Hong Qichang, former chairman of the Sea Foundation, pointed out that the time point and impact scope announced by the trade barriers are obviously targeted at Taiwan elections, which especially affects SMEs and the Democratic Progressive Party of the Central and South China.It also tested how the DPP government conducted trade consultations with mainland officials under the current political status of cross -strait politics.
Li Chun, director of the Taiwan Foreign Ministry, commented that mainland China is likely to consider launching economic blockade to Taiwan.The experts interviewed and judged that Beijing was setting off a "cross -strait trade war" through the investigation of trade barriers, which may impact the results of Taiwan's elections.
The Mainland PLA just launched a circular warning police patrol and the "United Ling Sword" exercise around the Taiwan Strait from April 8th to 10th.Speaker McCarthy met.
The "Cai Maihui" realized the highest level of talks held in the United States after the interruption of Taiwan and the United States in 1979. Beijing strongly protested that the United States hollowed out the "one Chinese principle" and criticized Taiwan to "rely on the beauty of the beauty".
Taiwan Foreign Minister Wu Zhaozheng believes that the strength of this military exercise is comparable to the military exercise of Taiwan after the Speaker of the House of Representatives Perosi visiting Taiwan in August last year.Scholars of the interviewees also pointed out to the United Morning Post that although the military exercise was not as shocking than last year, the intensity was equal and the consequences were serious.
After the three -day military exercise ended, Beijing continued to pressure Taiwan's military. From 3 am on Friday (April 14), the PLA launched a nine -hour military exercise in the northern part of the Bohai Sea.China Huludao Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning for this that ships were prohibited from driving in during military exercises.
Bloomberg reported on Friday that Li Chun said in an interview that the recent military exercises in the mainland facing hope that they will "win without fighting.""There is no doubt that economic blockade is one of the possible options for China to seriously consider."
He said that economic blockade is very expensive and adventurous to any country including the mainland."Because economic blockade is easily upgraded to military confrontation, not only between Taiwan and China (Mainland), but also between China (Mainland) and other trading partners who have a large number of business activities with Taiwan."
Li Chun said that Taiwan is working with friendly countries to study how to deal with economic blockade that the mainland may implement.He revealed that Taiwan has accelerated key supplies in the past two years and launched new regulations to enhance Taiwan's toughness.Although the relevant plan is still in the launching stage, it is urgent to prepare for response.
In response to the military military exercise, Jie Zhong, an associate researcher at the Kuomintang think tank, and the National Policy Research Foundation, wrote an analysis.In terms of combat control energy, it has grown significantly.
But Jiezhong also pointed out that the military exercise of the Taiwan Taiwan also shows that the practicality of the People's Liberation Army has not significantly improved, the unity of carrier -based J -15 fighters and air force military aircraft, and the lack of practical ability of drones.Leaving one hand or other difficulties needs to be further observed.
Compared with military pressure, the economic pressure on the mainland has caused heated discussion in Taiwan.On April 12, the Ministry of Commerce of the Mainland announced that it will conduct a trade barriers for the prohibition of 2,455 products in Taiwan from prohibiting the imports of mainland imports. The final deadline for the survey is January 12, 2024, the eve of the Taiwan election vote.
The prestigious legislators worry that the Beijing will further cancel the Cross -Strait Economic Cooperation Architecture Agreement (ECFA) in the future.Zheng Wencan, deputy dean of the Taiwan Executive Yuan, said in an interview on Friday that he hoped that the cross -strait economic and trade relations would return to normal order and deal with trade disputes through existing bilateral or multilateral negotiation mechanisms without having to do related political operations.
Hong Qichang, former chairman of the Strait Exchange Foundation (Sea Foundation), pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that compared with the fear of the war of the people of Taiwan, the follow -up effect of Beijing launched a trade barriers was worthy of attention.This incident is comparable to the cross -strait trade war.
He said that after the signing of the ECFA on both sides of the strait in 2010, the mainland based on cross -strait relations considerations to make benefits to Taiwan, allowing Taiwan to obtain a high trade surplus for more than 10 years.The Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland China Affairs Office has emphasized over the years that it is expected that the cross -strait economic and trade interaction will continue to deepen. Whether this trade barrier survey represents the rotation point of the policy needs to be observed.
Hong Qichang's research and judgment, the time points and impact scope of the investigation of trade barriers are obviously targeted at Taiwan elections, especially affecting SMEs and the DPP ticket source area of the Central and South China.The mainland officials conduct trade negotiation.