Huang Xiaofang Beijing Special Commissioner
After the EU leaders visited China intensively this month, the differences in the internal positions of the EU's stance on China have attracted great attention. Some analysts believe that Sino -European relations are expected to recover, but Steak, an analyst of China -Europe Research Center, Germany, pointed out that the EU is pairing.Hua Different has been excessively enlarged, and Sino -European relations have not ushered in spring, but have entered a strategic stability period.
Two Sino -European relations analysts Greg Stec and FranceSca Ghiretti, two Sino -European relations analysts at the Merkato China Research Center, analyzed on Tuesday (April 18) to analyze on the online forum organized by the Foreign Journalists Association in China to analyze.EU Chairman Feng Delin, French President Macron, and German Foreign Minister Berbek's visit to China.
Macron's highly sensitive Taiwan Strait issue said when he interviewed the media this month, saying that Europe should not be "involved in the crisis that does not belong to us";The stability of the strait is crucial, and the unilateral and violent changes are unacceptable to Europeans.
EU is excessively enlarged and interpreted by the European Union
Many analysts believe that the three people's statements on the inconsistency of the Taiwan issue have publicly exposed the differences in the EU's internal position on China.However, both Stech and Geofora pointed out that the European Union was excessively enlarged and interpreted by the European Union.
Stek analysis, Macron's statement represents his personal, not French position.This is his common style, stimulating the outside world's debate on a certain issue through sharp and controversial statements.For example, Macron also stated in an interview in 2019 that NATO had died in a brain, which stimulated the discussion of European security issues.
Goflan pointed out that there are different interests and economic reality in 27 countries in the EU, and there must be differences in internal.The problem is that compared with five years ago, did the European Union increase or decrease?Gorfalan believes that after experiencing the epidemic and the Russian and Ukraine War, the European Union's differences in China have decreased; the European Commission has also played a greater role in the EU agenda and the issue of China in recent years, which provides unity for the European Union.Base.
It is believed that the frequent contact between China -Europe leaders in the near future means that Sino -European relations are expected to bloom in spring.However, Stech studied that Sino -European relations did not usher in spring, but entered the strategic stability period.
He explained that both China and the European parties have urgent economic needs. In the face of the impact of energy crisis and inflation, Europe provides space for the stability of China -Europe relations.On the issue of Russia and Ukraine, despite the increasing probability of China's playback role, Europe still seek to establish basic rules with China and reach basic consensus.At the same time, the structural differences between the two sides still exist; this includes China's ambitions on the international stage, the close relationship between China and Russia, and the trend of the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
The European Parliament positioned China as partners, competitors and institutional opponents in the 2019 China Strategic Outlook Report.Feng Delin emphasized when speaking in the European Parliament on Tuesday that the EU's future China's strategic core must be "Economic De-Risking".Feng Delin is expected to explain the EU's economic security strategy at the European Council meeting in June.
Goflan pointed out that economic de -risk means that the EU will reduce its economic dependence on China and find more markets.At present, the specific economic security strategy of the European Union is not clear for the time being. Gorfalan expects that the June speech of Feng Delin will provide a clearer framework, which will have a significant impact on the development of Sino -European relations.
