Special
Wen Weizhong Taipei Special officer
Taiwan will hold the presidential and legislators elections on January 13, 2024, with only more than nine months left.The blue -green and white three parties compete for the President's Great. The "Green Army" Democratic Progressive Party and the third largest party of the party with the banner of "white power" have finalized candidates.Finally, the recruitment procedure will be launched. It is estimated that the candidates will be determined as soon as April and the latest June.
Under the tight situation of the Taiwan Strait and Sino -US relations, Taiwan's election is related to the area and global security.
Lai Qingde, Vice President of Taiwan and Chairman of the DPP, completed the registration of the presidential election in the party on March 15. With no one challenge, it will be nominated for the party on April 12.
Ke Wenzhe, the mayor of Taipei and the chairman of the people, has repeatedly emphasized that "it is not necessary to be announced without choosing the president". Although the party has not been nominated, he has no suspense for election. On April 8th, he will visit as a presidential candidatebeautiful.
The situation of the Kuomintang is more chaotic.In November last year, Hou Youyi, the mayor of New Taipei, who won 450,000 votes in the "Nine -in -One" local election last year, was recognized as the most victorious, but in the face of many obstacles, whether it can be out or when it will be suspicious.
The Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun repeatedly emphasized that "it will not be dragged or not in advance", and will be "selfless and selfless" as a good head coach, unite non -green power, and eliminate obstacles for major candidates.
The Kuomintang announced last week that the primary election was considered to help Hou Youyi Guo Taiming to solve the set
Of course, these are the common expectations of the party's rotation, but the Kuomintang has not decided to nominate methods. In addition, the anonymous letters in the party continue to say that Zhu Lilun never said that he would not run, and the non -green integration did not progress.The Green Army attacks Hou Youyi at any time as "running the mayor", which has led to the rapid decline in the Kuomintang and Hou Youyi polls.
After the re -election of the legislators of the Iron Ticket Cangnan Investment in early March, the Kuomintang's momentum changed from prosperity.Faced with the anxiety of supporters, the Kuomintang announced last week that the presidential candidate was nominated for unsteady primary elections. Hou Youyi, who was considered to help the mayor in the term of office, and did not have the party, but wanted to represent the Blue Army to run for the election.Hon Hai's founder Guo Taiming solved.
The Kuomintang started to consult a number of interested candidates since last week. Recently, the grassroots have also persuaded the mayor of Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan to run for the election.Some polls show that her satisfaction has surpassed Hou Youyi, but she shows that she hopes to sacrifice herself to become the whole of others, and she does not intend to choose the president or vice president.
Guo Taiming also took an important step in layout of the presidential election. On Monday (March 27), a spokesman for the office announced that he would go to the United States for a 12 -day science and technology development journey that night.Visit the Think Tank Brukins Society and Harvard University to discuss how to build Taiwan -US cooperation strategies and strengthen Taiwan and world economic cooperation.
Zhu Lilun was asked when he was called Guo Taiming last week, "We also regard him as an important part of the blue camp."
The Kuomintang has always been considered to be internal and inside, and the layman of the outside world. How to soothe the outsiders in the process of recruiting and fighting for united operations will be a severe test for Zhu Lilun.
The most popular person in the Blue Army chose Hou Youyi last Wednesday when he was asked if he accepted the recruitment, saying that he was "willing to do things for the country and the people, do his best contribution and dedication", and gradually became clear.
The original preparation of Hou camp was announced until the end of June until the end of the New Taipei City Council's general inquiry. Now it will not make the opinion of the polls. Some people recommend that they should be announced on April 3 after 100 days.
It is known that Hou Youyi has not decided when to announce the election, and the outside world has not yet seen whether he is ready to lead the Blue Army to achieve political party rotation, and assist the successor to win the New Taipei mayor to make up for the election.
Scholar: By eliminating the action of the Democratic Progressive Party to master the presidential election opportunity
Professor and Director of the Advertising Department of Culture University, Niu Zexun pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the DPP has escaped the defeat of the nine -in -one local elections after the Nantou legislature was re -elected by eliminating black gold and plagiarism.The nightmare, master the presidential election opportunity.
Niu Zexun believes that the Kuomintang decided to call the presidential candidate and can be said to have undergone damage and control, but there are still many variables and may not be exhausted.The maximum variable includes Zhu Lilun who has not personally said that he is not selected. Whether he can implement selflessly as a head coach, eliminate obstacles to call his former subordinate Hou Youyi and win the election to test his wisdom and mind.
Niu Zexun also pointed out that if he wants to strive for mainstream public opinion, the Blue Army must adjust the cross -strait discussion, emphasize the harmony of Lu, pro -beauty and avoidance, and clarify that it is not surrender, but to keep the people away from the war through preparation and dialogue strategies.
Beautiful Island Electronics News: Hou Youyi is most likely to play the Blues on behalf of the Blues
Wu Zijia, chairman of the Meilima Electronics News, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that after the Blue Army decided to call, the situation had stabilized, and Hou Youyi was most likely to play on behalf of the Blues.
The latest poll in March March of the Meilima Electronics News shows that if Lai Qingde and Hou Youyi are single, Lai Qingde's support drops from 48.1%in March to 43.4%, and Hou Youyi will increase from 38.3%to 41.3%; if blue, green and whiteIn the triangle, Hou Youyi fell from 29%in March to 26.2%, Lai Qingde fell from 41.4%to 38.4%, while Ke Wenzhe rose from 17.6%to 20.3%.
Wu Zijia pointed out that Lai Qingde's polls fell due to the DPP primary election of civil strife, and the flow of blue and white support was also obvious than green.He predicts that under the fierce competition of blue and green, Ke Wenzhe's support will fall to a slightly lower fundamental face, and the blue -green distance will be closer to five or five waves.
He analyzed that the white power mainly attracted young and blue -green young and middle voters. They knew that Ke Wenzhe would not win, but temporarily put the support on Ke Wenzhe.Make a decision.
Wu Zijia pointed out that if the Kuomintang currently fights against the trend, in order to turn around and raise polls, you must get rid of the "old" image. You can consider cooperating with Guo Taiming and talk to young people.The blue army united and attracted the "mooring" in Ke Wenzhe's youth and middle votes.
He bluntly stated that Lai Qingde's biggest break is in Tainan. If he is not careful, he will be seriously injured.Recently revealed the chaos of corruption, black gold and drinking wine, which shows that Lai Qingde, who had been the mayor, did not create a model of success and was difficult to blame.People look at it.
