Scholars analyzed by scholars of the "Chinese spy balloon" incident incidentIt shows that the deteriorating relationship between China and the United States is so fragile that it cannot withstand an ordinary blow; the incident has exacerbated the pressure of public opinion faced by the Biden government, and it will be more difficult for the United States to make concessions to China.
The White House of the United States announced that the first face -to -face meeting between the two heads of China and the United States in November last year announced that US Secretary of State Brills will visit China.The outside world originally expected that Brins will promote the restoration of bilateral high -level contacts between the two countries in order to set up a "protective bar" for Sino -US relations.
Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations of Renmin University of China, previously believed that China and the United States continued to confront issues in Taiwan, semiconductor high -tech and other issues. In this context, Blint's visit to China will be difficult to make relations between the two countries.Bring significant and long -term improvements.
When Yin Hong said in an interview with Lianhe Zaobao on Saturday (February 4), it was ironic that even the pessimistic prediction at the time was now a bit optimistic.The increasingly worse relationship between China and the United States has been fragile enough to bear a normal blow. Sino -US relations must achieve "significant and long -term improvements", which seems to almost rely on miracles.
The United States will hold a presidential election in 2024. The party has now actively prepared for the election. As a result, the domestic public opinion environment has become more and more sensitive.
According to Bloomberg, US officials have detected unknown objects entering the United States on January 28, but they have dealt with incidents in low -key days.Wu Xinbo, Executive Deputy Dean of the International Institute of International Issues of Fudan University and director of the American Research Center, analyzed that this incident was believed to be an accident. The balloon did not have much military effect, otherwise the United States would not take action for several days.
Wu Xinbo said that Brinkens had been under great pressure in the United States before visiting China, and many people were questioning the need for his visit to China; after the balloon incident, he had to make a posture in a gesture, right, right, right, right, right, right?Domestic conservatives explain.
Luo Minghui, assistant professor of public policy and global affairs courses of Nanyang University of Technology, studied and judged that Brinken's cancellation of the trip to China is not a small topic.Enter your own airspace.
Luo Minghui believes that this incident may be a problem with the coordination of relevant units in China, rather than China deliberately scared the United States, because China has continued to release signals looking forward to the visit to China for several months.Visiting China is not good for China.
He pointed out that Chinese officials have acknowledged that balloon belongs to China and expressed regret, which helps to solve this episode.However, many Republicans seize the opportunity to criticize Bayon too weak in China. In such an public opinion environment, it will be more difficult to concessions to China, which will have a certain impact on the overall Sino -US relations.
Wu Xinbo and Luo Minghui believe that the United States will not completely cancel the trip to China to visit China. As for when the two sides can arrange Bronken to visit China, the two have different opinions.
Wu Xinbo believes that Brinken may be changed at the end of February; Luo Minghui expects that the Bayeng government may take at least a few months to re -arranges Brinken to visit China, but it is expected to be in this year this year.Success.
