The emergency state implemented by the Myanmar military government expired at the end of January.According to the constitution, the election must be held within six months after the end of the emergency.Political Observer believes that this election will be an ugly "performance", which is used to rationalize the (military) coup and declare the claims of corruption and fraud in the 2020 election.
(Yangon / Bangkok Composite Electric) After two years of the Myanmar coup, the military government began to prepare a new round of elections, but most people did not believe that the election would bring substantial changes, and as the mood of opposition to the military government rose high, the mood rose high high.The election may cause more bleeding incidents.
Scholars pointed out that the economy and society in Myanmar are still confusing so far, and under the current circumstances, the election cannot be free and fair.More political observers described that the general election was just a "performance" to rationalize the military government.
Myanmar's last election was in November 2020. At that time, the National Democratic Alliance, led by Democratic leader Weng Shan Shuzhi, won a new government and formed a new government.However, the Burmese military launched a coup on February 1, 2021 on the grounds of fraud in elections to pull the election government off the horse.
Although the fraud saying has never been confirmed, the military arrested Weng Shan Shuzhi, who was a state -owned government, and a number of national alliance members, and accused Weng Shan Shuzhi charged.
Under the bloody target of the military, the democratic vitality in Myanmar is seriously injured, and the support of the close allies Russia and China.Register for election within two months.
The emergency state implemented by the military government expired at the end of January. According to the Constitution, the emergency state can no longer be extended, and the election must be held within six months after the end of the emergency. Therefore, the election will not be held later than August 1st.Essence
However, the people in Myanmar are unlikely to vote because they may be retaliated.Anti -military and political armed forces have been talked about to deal with those who cooperate with the elections. According to media reports, the staff who assisted in the presence of voters in Yangon have been attacked several times.
Myanmar people believe that they cannot vote according to their wishes."In areas controlled by the military government, voters may be forced to vote and vote to the party's party. Voters will naturally think they are monitored without voting or voting.Oppose the military government may be punished. "
A former civil servant who did not want to name to describe that any election held by the military government is like "a car with only one wheel", "such an election cannot bring any progress at all."
In the jungle bordering Thailand, dozens of people's defense troops are still fighting the military government.One of them vowed that the election would not affect their determination to drive the military out of Myanmar's politics."We will hold our weapons until we have the election government."
Myanmar political observers Madison said: "These will not be the real election, it will only be ugly performances, which is used to rationalize the (military) coup to declare the 2020 claims of corruption and fraud."
Russia has publicly stated that it will support the military government to hold elections, while the United States urges the international community not to recognize the so -called "election" of the Myanmar military.Foreign sources said that neighboring countries such as Thailand, India, and China may acquire elections.
No matter how the election results are unlikely to end Myanmar violence
No matter what the election results, it is generally believed that this is unlikely to end Myanmar's violence.
The only expectation of the people is that Chinese companies can step on this land again after the Myanmar election, at least drive the economy.
A person in charge of a medium -sized enterprise in Yangon told Nikkei Asia that about 20 Chinese businessmen have contacted the local wealthy merchants, hoping to go to Myanmar to develop business opportunities after the election."We wait for China to invest in infrastructure again after the election ... Military rule is unacceptable. But if you want to survive, you can only accept this fact."
In the past two years, the struggle between social turmoil, armed forces and democratic camps, Western sanctions, and crown disease have seriously hindered the economic development of Myanmar.However, some industries, including the Myanmar clothing industry, show a certain degree of recovery.
According to official data, from January to September 2022, Myanmar's clothing exports to the European Union, Japan and the United States is US $ 3.3 billion (S $ 4.35 billion), which is 1.6 times the same period of the previous year.New high.
It is just that the textile industry has flourished, and the wages of Myanmar people have not increased for many years.Myanmar's currency depreciates sharply, coupled with the rising global prices, people's lives are still difficult.
World Bank data show that in 2022, Myanmar's population ratio below the national poverty line reached 40 % of the total population, more than 20 % in 2019.Public order has also deteriorated, and robbery and theft have increased.
