Yu Zeyuan: China and the United States are ＂cutting sausages＂

Early

Ji Yan Spring and Autumn

After the American Son of the United States, McCarthy met with Tsai Ing -wen in Taiwan, who had passed, the Eastern theater of the PLA of China announced the implementation of the three -day tourist police patrol and the "joint sharp sword" exercise.The Military Show of the PLA is not only the strategic deterrence of the United States and Taiwan to continuously improve the official exchanges, but also to make necessary preparations for military forces to attack Taiwan in tactics.

The mainstream official media in the mainland reported the military exercise immediately.CCTV reported on April 9 that under the unified command of the Eastern Theater of the PLA, the PLA's multi -army troops implemented a combined precise combination of the key targets of the Taiwan Island and the surrounding waters, and continued to maintain the trend of the island.

CCTV screen shows that on the morning of April 9, the Xuzhou ship of the Eastern Theater Xuzhou, about the five seas of the Taiwan Navy's Yiyang Ship, implemented a "mobile approach" to the Yiyang ship.

It is reported that in the Taiwan Strait, a number of farewood ships and the missile speedboats at sea jointly pursued the shore to guide the assault group to go to the southwestern target of Taima Island.In different directions, police cruisers adopt a high -speed maneuverability and hidden enemy to occupy the scheduled strike array.Dozens of sub -warnings, reconnaissance, fighters, bombing, and interference machines were dispatched in the Eastern theater Air Force.Bingli provides goal guidance and support cover.

The Eastern Theater Army's Far Box Fire (Far -Boxic Rockets) troops open up reconnaissance, command, and firepower networking links. Relying on drones to provide strike guidance for the launch unit, carry out multi -target precise blows, multi -bomb composite damage damage drillsEssence

At the same time, the Rocket Army task force completed the first round of the key target of Taiwan Island in accordance with the case, and then moved to the preparatory position overnight.The command post was screened to determine the new round of strike targets, dozens of sets of launch units occupy the launch array and establish a high alert state, the operating number is accurately completed to complete the launch preparation, and the second round of strikes are implemented at any time.

CCTV also quoted Deng Yong, an commander of the Rocket Army in the Eastern Theater: "We keep an eye -catching" can fight on time, launch on time, and effectively destroy the core capabilities standard, maintain high alerts on the shelf, and ready to go.Status, confidence, confidence defeat all external interference and 'Taiwan independence' division. "

From the pictures and videos released by the Eastern theater, the participating troops can clearly see some iconic buildings in the Central Mountains of the Taiwan Island and the near shore of Taiwan Island, showing that the PLA's strength to the Taiwan Island this time exceeds last yearMonthly Month of the United States Perlis's military exercise after his visit to Taiwan.

In other words, mainland China is also constantly testing and enhancing the ability to attack Taiwan in a "cutting sausage" way.

In recent years, the United States and Taiwan have continued to increase official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan in the way of "cutting sausages".In less than a year, Tsai Ing -wen met with the third American politician. The two members of the United States Personnel who visited Taiwan were even more like the "new normal" of the United States and Taiwan.

Not only that, the Mainland's very taboo US -Taiwan military exchanges are also expanding. The US sales of the United States are like home -to -home.Just as the PLA launched this round of military exercises, Michael McCaul, chairman of the US House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Commission, was in Taiwan.schedule.

McCawell also told the Fox News Network that if Chinese martial arts, the US Congress and the people will discuss whether to send troops. If the American people support force to protect Taiwan, Congress will resolutely pursue this position.

Mainland China believes that the promotion of official and military exchanges in the United States is encouraging Taiwan to move towards independence. It has overhaped the "One China Policy" in the United States for many years, breaking the current situation of the Taiwan Strait, and the mainland can only respond military in military.The United States and Taiwan referred to the military pressure on Taiwan in mainland China, breaking the status quo of the Taiwan Strait.While talking about the water war, the two sides also stepped up the action of fighting the opponent's "breaking the status quo".

On the surface, the action of "cutting sausages" in China and the United States has made the situation of the Taiwan Straits even more strange and dangerous.However, in a strategic point of view, the situation of the Taiwan Strait is not completely out of control in the short term. The possibility of war on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, especially between China and the United States, is still unlikely.

This is because the three parties of China and the United States are unwilling to see the outbreak of the war.For China, the next few years will still be an important period for development and growth. Unless the United States cuts the "sausage" to the level of legal Taiwan independence or the United States and Taiwan to establish diplomatic relations.Realize the primary goal of modernization.

For the United States, if the two sides of the strait really broke out and faced the military strength and comprehensive national strength of China in the past, not only did the United States participate in the war, but even if the United States participated in the war, it would be very long to support Taiwan to support Taiwan.In doubt, the United States did not dare to let the two sides of the Taiwan Straits reach the point of war.

But on the issue of Taiwan, the "sausage" that can be cut in China and the United States is limited after all. The end of the "sausage" may be the beginning of war.How long can the three -party high -risk game last for this "sausage", will it be cut out of the war results that all parties are unwilling to see, I am afraid that no one is sure.

It is certain that the outbreak of the Taiwan Strait not only has no good for the three parties of China, the United States and Taiwan, but it will also bring unpredictable consequences to the Asia -Pacific region and the entire world.The bloody Russia and Ukraine reminded the world again that peace is not natural, but requires all parties to work hard.

Whether the Taiwan Strait can avoid war, in the final analysis, it still depends on how to play in the United States.Fortunately, although Sino -US relations are bad, the two large nuclear powers are definitely unwilling to have a direct military conflict.In the future, the Taiwan Strait can still maintain a vulnerable peaceful situation.