, or Moscow uses natural gas exports as lever tools if Western countries may be surpassed ... even far beyond the new high they set last year."

Bloomberg's European chief economist Rush pointed out that according to Bloomberg's economic model speculation, the impact of energy price increases on the euro zone economy or Duoda domestic GDP (GDP), and its impact will continue this yearYear.

Military conflict of military conflicts in the outbreak of Russian natural gas pipelines is difficult to enable

Nord Stream that connects Russia and Germany's natural gas pipeline project "Beixi -2"2) It has been paved, and Russia has stated that when the pipeline is put into use and the decision -making power is in Europe.If Ukraine broke out for military conflicts, this natural gas pipeline material was difficult to enable, and other plans to supply energy from Russia to Europe would also be suspended, further intensifying the issue of EU energy shortage.

The head of the Financial Crime and Security Research Center of the Royal Institute of London Think Tank Research Institute, Kike Tinger pointed out that the US and European politicians have always emphasized that sanctions will cause pain to the Russian economy, but they have not mentioned sanctions to the European economy.It may have a considerable impact.

Saab, the fund manager of Anben Asset Management Company in London, said that Russia has taken action and is not influenced by US sanctions, so it is difficult to feel the pain of sanctions.Russia retreats to the edge. "